Principal Researcher, RAND Corporation
Professor, Pardee-RAND Graduate School
B.S., U. of Michigan, chemistry; Ph.D., MIT, chemical physics
RAND, 1981-
Research areas: Planning and analysis under uncertainty, with applications primarily to national security. Recent books on implications of modern decision science for support to high-level decision makers, portfolio tools for planning, capabilities-based planning and exploratory analysis, effects-based operations, counter-terrorism, and model and simulation theory.
Positions: Principal Researcher, 1995-; Corporate Research Manager, 1990-1995; Program Manager, 1981-1990. Professor of Policy Analysis.
Office of the Secretary of Defense (Program Analysis and Evaluation), 1977-1981
Senior executive, 1979-1981; Acting deputy assistant secretary (regional programs), 1981.
Directed studies and program development that contributed significantly to DoD's creation of what became U.S. Central Command and to its acquisition of related capabilities.
Analyst, 1977-1979.
Conducted studies of strategic-nuclear forces and modernization options, as well as studies in support of SALT II.
U.S. Arms Control and Disarmament Agency, 1975-1977
Led many interagency studies for Strategic Arms Limitation talks, space arms control; served on U.S. delegation to SALT II.
Institute for Defense Analyses, 1971-1975
Senior scientist, 1971-1975. Led studies on rocket phenomenology and observables exploitable by satellites, fleet air defense, civilian use of military space systems.
Past member of the Naval Studies Board, under the National Academy of Sciences.
Current or past member of numerous study panels for the Academy and Defense Science Board.
Holder of Military Operations Research Society's Vance Wanner award.
Editorial boards for Journal of Defense Modeling and Simulation; Military Operations Research; and Journal of Crisis Management. Reviewer for those and Systems Engineering.
Distinguished Civil Service Award, Secretary of Defense,1981.
Updated July 2008