Analytical Methods for Assessing Capability Options, Paul K. Davis, Russell D. Shaver, and Justin Beck, RAND, MG-662-OSD, 2008.
Finding Candidate Options for Investment Analysis: a Tool for Moving from Building Blocks to Composite Options (BCOT), Paul K. Davis, Russell D. Shaver, Gaga Gvineria, and Justin Beck, RAND TR-501-OSD, 2008.
Analytical Architecture for Capabilities-Based Planning, Mission-System Analysis, and Transformation, Paul K. Davis, RAND, 2002.
Measuring Interdiction Capabilities in the Presence of Anti-Access Strategies: Exploratory Analysis to Inform Adaptive Strategy for the Persian Gulf, Paul K. Davis, Jimmie McEver, and Barry Wilson, MR-1471, 2002.
Effects-Based Operations: A Grand Challenge for the Analytical Community, Paul K. Davis, MR-1477, 2002.
Transforming Military Forces, Paul K. Davis, RAND MR-1306.1.sec6, 2000.
Ground Forces for a Rapidly Employable Joint Task Force, Eugene Gritton, Paul K. Davis, Randall Steeb, and John Matsumura, RAND MR-1152, 2000.
Analytic Methods for Studies and Experiments on "Transforming the Force'," Paul K. Davis, James Bigelow, and Jimmie McEver, RAND DB-278-OSD, 1999.
Resource Allocation for the New Defense Strategy: the DynaRank Decision Support System, Richard Hillestad and Paul K. Davis, RAND MR-996, 1998.
Transforming the Force: Suggestions for DoD Strategy, RAND IP-179, 1998.
Strategic Issues and Options for the Quadrennial Defense Review: An Annotated Briefing, Paul K. Davis, Richard Kugler, and Richard Hillestad, RAND DB-201-OSD, 1997.
Exploratory Analysis of "The Halt Problem": A Briefing on Methods and Initial Insights, Paul K. Davis and Manuel J. Carrillo, RAND DB-232-OSD, 1997.
Adaptiveness in National Defense: The Basis of a New Framework, Paul K. Davis, David Gompert, and Richard Kugler, RAND IP-155, August 1996.
New Challenges for Defense Planning: Rethinking How Much Is Enough, edited by Paul K. Davis, RAND MR-400-RC, 1994 (frontmatter only).
"Adaptiveness in Defense Planning: The Basis of a New Framework," Paul K. Davis, David Gompert, and Richard Kugler, Chap. 4 in Strategic Appraisal 1997: Strategy and Defense Planning for the 21st Century, Zalmay M. Khalilzad and David A. Ochmanek (eds.), RAND, MR-826-AF, 1997.
"New Principles for Force Sizing," Paul K. Davis and Richard Kugler, Chap. 5 in Strategic Appraisal 1997: Strategy and Defense Planning for the 21st Century, Zalmay M. Khalilzad and David A. Ochmanek (eds.), RAND, MR-826-AF, 1997.
"Capabilities for Major Regional Conflicts," Paul K. Davis, Richard Hillestad, and Natalie Crawford, Chap. 6 in Strategic Appraisal 1997: Strategy and Defense Planning for the 21st Century, Zalmay M. Khalilzad and David A. Ochmanek (eds.), RAND, MR-826-AF, 1997.
Challenges in Virtual Collaboration: Videoconferencing, Audioconferencing, or Computer-Mediated Communications, Wainfan, Lynne and Paul K. (2004), RAND.
Modeling Adversaries and Related Cognitive Biases, Jonathan Kulick and Paul K. Davis, RAND, reprint volume RP-1084, 2003.
Protecting Weak and Medium-Strength States: Issues of Deterrence, Stability, and Decision Making, chapter in Post-Cold War Conflict Deterrence, National Research Council, 1997 (abstract only).
Enhancing Strategic Planning with Massive Scenario Generation: Theory and Experiments, Paul K. Davis, Steven C. Bankes, and Michael Egner, 2007.
Analysis, Analysis Practices, and Implications for Modeling and Simulation, Paul K. Davis and Amy Henninger, RAND, OP-176-OSD, 2007.
The Portfolio Analysis Tool for Ballistic Missile Defense (PAT-MD): Methodology and User's Guide, Paul Dreyer and Paul K. Davis, RAND, 2005.
Capabilities Analysis Model for Missile Defense: User's Guide, Henry Willis, James Bonomo, Paul K. Davis, and Richard Hillestad, RAND TR-218-MDA, 2005.
Improving the Composability of DoD Models and Simulations, Paul K. Davis and Robert H. Anderson, RAND MG-101, 2003.
Implications for Model Validation of Multiresolution, Multiperspective Modeling (MRMPM) and Exploratory Analysis, Bigelow, James H. and Paul K. Davis, RAND, 2003.
"Strategic Planning Amidst Massive Uncertainty in Complex Adaptive Systems: the Case of Defense Planning," Paul K. Davis, InterJournal, Complex Systems section, No. 375, 2002.
Exploratory Analysis and a Case History of Multiresolution, Multiperspective Modeling, Paul K. Davis, James H. Bigelow, and Jimmie McEver, Reprinted from Proceedings of the 2000 Winter Simulation Conference, Jeffrey A. Joines, Russel R. Barton, K. Kang, and Paul A. Fishwick (editors), December, 2000 and Proceedings of the SPIE, Vol. 4026, 2000.
EXHALT: An Interdiction Model for Exploring Halt Capabilities in a Large Scenario Space, Jimmie McEver, Paul K. Davis, and James Bigelow, RAND MR-1137-OSD, 2000.
Effects of Terrain, Maneuver Tactics, and C4ISR on the Effectiveness of Long-Range Precision Fires: A Stochastic Multiresolution Model (PEM) Calibrated to High_Resolution Simulation, Paul K. Davis, James Bigelow, and Jimmie McEver, RAND MR-1138-OSD, 2000.
Experiments in Multiresolution Modeling (MRM), RAND MR-1004-OSD, 1998.
Improving the Composability of DoD Models and Simulations, Paul K. Davis and Robert H. Anderson, RAND MG-101, 2003.
Implications for Model Validation of Multiresolution, Multiperspective Modeling (MRMPM) and Exploratory Analysis, Bigelow, James H. and Paul K. Davis, RAND, 2003.
Aggregation, Disaggregation, and the 3:1 Rule in Ground Combat, by Paul K. Davis, MR-638-AF/A/OSD, 1995.
The Base of Sand Problem, a White Paper on the State of Military Combat Modeling, RAND N-3148-OSD/ARPA, 1991 (abstract only).
Technology for the United States Navy and Marine Corps, 2000-2035: Becoming a 21st-Century Force, Volume 9, Modeling and Simulation, National Research Council, Naval Studies Board, 1997.
Updated July 2008