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Staff Profiles
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Paul K. DavisSanta Monica Office Senior Principal Researcher; Professor, Pardee RAND Graduate School EducationPh.D. in chemical physics, Massachusetts Institute of Technology; B.S., University of Michigan, Ann Arbor |
Research Focus
Strategic planning; defense planning; Resource allocation; Decisionmaking theory; Theories of counterterrorism and deterrence; Advanced methods of analysis and modeling
Recent Projects
- Analytic framework and tools for OSD's Concept Decision Process
- High-level decision support
- Counterterrorism modeling
Selected Publications
Paul K. Davis and Kim Cragin, Social Science for Counterterrorism: Putting the Pieces Together, RAND Corporation, 2009
Paul K. Davis, "Specifying the Content of Humble Social Science Models", Proceedings of the Summer Computer Simulation Conference, 2009, 2009
Paul K. Davis, Stuart E. Johnson, Duncan Long, and David C. Gompert, Developing Resource-Informed Strategic Assessments and Recommendations, RAND Corporation, 2008
Paul K. Davis, et al., Portfolio-Analysis Methods for Assessing Capability Options, RAND Corporation, 2008
Paul K. Davis et al., Implications of Modern Decision Science for Military Decision-Support Systems, RAND Corporation, 2005
Paul K. Davis and Robert Anderson, Improving the Composability of Department of Defense Models and Simulations, RAND Corporation, 2003
Paul K. Davis, Analytic Architecture for Capabilities-Based Planning Mission-System Analysis and Transformation, RAND Corporation, 2002
Paul K. Davis and Brian Michael Jenkins, Deterrence and Influence in Counterterrorism, RAND Corporation, 2002
Research Focus
Defense planning, strategic planning, advanced modeling and analysis
Recent Projects
- Analytic framework and tools for OSD's Concept Decision Process
- High-level decision support
- Counterterrorism modeling
Previous Positions
Senior executive, Office of the Secretary of DefenseSelected Publications
Implications of Modern Decision Science for Military Decision-Support Systems, Paul K. Davis et al., RAND Corporation, 2005
Challenges in Virtual Collaboration: Videoconferencing, Audioconferencing, and Computer-Mediated Communications, Lynne Wainfan and Paul K. Davis, RAND Corporation, 2004
Motivated Metamodels: Synthesis of Cause-Effect Reasoning and Statistical Metamodeling, Paul K. Davis and J. H. Bigelow, RAND Corporation, 2003
New Challenges, New Tools for Defense Decisionmaking, Stuart E. Johnson et al., RAND Corporation, 2003
Analytic Architecture for Capabilities-Based Planning, Mission-System Analysis, and Transformation, RAND Corporation, 2002
Recent Media Appearances
Interviews: PBS
To arrange an interview:
Contact the RAND Office of Media Relations, (703) 413-1100, x5117 or (310) 451-6913, or send an email to media@rand.org.
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