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     <title>RAND: Paul K. Davis</title>
     <link rel="self" href="http://www.rand.org/about/people/d/davis_paul.xml"/>
     <updated>2012-05-10T18:03:01Z</updated>
     <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" hreflang="en" href="http://www.rand.org/about/people/d/davis_paul.html" />
     <rights>Copyright (c) 2012, The RAND Corporation</rights>
     <author>
       <name>RAND Corporation</name>
     </author>
     <id>http://www.rand.org/about/people/d/davis_paul.html</id>
	 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Generalizing Concepts and Methods of Verification, Validation, and Accreditation (VV&amp;amp;A) for Military Simulations</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/reports/R4249.html</id>
   <published>1992-01-01T00:00:00Z</published>
   <updated>1992-01-01T00:00:00Z</updated>
   <summary type="html">The study illustrates many of its suggestions about VV&amp;A with specific examples of language that might be used in reports and accreditation reviews. </summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/reports/R4249.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Deterring or Coercing Opponents in Crisis: Lessons from the War with Saddam Hussein</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/reports/R4111.html</id>
   <published>1991-01-01T00:00:00Z</published>
   <updated>1991-01-01T00:00:00Z</updated>
   <summary type="html">Applies an experimental interdisciplinary methodology for understanding the possible reasoning of opponents in crisis and conflict and for using that understanding to develop well-hedged and adaptive deterrent strategies.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/reports/R4111.html" />
   
   <link rel="related" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/notes/N3322.html" />
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Toward a Conceptual Framework for Operational Arms Control in Europe&apos;s Central Region</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/reports/R3704.html</id>
   <published>1988-01-01T00:00:00Z</published>
   <updated>1988-01-01T00:00:00Z</updated>
   <summary type="html">Sketches a military framework for conceiving and evaluating measures for operational arms control in Europe&apos;s central region &amp;mdash; i.e., arms control affecting the operations and readiness of forces.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/reports/R3704.html" />
   
   <link rel="related" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/research_briefs/RB7802.html" />
   <link rel="related" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/notes/N3046.html" />
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Planning for Long-Term Security in Central Europe: Implications of the New Strategic Environment</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/reports/R3977.html</id>
   <published>1990-01-01T00:00:00Z</published>
   <updated>1990-01-01T00:00:00Z</updated>
   <summary type="html">The recent changes in Europe have transformed the strategic landscape and altered what can be accomplished with respect to security. This report proposes a framework of new NATO objectives and a strategy for accomplishing them.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/reports/R3977.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">The RAND Strategy Assessment Center: An Overview and Interim Conclusions about Utility and Development Options</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/reports/R2945.html</id>
   <published>1983-01-01T00:00:00Z</published>
   <updated>1983-01-01T00:00:00Z</updated>
   <summary type="html">The RAND Strategy Assessment Center (RSAC) is an ambitious multiyear effort to improve methods of strategy analysis by combining the best features of war gaming and analytic modeling.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/reports/R2945.html" />
   
   <link rel="related" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/research_briefs/RB7801.html" />
   <link rel="related" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/papers/P6978.html" />
   <link rel="related" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/notes/N1997.html" />
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Concepts and Models of Escalation</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/reports/R3235.html</id>
   <published>1984-01-01T00:00:00Z</published>
   <updated>1984-01-01T00:00:00Z</updated>
   <summary type="html">Describes a conceptual decision model for treating escalation processes in the automated war gaming of the RAND Strategy Assessment Center. </summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/reports/R3235.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Studying First-Strike Stability with Knowledge-Based Models of Human Decisionmaking</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/reports/R3689.html</id>
   <published>1989-01-01T00:00:00Z</published>
   <updated>1989-01-01T00:00:00Z</updated>
   <summary type="html">First-strike stability depends on the improbability of crises and the improbability that crises would result in first strikes. This study focuses on the latter criterion, which in turn depends on crisis decisionmaking by human beings.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/reports/R3689.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">A New Methodology for Modeling National Command Level Decisionmaking in War Games and Simulations</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/reports/R3290.html</id>
   <published>1986-01-01T00:00:00Z</published>
   <updated>1986-01-01T00:00:00Z</updated>
   <summary type="html">Describes and illustrates a methodology for modeling National Command Level (NCL) decisionmaking in large-scale crisis and conflict involving both superpowers.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/reports/R3290.html" />
   
   <link rel="related" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/research_briefs/RB7801.html" />
   <link rel="related" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/research_briefs/RB6000-1.html" />
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">An Introduction to Variable-Resolution Modeling and Cross-Resolution Model Connection</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/reports/R4252.html</id>
   <published>1993-01-01T00:00:00Z</published>
   <updated>1993-01-01T00:00:00Z</updated>
   <summary type="html">This paper is an introduction to the subject of variable-resolution modeling (VRM) and the closely related issue of connecting models of different resolution to create a &quot;family.&quot;</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/reports/R4252.html" />
   
   <link rel="related" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/monograph_reports/MR189.html" />
   <link rel="related" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/notes/N3631.html" />
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Analysis, Analysis Practices, and Implications for Modeling and Simulation</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/occasional_papers/OP176.html</id>
   <published>2007-04-09T07:44:00Z</published>
   <updated>2007-04-09T07:44:00Z</updated>
   <summary type="html">Reviews analysis and analysis practices for defense planning and draws important implications for models and simulations.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/occasional_papers/OP176.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Portfolio-Analysis Methods for Assessing Capability Options</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/monographs/MG662.html</id>
   <published>2008-01-23T07:48:00Z</published>
   <updated>2008-01-23T07:48:00Z</updated>
   <summary type="html">An analytical framework and methodology for defensewide capability-area reviews is described, along with two new tools developed to support capabilities analysis and related tradeoff work within the Department of Defense and the military Services.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/monographs/MG662.html" />
   
   <link rel="related" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/research_briefs/RB9284.html" />
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Simple Models to Explore Deterrence and More General Influence in the War with al-Qaeda</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/occasional_papers/OP296.html</id>
   <published>2010-07-16T10:34:00Z</published>
   <updated>2010-07-16T10:34:00Z</updated>
   <summary type="html">Simple, conceptual models can be used to help guide thinking about how to deter or to otherwise influence potential, actual, or disengaging terrorists and the many people who support their organizations directly or indirectly.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/occasional_papers/OP296.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Developing Resource-Informed Strategic Assessments and Recommendations</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/monographs/MG703.html</id>
   <published>2008-09-04T16:05:00Z</published>
   <updated>2008-09-04T16:05:00Z</updated>
   <summary type="html">A portfolio-analysis approach that deals explicitly with both uncertainty and differences of strategic perspective allows an integrated comparison of alternative strategies&apos; effectiveness, risks, and resource implications.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/monographs/MG703.html" />
   
   <link rel="related" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/monographs/MG718.html" />
   <link rel="related" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/research_briefs/RB9379.html" />
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Implications of Modern Decision Science for Military Decision-Support Systems</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/monographs/MG360.html</id>
   <published>2005-09-14T06:46:00Z</published>
   <updated>2005-09-14T06:46:00Z</updated>
   <summary type="html">An overview of higher-level decisionmaking and modern methods to improve decision support.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/monographs/MG360.html" />
   
   <link rel="related" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/research_briefs/RB177.html" />
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Challenges in Virtual Collaboration: Videoconferencing, Audioconferencing, and Computer-Mediated Communications</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/monographs/MG273.html</id>
   <published>2004-12-16T06:38:00Z</published>
   <updated>2004-12-16T06:38:00Z</updated>
   <summary type="html">Virtual, or mediated, communication: effects of communication media and a strategy for improving their use.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/monographs/MG273.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Theory and Methods for Supporting High Level Military Decisionmaking</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/technical_reports/TR422.html</id>
   <published>2007-04-18T02:30:00Z</published>
   <updated>2007-04-18T02:30:00Z</updated>
   <summary type="html">A framework for supporting high-level decisionmaking, one that deals explicitly with uncertainty to produce flexible, adaptive, and robust (FAR) strategies, and does so in support of both &apos;&apos;rational-analytic&apos;&apos; and &apos;&apos;intuitive&apos;&apos; decisionmakers.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/technical_reports/TR422.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Enhancing Strategic Planning with Massive Scenario Generation: Theory and Experiments</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/technical_reports/TR392.html</id>
   <published>2007-04-16T10:07:00Z</published>
   <updated>2007-04-16T10:07:00Z</updated>
   <summary type="html">Man-machine exploration of the &apos;&apos;possibility space&apos;&apos; in strategic planning using massive scenario.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/technical_reports/TR392.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Modeling Decisionmaking of Potential Proliferators as Part of Developing Counterproliferation Strategies</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/monograph_reports/MR467.html</id>
   <published>1994-01-01T00:00:00Z</published>
   <updated>1994-01-01T00:00:00Z</updated>
   <summary type="html">This report applies an exploratory methodology for developing alternative models of the reasoning of national leaders considering acquisition of weapons of mass destruction.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/monograph_reports/MR467.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Finding Candidate Options for Investment: From Building Blocks to Composite Options and Preliminary Screening</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/technical_reports/TR501.html</id>
   <published>2008-03-24T22:26:00Z</published>
   <updated>2008-03-24T22:26:00Z</updated>
   <summary type="html">A methodology and prototype tool, the Building Blocks To Composite Options Tool (BCOT), that identifies investment options for defense capability areas, then uses a screening technique to identify those meriting more-extensive assessment in a fuller portfolio-analysis framework.
  </summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/technical_reports/TR501.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">A Portfolio-Analysis Tool for Missile Defense (PAT-MD): Methodology and User&amp;rsquo;s Manual</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/technical_reports/TR262.html</id>
   <published>2005-10-18T15:47:00Z</published>
   <updated>2005-10-18T15:47:00Z</updated>
   <summary type="html">A tool to facilitate high-level discussion of program tradeoffs and adjustments in the Missile Defense Agency (MDA).</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/technical_reports/TR262.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
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