James A. Dewar
Overview
Biography
James A. Dewar is the Frederick S. Pardee Professor of Long-Term Policy Analysis at the Pardee RAND Graduate School. For the past 25 years, Dewar's main research interests have been strategic planning, planning methodologies, and policymaking under uncertainty. He has done strategic planning for military and other governmental organizations, colleges and universities, Fortune 100 companies, and a wide range of other clients. In 2001, Dewar founded the RAND Frederick S. Pardee Center for Longer Range Global Policy and the Future Human Condition. Dewar also led the development and application of Assumption-Based Planning (ABP), a planning tool for reducing avoidable surprises. His book Assumption-Based Planning: A Tool for Reducing Avoidable Surprises was published by Cambridge University Press in 2002. He has spoken and published widely on strategic planning, planning methodologies, the longer-range future, and planning under uncertainty. Dewar received his Ph.D. in mathematics from the University of Southern California.
Research Focus
Recent Projects
- Sustainable agriculture
- Long-term decisionmaking
Selected Publications
James A. Dewar, Assumption-Based Planning: A Tool for Reducing Avoidable Surprises, Cambridge University Press, 2002
James A. Dewar et al., Expandability of the 21st Century Army, RAND Corporation (MR-1190), 2001
Dina G. Levy et al., Strategic and Performance Planning for the Office of the Chancellor for Education and Professional Development in the Department of Defense, RAND Corporation (MR-1234), 2001
Richard Hundley et al., The Global Course of the Information Revolution: Political, Economic and Social Consequences-Proceedings of an International Conference, RAND Corporation (CF-154), 2000
Richard Hundley et al., The Information Age and the Printing Press: Looking Backward to See Ahead, RAND Corporation (P-8014), 1998
