Scenario discovery offers a new means to characterize and communicate the information in computer simulation models under conditions of deep uncertainty.
Sep 26, 2013
Making Good Decisions Without Predictions: Robust Decision Making for Planning Under Deep Uncertainty
Quantitative analysis is often indispensable to sound planning. But with deep uncertainty, predictions can lead decisionmakers astray. Robust Decision Making supports good decisions without predictions by testing plans against many futures.
Feb 28, 2013
The need is urgent to bring US health care costs into a sustainable range for both public and private payers.
Apr 1, 2012
Robust Climate Policies Under Uncertainty: A Comparison of Robust Decision-Making and Info-Gap Methods
This study compares two widely used approaches for robustness analysis of decision problems: the info-gap method originally developed by Ben-Haim and the robust decision making (RDM) approach originally developed by Lempert, Popper, and Bankes.
Jan 1, 2012
Racial and Ethnic Disparities in Hospital Care Resulting from Air Pollution in Excess of Federal Standards
This study investigates racial and ethnic disparities in hospital admission and emergency room visit rates resulting from exposure to ozone and fine particulate matter levels in excess of federal standards ("excess attributable risk").
Oct 1, 2011
Technology Interactions Among Low-Carbon Energy Technologies: What Can We Learn from a Large Number of Scenarios?
This paper uses a combinatorial approach in which scenarios are created for all combinations of the technology development assumptions that underlie a smaller, representative set of scenarios.
Jul 1, 2011
Performance Characteristics of a Methodology to Quantify Adverse Events Over Time in Hospitalized Patients
Assesses the performance characteristics of the Institute for Healthcare Improvement Global Trigger Tool (GTT) to determine its reliability for tracking local and national adverse event rates.
Apr 1, 2011
Provides a factual framework to help consumer advocates, health care providers, and policymakers better understand California's Medicare population and inform their efforts to design programs and policies that meet beneficiaries' needs.
May 3, 2010
Examines how California's failure to meet federal air quality standards has affected hospitalizations and insurers' costs.
Feb 15, 2010
Assesses the effect of air pollution on medical spending: The authors determined how much failing to meet air quality standards cost various purchasers of hospital care in California over 2005-2007.
Jan 15, 2010