Robert J. Lempert
Media Resources
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Education
Overview
Biography
Robert Lempert is a member of the 2007 Nobel Peace Prize–winning Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Lempert is a senior scientist who is an internationally known scholar in the field of decisionmaking under conditions of deep uncertainty. He is a member of the Council on Foreign Relations, a fellow of the American Physical Society, and a member of the National Academy of Science's Climate Research Committee. He is also a professor at the Pardee RAND Graduate School. Lempert's research focuses on improving methods for long-term policy analysis and for using data and models to support decisionmaking where accurate forecasts are impossible. He is leading a major National Science Foundation–funded study that aims to improve methods for using scientific and other information to support decisions about climate change. He has worked extensively in the areas of environment, energy, and national security strategies; and he has conducted research on science and technology investment strategies for clients that include the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy, the U.S. Department of Energy, the National Science Foundation, and several multinational firms.
Research Focus
Recent Projects
- Developing and applying new tools for managing deep uncertainty and surprise
- Climate change and environment
- Water resources management
- Managing innovation
Selected Publications
Robert J. Lempert et al., "A General, Analytic Method for Generating Robust Strategies and Narrative Scenarios," Management Science, 52(4), 2006
Robert J. Lempert and Steven W. Popper "High-Performance Government in an Uncertain World," in Robert Klitgaard and Paul C. Light, High-Performance Government: Structure, Leadership, Incentives, RAND Corporation (MG-256), 2005
Steven W. Popper et al., "Shaping the Future," Scientific American, 292(4), 2005
Robert J. Lempert et al., Shaping the Next One Hundred Years: New Methods for Quantitative Long-Term Policy Analysis, RAND Corporation (MR-1626), 2003
Robert J. Lempert, "Finding Transatlantic Common Ground on Climate Change?" The International Spectator, 36(2), 2002
Recent Media Appearances
Interviews: Beyond the Beltway; Fox; New York Times; NPR
Commentary: American Interest; United Press International
Civil Justice
Biography
Robert Lempert is a senior physical scientist at RAND and an expert in the field of decisionmaking under conditions of deep uncertainty. Lempert is a Fellow of the American Physical Society, a member of the National Research Council's Climate Research Committee, and a member of the Council on Foreign Relations. He is principal investigator for a major effort on climate change decisionmaking and co-leads a study on the federal role in providing terrorism insurance. He has also led studies on climate change policy; the environment; energy; national security strategies; and science and technology investment strategies for clients such as the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy, the U.S. Department of Energy, the National Science Foundation, and several multinational firms. A professor of policy analysis in the Pardee RAND Graduate School, Lempert is lead author of Shaping the Next One Hundred Years: New Methods for Quantitative, Long-Term Policy Analysis (RAND Corporation, 2003).
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