Robert J. Lempert
Robert Lempert is a senior scientist at the RAND Corporation and Director of the Frederick S. Pardee Center for Longer Range Global Policy and the Future Human Condition. His research focuses on decisionmaking under conditions of deep uncertainty, with an emphasis on climate change, energy, and the environment. Lempert and his research team assist a number of natural resource agencies in their efforts to include climate change in their long-range plans. Lempert is a Fellow of the American Physical Society, a member of the Council on Foreign Relations, a member of the U.S. National Academy of Sciences Panel on Assessing the Impact of Climate Change on Political and Social Stresses, and a lead author for Working Group II of the United Nation's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fifth Assessment Report and for the IPCC Special Report on Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation. Lempert was the Inaugural EADS Distinguished Visitor in Energy and Environment at the American Academy in Berlin. A professor of policy analysis in the Pardee RAND Graduate School, Lempert is an author of the book Shaping the Next One Hundred Years: New Methods for Quantitative, Longer-Term Policy Analysis. Lempert received his Ph.D. in applied physics, S.M. in applied physics and science policy from Harvard University.
- Developing and applying new tools for managing deep uncertainty and surprise
- Climate change and environment
- Water resources management
- Managing innovation
Robert J. Lempert et al., "A General, Analytic Method for Generating Robust Strategies and Narrative Scenarios," Management Science, 52(4), 2006
Robert J. Lempert and Steven W. Popper "High-Performance Government in an Uncertain World," in Robert Klitgaard and Paul C. Light, High-Performance Government: Structure, Leadership, Incentives, RAND Corporation (MG-256), 2005
Steven W. Popper et al., "Shaping the Future," Scientific American, 292(4), 2005
Robert J. Lempert et al., Shaping the Next One Hundred Years: New Methods for Quantitative Long-Term Policy Analysis, RAND Corporation (MR-1626), 2003
Robert J. Lempert, "Finding Transatlantic Common Ground on Climate Change?" The International Spectator, 36(2), 2002
Recent Media Appearances
Interviews: Beyond the Beltway; Fox; New York Times; NPR
Commentary: American Interest; United Press International
Robert Lempert is a senior physical scientist at RAND and an expert in the field of decisionmaking under conditions of deep uncertainty. Lempert is a Fellow of the American Physical Society, a member of the National Research Council's Climate Research Committee, and a member of the Council on Foreign Relations. He is principal investigator for a major effort on climate change decisionmaking and co-leads a study on the federal role in providing terrorism insurance. He has also led studies on climate change policy; the environment; energy; national security strategies; and science and technology investment strategies for clients such as the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy, the U.S. Department of Energy, the National Science Foundation, and several multinational firms. A professor of policy analysis in the Pardee RAND Graduate School, Lempert is lead author of Shaping the Next One Hundred Years: New Methods for Quantitative, Long-Term Policy Analysis (RAND Corporation, 2003).