Andrew R. Morral

Photo of Andrew Morral
Senior Behavioral Scientist
Washington Office

Education

Ph.D. in psychology, New School for Social Research

Media Resources

This researcher is available for interviews.

To arrange an interview, contact the RAND Office of Media Relations at (310) 451-6913, or email media@rand.org.

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Overview

Andrew R. Morral is a senior behavioral scientist at the RAND Corporation. His research expertise includes program evaluation, modeling and simulation, survey research, and performance measurement. He has developed innovative modeling techniques for examining drug use epidemiology and survey response accuracy, and causal modeling software that is now in wide distribution. His recent research includes an evaluation of the prevalence of sexual assault against members of the U.S. Armed Forces, an evaluation of the Israel Police, an assessment of the validity of the primary aviation system terrorism risk model used by the U.S. Transportation Security Administration, an assessment of the U.S. Forest Service's aircraft requirements for fighting forest fires across the U.S., and two studies of the deterrence benefits attributable to counterterrorism security systems. Morral has led large national, multisite evaluations delinquency programs for adolescents and adult treatment programs. He has published dozens of peer-reviewed reports in leading scientific and policy journals, and has served as a science advisor to the National Institute of Occupational Safety and Health, to the Department of Homeland Security's (DHS) Center for Risk and Economic Analysis of Terrorist Events, and to the DHS Chemical Facility Anti-Terrorism Standards program. Morral received his Ph.D. in psychology from the New School for Social Research.

Recent Projects

  • Sexual assault and harassment in the US Armed Forces
  • Improving the performance of the Israel Police
  • Deterrence in counterterrorism security
  • Terrorism risk modeling
  • Measuring illegal border crossing between ports of entry

Selected Publications

Jessica Saunders, Steven W. Popper, Andrew R. Morral, Robert C. Davis, Claude Berrebi, Kristin J. Leuschner, Shira Efron, Boaz Segalovitz, K. Jack Riley, Effective Policing for 21st-Century Israel, RAND (RR-287/1), 2014

Edward G. Keating, Andrew R. Morral, Carter C. Price, Dulani Woods, Daniel M. Norton, Christina Panis, Evan Saltzman, Ricardo Sanchez, Air Attack Against Wildfires: Understanding U.S. Forest Service Requirements for Large Aircraft, RAND (MG-1234-USDAFS), 2012

Andrew R. Morral, Carter C. Price, David S. Ortiz, Bradley Wilson, Tom LaTourrette, Blake W. Mobley, Shawn McKay, Henry H. Willis, Modeling Terrorism Risk to the Air Transportation System: An Independent Assessment of TSA's Risk Management Assessment Tool and Associated Methods., RAND (MG-1241-TSA), 2012

Andrew R. Morral, Henry H. Willis, Peter Brownell, Measuring Illegal Border Crossing Between Ports of Entry: An Assessment of Four Promising Approaches., RAND (OP-328-OSD), 2011

Ramchand, R., MacDonald, J, Haviland, A., and Morral, A.R., "A developmental approach for measuring the seriousness of crimes," Journal of Quantitative Criminology, 25, 2009

Morral, A.R., Jackson, B.A., Understanding the Role of Deterrence in Counterterrorism Security, RAND (OP-281), 2009

Eibner, C, Pacula RL, MacDonald, JM, Morral, AR, "Is the drug court model exportable? The cost-effectiveness of a driving-under-the-influence court.," Journal of Substance Abuse Treatment, 31:75-85, 2006

Ramchand R, Morral AR, Becker K., "Seven-year life outcomes of adolescent offenders in Los Angeles," American Journal of Public Health, 5, 99

Commentary

  • The first U.S. Customs and Border Protection unmanned aerial vehicle in 2004.

    Improving DHS Accountability for Acquisitions

    While management at the Department of Homeland Security progressed in many areas during the past decade, there is still plenty of room for growth and improvement, especially in the area of acquisition management.

    Apr 22, 2014 | The RAND Blog

  • A Hellenic Air Force Canadair CL-415 drops water over a forest fire northeast of Athens in August 2009

    Investing in Firefighting

    While the U.S. Forest Service has not completely agreed with RAND's proposal to transition to a fleet dominated by water-dropping scooper aircraft for fighting fires, they have leased one CL-415 scooper aircraft. It might be more cost-effective for the USFS to simply purchase it outright.

    Dec 30, 2013 | The Orange County Register

  • Migrant workers load cucumbers into a truck in Blackwater, Virginia

    Is Enforcement Key to Fixing America's Immigration System?

    The current debate regarding comprehensive immigration reform offers an opportunity to redesign the worksite immigration enforcement system to achieve more efficient enforcement with better intelligence on where undocumented workers are employed, say Andrew Morral and Peter Brownell.

    Feb 15, 2013 | CNN

  • A person holding a pistol in blue light

    Firearms and Gun Control: Many Questions, Some Answers

    President Obama's task force on gun violence has raised the stakes in the policy debate on gun control and policy in the wake of the recent shootings in Colorado and Connecticut. Some of RAND's top researchers share what is, and what isn't, known about firearms and gun control.

    Jan 17, 2013 | RAND.org

  • Focus on the Worst Ex-Cons and Boost Community-Based Rehab

    Focus on the Worst Ex-Cons and Boost Community-Based Rehab in Riverside Press-Enterprise

    May 27, 2007 | Riverside Press-Enterprise

Publications