Andrew R. Morral

Photo of Andrew Morral
Associate Director, RAND Justice, Infrastructure, and Environment; Senior Behavioral Scientist
Washington Office


Ph.D. in psychology, New School for Social Research

Media Resources

This researcher is available for interviews.

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Andrew R. Morral is the associate director of RAND Justice, Infrastructure, and Environment and a senior behavioral scientist at the RAND Corporation. He manages a wide range of projects involving coastal and border security, emergency preparedness and response, defense support to civil authorities, transportation security, domestic intelligence programs, technology acquisition, and related topics. Morral's research expertise includes program evaluation, performance measurement, and modeling and simulation. He has published dozens of peer-reviewed reports in leading scientific and policy journals. Morral received his Ph.D. in psychology from the New School for Social Research.

Recent Projects

  • Measuring illegal border crossing between ports of entry
  • Deterrence in counterterrorism security
  • Terrorism risk modeling

Selected Publications

Morral, A.R., Jackson, B.A., Understanding the Role of Deterrence in Counterterrorism Security, RAND (OP-281), 2009

Rostker, B, Hanser, L, Hix, WM, Jensen, C, Morral, AR, Ridgeway, G, Schell, T., Evaluation of the New York Police Department Firearms Training and Firearms Discharge Review Process., RAND (MG-717), 2008

Eibner, C, Pacula RL, MacDonald, JM, Morral, AR, "Is the drug court model exportable? The cost-efffectiveness of a driving-under-the-influence court.," Journal of Substance Abuse Treatment, 31:75-85, 2006

Willis, H., Morral, A.R., Kelly, T., Medby J., Estimating Terrorism Risk, RAND (MG-388), 2005

Ramchand, R., MacDonald, J, Haviland, A., and Morral, A.R., "A developmental approach for measuring the seriousness of crimes," Journal of Quantitative Criminology


  • The first U.S. Customs and Border Protection unmanned aerial vehicle in 2004.

    Improving DHS Accountability for Acquisitions

    While management at the Department of Homeland Security progressed in many areas during the past decade, there is still plenty of room for growth and improvement, especially in the area of acquisition management.

    Apr 22, 2014 | The RAND Blog

  • A Hellenic Air Force Canadair CL-415 drops water over a forest fire northeast of Athens in August 2009

    Investing in Firefighting

    While the U.S. Forest Service has not completely agreed with RAND's proposal to transition to a fleet dominated by water-dropping scooper aircraft for fighting fires, they have leased one CL-415 scooper aircraft. It might be more cost-effective for the USFS to simply purchase it outright.

    Dec 30, 2013 | The Orange County Register

  • Migrant workers load cucumbers into a truck in Blackwater, Virginia

    Is Enforcement Key to Fixing America's Immigration System?

    The current debate regarding comprehensive immigration reform offers an opportunity to redesign the worksite immigration enforcement system to achieve more efficient enforcement with better intelligence on where undocumented workers are employed, say Andrew Morral and Peter Brownell.

    Feb 15, 2013 | CNN

  • A person holding a pistol in blue light

    Firearms and Gun Control: Many Questions, Some Answers

    President Obama's task force on gun violence has raised the stakes in the policy debate on gun control and policy in the wake of the recent shootings in Colorado and Connecticut. Some of RAND's top researchers share what is, and what isn't, known about firearms and gun control.

    Jan 17, 2013 |

  • Focus on the Worst Ex-Cons and Boost Community-Based Rehab

    Focus on the Worst Ex-Cons and Boost Community-Based Rehab in Riverside Press-Enterprise

    May 27, 2007 | Riverside Press-Enterprise