Christopher Paul

Photo of Christopher Paul
Senior Social Scientist; Professor, Pardee RAND Graduate School
Pittsburgh Office

Education

Ph.D., M.A., and B.A. in sociology, University of California, Los Angeles

Media Resources

This researcher is available for interviews.

To arrange an interview, contact the RAND Office of Media Relations at (310) 451-6913, or email media@rand.org.

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Overview

Christopher Paul is a senior social scientist at the RAND Corporation and professor at the Pardee RAND Graduate School. He is also a member of the adjunct faculty in the Center for Economic Development in the Heinz College at Carnegie Mellon University. Prior to joining RAND full-time in July 2002, Paul worked as an adjunct at RAND for six years and on the statistics faculty at the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA) in 2001–02. Paul has developed methodological competencies in comparative historical and case study approaches, evaluation research, various forms of quantitative analysis, and survey research. Paul received his Ph.D. in sociology from UCLA.

Concurrent Non-RAND Positions

Professor, Pardee RAND Graduate School; Adjunct faculty, Center for Economic Development, Heinz College, Carnegie Mellon University

Recent Projects

  • Laying a Foundation for the Assessment of Department of Defense Efforts to Inform, Influence, and Persuade
  • Developing a Framework for the Assessment of Locally Focused Stability Operations
  • Developing a Tool for Security Cooperation/Building Partner Capacity Prioritization
  • Correlates of Success in Counterinsurgency Since WWII
  • What Works Best When Building Partner Capacity and Under What Circumstances?

Selected Publications

Christopher Paul et al., "Between Large-N And Small-N Analyses: Historical Comparison of Thirty Insurgency Case Studies," Historical Methods, 2013 (forthcoming)

Christopher Paul, et al., What Works Best When Building Partner Capacity and Under What Circumstances?RAND (MG-1253/1), 2013

Christopher Paul, Agnes Gereben Schaefer, Colin P. Clarke, The Challenge of Violent Drug-Trafficking Organizations: An Assessment of Mexican Security Based on Existing RAND Research on Urban Unrest, Insurgency, and Defense-Sector Reform, RAND (MG-1125), 2011

Christopher Paul, Strategic Communication: Origins, Concepts, and Current Debates, Praeger, 2011

Christopher Paul, "As a Fish Swims in the Sea: Relationships Between Factors Contributing to Support for Terrorist or Insurgent Groups," Studies in Conflict & Terrorism, 33(6):388-410, 2010

Christopher Paul, "Strategic Communication is Vague: Say What You Mean," Joint Force Quarterly, (56):10-13, 2010

Christopher Paul, Colin P. Clarke, and Beth Grill, Victory Has a Thousand Fathers: Sources of Success in Counterinsurgency, RAND Corporation (MG-964), 2010

Christopher Paul, Information Operations - Doctrine and Practice: A Reference Handbook, Praeger, 2008

Honors & Awards

  • 2013 Military Operations Research Journal Award, Military Operations Research Society
  • 2010 Merit Bonus Award, RAND

Recent Media Appearances

Interviews: Christian Science Monitor; Fox; Hartford Courant; Milwaukee Journal Sentinel; Pittsburgh Post-Gazette; Stars and Stripes

Commentary

  • counterinsurgency mission in Afghanistan

    Paths to Victory in the Australian Defence and Security Context

    The historical importance of commitment and motivation and the need to overmatch insurgents suggest that Australia should weigh any commitment of support against existing conditions, those that can be changed and those that can't, writes Christopher Paul.

    Oct 2, 2013 | The Strategist

  • History Favors More Time

    The Afghans will have better prospects for defeating their insurgency with continued improvement, of course, and the United States can contribute to that improvement while American forces remain, writes Christopher Paul.

    Apr 3, 2012 | NYTimes.com

  • Find the Right Balance Between Civilian and Military: Don't Just Strip the DoD of Capabilities to Inform, Influence, and Persuade

    All parties would like to see greater U.S. capability to inform, influence, and persuade abroad, with the Department of State as the robust leader of American public diplomacy and the Department of Defense as a valued and supporting partner, writes Christopher Paul.

    Oct 31, 2010 | MountainRunner Institute

  • Psychological Operations by Another Name Are Sweeter

    The Department of Defense has decided to change the name of military psychological operations (PSYOP) and this is a good thing, writes Christopher Paul.

    Jul 29, 2010 | Small Wars Journal

  • Rethink Washington's 'War of Ideas'

    The term "Global War on Terror" is now out of favor in the government lexicon, and new drug czar Gil Kerlikowske wants to end the use of the phrase "War on Drugs." It's not that opposing terrorism or drugs is no longer important, or that operations will be substantially changed. But how we talk about things matters, writes Christopher Paul.

    Jun 2, 2009 | The Christian Science Monitor

  • Ad Men for U.S. Defense

    Improving the U.S. military's brand identity demands more than just a catchy new slogan. While communications can help explain U.S. policies, the behavior of every soldier, sailor, airman and marine is what ultimately determines how civilians view U.S. forces, write Todd Helmus, Russell Glenn and Christopher Paul in a commentary appearing in United Press International.

    Aug 20, 2007 | United Press International

Publications