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Guidelines and Metrics for Assessing Space System Cost Estimates
This handbook is designed to help analysts evaluate cost estimates of space systems. It assumes the reader understands common cost analysis methodologies but has limited experience with space systems. Its objectives are to help the analyst who is tasked with reviewing an estimate to plan the review; to identify the key programmatic, technical, and cost data needed; to highlight common issues to investigate; and to provide typical cost ranges for components of relevant historical space programs. The book supplements the Air Force Cost Analysis Agency’s spacecraft training course by focusing on the cost analysis implications of the systems and processes covered in the course. Appendixes provide relevant source material and suggested checklists.
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Contents
Chapter One:
Introduction
Chapter Two:
Space System Fundamentals
Chapter Three:
Reviewing a Cost Estimate
Chapter Four:
Space Vehicle Cost Crosschecks
Chapter Five:
Common Issues in Estimating Space Programs
Chapter Six:
Resources for Space System Cost Estimation
Chapter Seven:
Recommendations
Appendix A:
MIL-HDBK-881B Space Systems WBS
Appendix B:
USCM WBS
Appendix C:
MIL-HDBK-881A Space Systems WBS
Appendix D:
NRO WBS
Appendix E:
OSD CAIG Criteria for Cost Estimates
Appendix F:
Cost Risk Checklist
Appendix G:
Recalculating Crosscheck Prediction Intervals
The research reported here was sponsored by the United States Air Force and conducted by RAND Project AIR FORCE.
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