Congressional Panel Discussion - November 17, 2008
Deterrence: Past, Present, & Future
Austin Long, RAND Corporation
Monday, November 17, 2008
11:00 a.m. –12:00 p.m.
210 Cannon House Office Building
About the Program
As we transition towards a new administration with new and unique challenges the issue of deterrence, specifically nuclear deterrence, is certain to be one of the topics of discussion. The nature of the challenges posed by nuclear-armed adversaries has changed significantly since the end of the Cold War and the prospect is for continued change should countries such as North Korea and Iran succeed in acquiring deliverable nuclear arsenals. In light of these shifts, traditional approaches to preventing nuclear use will be found wanting: New approaches are called for and with them will come the need for new military capabilities and postures. This panel will explore several issues at the heart of this dynamic set of challenges. These include:
- Enduring roles for nuclear weapons and future needs for nuclear deterrence
- The desirability and feasibility of a transition to zero nuclear weapons
- Deterrence of non-state actors
- Challenges posed by nuclear-armed regional adversaries
- Options for a new round of arms control with Russia
- Conventional forces and deterrence
- Deterrence and constrained Defense budgets
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