Oct 18, 2016
Only once ISIS's underground network is defeated will there be a real chance for enduring security and stability in Mosul.
The RAND Center for Middle East Public Policy (CMEPP) brings together analytic excellence and regional expertise from across the RAND Corporation to address the most critical political, social, and economic challenges facing the Middle East today. Our goal is to inform policy in ways that help improve the security and well-being of people living in the region.
The conflict in Syria has created the largest refugee crisis since World War II, with millions fleeing to Turkey, Lebanon, Jordan, Europe, and beyond. RAND studies explore a wide range of issues, including the root causes and historical context, living conditions for refugees, the effect on Middle East and EU countries, and options for a Western response.Learn More About RAND's Work on Refugees»
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This report examines the ongoing debate about the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria (ISIS) on Arabic Twitter to better understand the Twitter networks of ISIS supporters and opponents, using a mixed-methods analytic approach to identify and characterize in detail both support and opposition networks. The authors draw on community detection algorithms, lexical analysis to identify key themes and content, and social network analysis.
This report examines what binds and divides the six Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) states — Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates — and presents the outlook for the GCC's evolution over the next ten years. The study aims to help policymakers better understand intra-GCC dynamics and prepare for future trends in a region with high stakes for U.S. strategic interests.
This report assesses the campaign against the Islamic State (ISIL), focusing on the military and political aspects. It evaluates the capabilities and motivations of the counter-ISIL forces, as well as U.S.-led efforts to provide training, equipment, advice, and assistance. While some degradation of ISIL has been achieved, lasting defeat will require more capable indigenous forces and political agreements among Iraqis and Syrians.
In this second paper in a series addressing Syria's conflict, RAND researchers examine the possibility of decentralizing power in the country to limit current conflict and allow more time to develop a national transition process. Devolution of power to localities can help by lowering the stakes of the conflict, providing security to Syrians, and deferring some of the fundamental issues that will require a drawn out negotiation.