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CAPP Newsletter Archive: May 2003

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May 2003 Table of Contents

Message from the Director
CAPP in the News
New RAND Publications on Asia
RAND Research Highlights
CAPP News and Events
Recommended Resources


Message from the Director

Events on the Korean Peninsula are again the focus of attention for this edition of the newsletter, from RAND op-eds on North Korea to a new publication about R&D cooperation in Korea. We are also pleased to welcome two new, distinguished members to the CAPP Advisory Board.

-Nina Hachigian, CAPP Director

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CAPP in the News

China Uses Oil to Pressure North Korea
Evan Medeiros on NPR's Morning Edition
April 4, 2003

Recently, China briefly turned off a pipeline that supplies 80 percent of North Korea's oil, suggesting a new proactiveness from Beijing to pressure Pyongyang to curb its nuclear program. Medeiros suggested that the Chinese government may have realized that "when push comes to shove, China will have to choose non-proliferation" and actively prevent North Korea from developing and deploying nuclear weapons.

What SARS Fallout?
William Overholt quoted in Forbes magazine
April 28, 2003

While SARS has wreaked havoc in other ways, China's economy has so far suffered little fallout from the disease. Exports are holding up, and neither domestic demand nor investment outlays show any signs of declining soon. "Few businesses would be foolish enough to make strategic decisions based on the initial site of an epidemic that is likely to affect the whole world eventually," CAPP Asia Policy Chair Overholt explained.

Read the article

Driving a Hard Bargain
Bruce Bennett in Newsweek
January 15, 2003

How might a nuclear North Korea flex its muscle? It's never easy predicting Pyongyang's future actions, but the article points out that other nuclear powers like Pakistan could provide models of behavior. "Strategically, argues Rand Corp.'s Bruce Bennett, 'Pakistan is clearly thinking beyond one weapon as a final throw.' In other words, Islamabad views its nukes not as a last-ditch deterrent against a more powerful foe but as potent tactical weapons for the battlefield."

Read the article

Now, Back to the Real Threat? The One with Nukes
by Nina Hachigian and Bruce Bennett
Orange County Register
April 13, 2003

While the clean-up of the war in Iraq dominates the news today, the authors warn in this commentary that an unresolved North Korea crisis could mean nuclear war for the United States.

Read the commentary

South Korea Ignores Threat from North at Its Peril
by Bruce Bennett
United Press International Wire
March 7, 2003

Bennett points out that many young South Koreans today seem convinced that an attack from North Korea is extraordinarily unlikely, a belief he states is at odds with reality. "North Korea is a police state led by a dictator who has a specific strategy -- and an often-stated intent -- to conquer South Korea," Bennett asserts. "Believing anything else is an illusion" -- an illusion that imperils South Korea and its neighbors.

Read the commentary

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New RAND Publications on Asia

Phase Transition in Korea-U.S. Science and Technology Relations
by Caroline Wagner, Anny Wong, SungHo Lee, and Irene Brahmakulam

The United States and Korea have made significant commitments to bilateral science and technology cooperation. The result has been a strong relationship, one that has helped Korea emerge into a group of scientifically advanced countries. The new status of Korea, as well as the changing nature of global science, mandates a new look at the bilateral S&T relationship. A move towards a more balanced relationship, and one that includes other countries in cooperative projects, are just two of the recommendations offered in this report.

Read the report

The Availability of Child Care Centers in China and Its Impact on Child Care and Maternal Work Decisions
by M. Rebecca Kilburn and Ashlesha Datar

Growth in female labor force participation is one of the hallmarks of development, and several countries have expanded child care services as a way to help promote female labor force participation. Using data from the China Health and Nutrition Survey, the authors assessed the Chinese government's effectiveness at promoting mothers' labor force participation and found that the influence of day care center availability is sizable.

Read the report

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RAND Research Highlights

Non-governmental Organizations and Indonesia's
Radical Decentralization Program

Pardee RAND Graduate School Dean Bob Klitgaard held a three-day workshop in Bogor, Indonesia for about 40 Indonesian leaders of non-governmental organizations. Participants examined ways that NGOs can help make Indonesia's radical decentralization program a success. By the end of the three days, the organizations had designed specific projects that can help enhance the efficiency and transparency of local governments. During his visit to Indonesia, Dean Klitgaard also met with two cabinet ministers and ran a one-day workshop for mayors on governance issues.

Development of Japanese Version of the UCLA Prostate Cancer Index: A Pilot Validation Study
Yoshiyuki Kakehi, Toshiyuki Kamoto, Osamu Ogawa, Yoichi Arai, Mark S. Litwin, Yoshimi Suzukamo, Shunichi Fukuhara
Originally published in The Japan Society of Clinical Oncology, v. 7, no. 5, Oct. 2002, p. [306]-311

There are few reliable and valid instruments for measuring disease-specific health-related quality of life (HRQOL) in Japanese patients with localized prostate cancer. The authors developed a Japanese version of the University of California, Los Angeles Prostate Cancer Index (UCLA PCI) to assess HRQOL in Japanese patients treated with various modalities.

Order the article from The Japan Society of Clinical Oncology

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CAPP News and Events

Conference on China and the Internet

While worldwide Internet development has slowed recently, the Internet community in China continues to expand. CAPP is co-sponsoring perhaps the largest U.S. conference on the Internet in China. "China and the Internet: Technology, Economy, and Society in Transition", a two-day conference at the University of Southern California on May 30-31, 2003, will bring together scholars, policy analysts, industry leaders, journalists, and legal practitioners around the world to explore the social, economic, and cultural impact of the Internet on China. Read more on the conference web site

RAND Scholars Discuss the Future of the US-ROK Alliance

Upon their return from a trip to South Korea, CAPP Visiting Scholar General Dong-shin Kim, Former Korean Defense Minister and a 4-star Republic of Korea (ROK) Army Chief of Staff, and RAND analyst Bruce Bennett discussed their perspectives on and impressions of current challenges facing the region at a CAPP roundtable on February 19, 2003. Read more

Former Premier of Taiwan Discusses Taiwan's Economy and Cross-Strait Relations with RAND Analysts

On March 12, 2003, CAPP hosted a discussion on Taiwan's economy and cross-strait relations with the former Premier of Taiwan, Vincent Siew, and Ambassador Steven Chi-Shean Chan, former Minister of Health and current National Policy Adviser to the President of Taiwan. The seminar was attended by several RAND analysts. Read more

Asia Pacific Policy Experts Brief Congressman at RAND

Congressman Howard Berman (D-CA) attended a half-day briefing at RAND's Santa Monica headquarters on February 17 that focused on a number of foreign affairs issues. Berman is a senior member of the International Relations Committee in the House of Representatives. CAPP Director Nina Hachigian, International Programs Director Jerry Green, NSRD International Security and Defense Policy Center Director James Dobbins and analysts Bruce Bennett and Rollie Lal briefed the Congressman on such topical issues as Iran and Iraq, Post-Saddam Hussein Iraq, Pakistan, and North Korea.

CAPP Welcomes New Board Members

Donald Tang, Senior Managing Director of Bear, Stearns & Co. Inc. and Chairman, Bear Stearns Asia, joined the CAPP Advisory Board on March 10, 2003. Read more

Mrs. Lalita Gupte, Joint Managing Director of ICICI Bank Limited, the largest private sector bank in India, agreed to join the CAPP Board in April. Read more

Japanese Delegation Visits Washington

Science policy officials and analysts from Japan visited with RAND Science and Technology analysts Steve Rattien, Helga Rippen, and other RAND staff on February 25 to exchange views regarding what the United States is doing with its Research and Development (R&D) portfolio to support homeland security. Topics discussed included how R&D priorities should be set. The Japanese delegation included Yoichi Ito, Eiki Mizuma, Hiroo Hieda, and Kazuhiro Mitsumori.

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Recommended Resources

The following are newsgroups, magazines, portal sites, and other online resources that policy analysts, researchers, and others studying Asia-Pacific policy may find helpful. Please note that CAPP has no control over these sites and is not responsible for their content. Links to other sites are provided for convenience of reference only and are not intended as an endorsement by CAPP or RAND.

The Global Knowledge Partnership is a "network of networks" with a diverse membership base comprising public, private and not-for profit organizations from both developed and developing countries, with the aim of promoting broad access to - and effective use of - knowledge and information as tools of equitable sustainable development in Asia and other parts of the world.

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