Publications Archive - 2010

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Cover: An Economic Analysis of the Financial Records of al-Qa'ida in Iraq

An Economic Analysis of the Financial Records of al–Qa’ida in Iraq — 2010

Benjamin Bahney, Howard J. Shatz, Carroll Ganier, Renny McPherson, Barbara Sude, Sara Beth Elson, Ghassan Schbley

This monograph analyzes the finances of the militant group al-Qa'ida in Iraq in Anbar province during 2005 and 2006, at the peak of the group's power and influence. The authors draw on captured financial documents that give details on the daily financial transactions of one specific sector within Anbar province and of the financial transactions of the AQI provincial administration.

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The al Qaeda-Inspired Terrorist Threat: An Appreciation of the Current Situation — 2010

Brian Michael Jenkins

Testimony presented before the Canadian Senate Special Committee on Anti-terrorism on December 6, 2010.

Cover: Three Proposed Initiatives for Improving Mobility, Quality of Life, and Economic Growth in the West Bank

Three Proposed Initiatives for Improving Mobility, Quality of Life, and Economic Growth in the West Bank: A Visual Summary

Describes three demonstration projects based on the Arc, RAND's proposal for a sweeping infrastructure corridor linking urban centers, within and between the West Bank and Gaza.

Cover: Whither Al-Anbar Province? Five Scenarios Through 2011

Whither Al-Anbar Province? Five Scenarios Through 2011 — 2010

James B. Bruce, Jeffrey Martini

Presents a discussion of likely scenarios for Iraq's al-Anbar Province over the course of the next three years.

Cover: Afghanistan's Local War: Building Local Defense Forces

Afghanistan's Local War: Building Local Defense Forces — 2010

Seth Jones, Arturo Munoz

The Afghan government and NATO strategy needs to include leveraging local communities, especially the use of traditional policing institutions, to establish security in Afghanistan and help mobilize the rural population against insurgents.

Cover: Simple Models to Explore Deterrence and More General Influence in the War with al-Qaeda

Simple Models to Explore Deterrence and More General Influence in the War with al-Qaeda — 2010

Paul K. Davis

Simple, conceptual models can be used to help guide thinking about how to deter or to otherwise influence potential, actual, or disengaging terrorists and the many people who support their organizations directly or indirectly.

Cover: Victory Has a Thousand Fathers: Detailed Counterinsurgency Case Studies

Victory Has a Thousand Fathers: Sources of Success in Counterinsurgency — 2010

An examination of approaches to counterinsurgency from 30 recent resolved campaigns reveals that good COIN practices tend to ''run in packs'' and that the balance of selected good and bad practices perfectly predicts the outcome of a conflict.

Cover: Victory Has a Thousand Fathers: Detailed Counterinsurgency Case Studies

Victory Has a Thousand Fathers: Sources of Success in Counterinsurgency — 2010

An examination of approaches to counterinsurgency from 30 recent resolved campaigns reveals that good COIN practices tend to ''run in packs'' and that the balance of selected good and bad practices perfectly predicts the outcome of a conflict.

Cover:  Assessing Living Conditions in Iraq's Anbar Province in 2009

Assessing Living Conditions in Iraq's Anbar Province in 2009 — 2010

A May-June 2009 RAND survey of conditions in Iraq's Anbar Province collected data on security and the effects of war, public infrastructure, demographics, employment, income and standards of living, education, and housing.

Cover: Counterinsurgency in Pakistan

Counterinsurgency in Pakistan — 2010

Seth Jones, C. Fair

Pakistan has undertaken a number of operations against militant and terrorist groups since 2001, but success has been limited, in part because Pakistan has still not adopted a counterinsurgency strategy that focuses on securing the local population.

Cover: Hired Guns

Hired Guns: Views About Armed Contractors in Operation Iraqi Freedom — 2010

Sarah Cotton, Ulrich Petersohn, Molly Dunigan, Q Burkhart, Megan Zander-Cotugno, Edward O'Connell, Michael Webber

Reports the results of surveys of military and State Department personnel concerning their views on the use of armed private security contractors in the Iraq war.

Cover: Building Security in the Persian Gulf

Building Security in the Persian Gulf — 2010

Robert Hunter

The author makes recommendations for a new security structure for the Persian Gulf region in order to promote long-term security and stability while reducing burdens on the United States imposed by its role as a permanent power there.

Cover: Would-Be Warriors

Would-Be Warriors: Incidents of Jihadist Terrorist Radicalization in the United States Since September 11, 2001 — 2010

Brian Michael Jenkins

Intelligence collection by law enforcement and lack of community support have limited radicalization and recruitment to jihadist terrorism in the United States to 46 cases since 9/11, although 2009 saw a sharp increase in the number of cases.

Cover: Regime and Periphery in Northern Yemen: The Huthi Phenomenon

Regime and Periphery in Northern Yemen: The Huthi Phenomenon — 2010

Barak Salmoni, Bryce Loidolt, Madeleine Wells

Presents an in-depth look at the military conflict between the government of Yemen and the citizens in its northern region known as “Huthis.”'

Cover: How Insurgencies End

How Insurgencies End — 2010

Ben Connable, Martin Libicki

This book tests conventional wisdom about how insurgencies end using 89 case studies. Findings provide insight on tactics and strategy to policymakers and analysts, concluding that there are no counterinsurgency shortcuts.

Cover: The Iraq Effect: The Middle East After the Iraq War

The Iraq Effect: The Middle East After the Iraq War — 2010

Frederic Wehrey, Dalia Kaye, Jessica Watkins, Jeffrey Martini, Robert Guffey

The Iraq War has created new challenges and opportunities for U.S. policy in the Middle East by affecting the regional balance of power, local views of U.S. credibility, the stability of Arab regimes, and the future of al-Qa'ida.

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Stabilization from the Bottom Up — 2010

Seth Jones

Testimony presented before the Commission on Wartime Contracting on February 22, 2010.

Cover: RAND in Southeast Asia

RAND in Southeast Asia: A History of the Vietnam War Era — 2010

Mai Elliott

Chronicles RAND's involvement in researching insurgency and counterinsurgency in Vietnam, Laos, and Thailand during the Vietnam War era, and assesses the effect that this research had on U.S. policies and the thinking of key decisionmakers.

Cover: Security in Iraq

Security in Iraq: A Framework for Analyzing Emerging Threats as U.S. Forces Leave — 2010

David Gompert, Terrence Kelly, Jessica Watkins

U.S. withdrawal from Iraq could affect Iraq's internal security and stability, which could, in turn, affect U.S. strategic interests and the safety of U.S. troops and civilians in Iraq. The framework provided here can help minimize negative effects.

Cover: The Impact of U.S. Military Drawdown in Iraq on Displaced and Other Vulnerable Populations: Analysis and Recommendations

The Impact of U.S. Military Drawdown in Iraq on Displaced and Other Vulnerable Populations — 2010

Olga Oliker, Audra Grant, Dalia Kaye

Assesses the risks and implications of U.S. drawdown and withdrawal from Iraq for vulnerable populations in Iraq and in neighboring states, and makes recommendations for mitigating anticipated problems.

Cover: Mullahs, Guards, and Bonyads: An Exploration of Iranian Leadership Dynamics

Mullahs, Guards, and Bonyads: An Exploration of Iranian Leadership Dynamics — 2010

David E. Thaler, Alireza Nader, Shahram Chubin, Jerrold D. Green, Charlotte Lynch, Frederic Wehrey

The authors describe Iran's strategic culture; investigate the Iranian political system's informal networks, formal institutions, and personalities; assess the impact of elite behavior on Iranian policy; and summarize key trends.

 

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