Futures Methodologies

Delphi Assessment: Expert Opinion, Forecasting, and Group Process - 1974

Harold Sackman, R-1283-PR

Document Abstract

Comparison of Group Judgment Techniques with Short-Range Predictions and Almanac Questions -1971

Norman Crolee Dalkey, Bernice B. Brown, R-0678-ARPA

Document Abstract

Experimental Assessment of Delphi Procedures with Group Value Judgments -1971

Norman Crolee Dalkey, D.L. Rourke, R-0612-ARPA

Document Abstract

The Delphi Method, IV: Effect of Percentile Feedback and Feed-In of Relevant Facts -1970

Norman Crolee Dalkey, Bernice B. Brown, S.W. Cochran, RM-6118-PR

Document Abstract

The Delphi Method, III: Use of Self-Ratings To Improve Group Estimates - 1969

Norman Crolee Dalkey, Bernice B. Brown, S.W. Cochran, RM-6115-PR

Document Abstract

The Delphi Method, II: Structure of Experiments - 1969

Bernice B. Brown, S.W. Cochran, Norman Crolee Dalkey, RM-5957-PR

Document Abstract

The Delphi Method: An Experimental Study of Group Opinion - 1969

Norman Crolee Dalkey, RM-5888-PR

Document Abstract

Delphi and Values - 1969

N.H. Rescher, P-4182

Document Abstract

Predicting the Future - 1968

Norman Crolee Dalkey, P-3948

Document Abstract

Experiments in Group Prediction - 1968

Norman Crolee Dalkey, P-3820

Document Abstract

Delphi Process: A Methodology Used for the Elicitation of Opinions of Experts - 1968

Bernice B. Brown, P-3925

Document Abstract

Systematic Use of Expert Opinions -1967

Olaf Helmer-Hirschberg, P-3721

Document Abstract

Delphi - 1967

Norman Crolee Dalkey, P-3704

Document Abstract

Analysis of the Future: The Delphi Method -1967

Olaf Helmer-Hirschberg, P-3558

Document Abstract

The Use of the Delphi Technique in Problems of Educational Innovations - 1966

Olaf Helmer-Hirschberg, P-3499

Document Abstract

Improving the Reliability of Estimates Obtained from a Consensus of Experts -1964

Bernice B. Brown, Olaf Helmer-Hirschberg, P-2986

Document Abstract

Convergence of Expert Consensus Through Feedback - 1964

Olaf Helmer-Hirschberg, P-2973

Document Abstract

The Systematic Use of Expert Judgment in Operations Research -1963

Olaf Helmer-Hirschberg, P-2795

Document Abstract

An Experimental Application of the Delphi Method to the Use of Experts - 1962

Norman Crolee Dalkey, Olaf Helmer-Hirschberg, RM-727-PR

Document Abstract

On the Epistemology of the Inexact Sciences - 1958

Olaf Helmer-Hirschberg, Nicholas Rescher, P-1513

Document Abstract (Revised, 1960: Document Abstract)