Publications and Presentations
This project has supported numerous academic publications, presentations, and interviews.
Related Research
Publications listed below are related to the topic of this project and authored or co-authored by members of the project research team. The list is organized alphabetically and chronologically.
Estimating the Value of Water-Use Efficiency in the Intermountain West – 2008
David G. Groves, James Griffin, Sara Hajiamiri
Read Document
Evaluating the Benefits and Costs of Increased Water-Use Efficiency in Commercial Buildings – 2007
David G. Groves, Jordan Fischbach, Scot Hickey
Read Document
Shaping the Future — 2005
Steven W. Popper, Robert J. Lempert and Steven C. Bankes
Full Article (ScientificAmerican.com)
Characterizing Climate-Change Uncertainties for Decisionmakers – 2004
Robert Lempert, Nebojsa Nakicenovic, Daniel Sarewitz, and Michael Schlesinger
Full Document (MACESIZ)
Solving nonconvex climate control problems: Pitfalls and algorithm performances — 2004
Carmen G. Moles, Julio R. Banga, and Klaus Keller
Article Abstract (Applied Soft Computing; full article available with subscription)
Uncertain climate thresholds and economic optimal growth — 2004
K. Keller, B. M. Bolker, and D. F. Bradford
Article Abstract (Journal of Environmental
Economics and Management; full article available with subscription)
You say probable and I say likely: Improving inter-personal communication with verbal probability phrases — 2004
T.M. Karelitz and D.V. Budescu
Article Abstract (Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied; full article available with subscription)
Decision making under internal uncertainty: The case of multiple-choice tests with different scoring rules — 2003
Y. Bereby-Meyer, J. Meyer, and D.V. Budescu
Article Abstract (Acta Psychologica; full article available with subscription)
Inter-personal communication of precise and imprecise subjective probabilities — 2003
D.V. Budescu and T.M. Karelitz
In J.M. Bernard, T. Seidenfeld, and M. Zaffalon (eds.) Proceedings of the Third International Symposium on Imprecise probabilities and their Applications (ISIPTA ’03). (Carleton Scientific, 2003), pp. 91-105.
Predicting the directionality of probability words from their membership functions — 2003
D.V. Budescu, T.M. Karelitz, and T.S. Wallsten
Full Document
Article Abstract (Journal of Behavioral Decision Making)
The effects of asymmetry among advisors on the aggregation of their opinions — 2003
D.V. Budescu, A.K. Rantilla, H. Yu, and T.M. Karelitz
Article Abstract (Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes; full article available with subscription)
Detecting a potential collapse of the North Atlantic thermohaline circulation before a point of no return: Implications for the design of an ocean observation system — 2002
C. Deutsch, M. G. Hall, D. F. Bradford, and K. Keller
Paper presented at the EMF Summer Workshop "Climate Change Impacts and Integrated Assessment VIII" Snowmass, Colo., July 27 - August 7, 2002.
Modeling certainty equivalents for imprecise gambles — 2002
D.V. Budescu, K.M. Kuhn, K.M. Kramer, and T. Johnson
Article Abstract (Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes; full article available with subscription)
Robust Adaptive Planning May Help Policymakers Confront Surprise — 2002
Robert Lempert, Steven Popper, Steven Bankes
Article Abstract (Social Science Computer Review; full article available with subscription)
Averaging probability judgments: Monte Carlo analyses of asymptotic diagnostic values — 2001
T.R. Johnson, D.V. Budescu, and T.S. Wallsten
Full Document
Article Abstract (Journal of Behavioral Decision Making)
Beyond Ellsberg's paradox: Modelling the effects of vagueness in risky decisions — 2001
D.V. Budescu, K.M. Kuhn, and K.M. Kramer
Revue d’economie politique, 111, pp. 728.
Possible biological or physical explanations for decadal scale trends in North Pacific nutrient concentrations and oxygen utilization — 2001
K. Keller, R. D. Slater, M. Bender and R. M. Key
Article Abstract (Deep Sea Research II; full article available with subscription)
Random error reduction in analytic hierarchies: A comparison of holistic and decompositional decision strategies — 2001
O.F. Morera and D.V. Budescu
Full Document
Article Abstract (Journal of Behavioral Decision Making)
The same but different: An empirical examination of the reducibility principle — 2001
D.V. Budescu and I. Fischer
Full Document
Article Abstract (Journal of Behavioral Decision Making)
Confidence in aggregation of expert opinions — 2000
D.V. Budescu and A.K. Rantilla
Article Abstract (Acta Psychologica; full article available with subscription)
Global Warming Potentials: A Cost-Effectiveness Approach — 2000
D.F. Bradford and K. Keller
Paper presented at the NBER Summer Institute Environmental Economics Workshop, Cambridge, Mass., August 7-8, 2000.
Preserving the ocean circulation: Implications for climate policy — 2000
K. Keller, K. Tan, F. M. M. Morel, and D. F. Bradford
Full Document (NBER Working Paper)
The effects of averaging subjective probability estimates between and within judges — 2000
D. Ariely, W.T. Au., R.H. Bender, D.V. Budescu, C. Dietz, H. Gu, T.S. Wallsten, and G. Zauberman
Article Abstract (Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied; full article available with subscription)
What story is told by oceanic tracer concentrations? — 2000
N. Gruber, K. Keller, and R. M. Key
Full Article (sciencemag.org)