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Exploratory Modeling

This novel modeling and simulation technology allows researchers to develop insights on the general behaviors of otherwise unpredictable complex systems that are sensitive to initial conditions. It taps onto the power of contemporary desktop computers to allow dynamic, visual exploration of complex multi-dimensional modeling spaces.

Selected publications on this topic include:

Shaping the Next One Hundred Years: New Methods for Quantitative, Longer-Term Policy Analysis - 2003

Robert J. Lempert, Steven W. Popper, Steven C. Bankes, RAND MR-1626-RPC

The Emergence of Peer Competitors - 2001

Thomas S. Szayna, Daniel L. Byman, Steven C. Bankes, Derek Eaton, Seth G. Jones, Robert E. Mullins, Ian O. Lesser, and William Rosenau, RAND, MR-1346-A

Expandability of the 21st Century Army - 2000

James A. Dewar, Steven C. Bankes, Sean Edwards, and James C. Wendt, RAND MR-1190-A

Weapon Mix and Exploratory Analysis: A Case Study - 1997

Arthur Brooks, Steve Bankes, and Bart Bennett, RAND DB-216/2-AF

Abstract/Order Document

Credible Uses of the Distributed Interactive Simulation (DIS) System - 1996

James A. Dewar, Steven C. Bankes, James Hodges, Thomas Lucas, Desmond Saunders-Newton, Patrick Vye, RAND, MR-607-A

Abstract/Order Document

Computational Experiments and Exploratory Modeling - 1994

Steve Bankes, RP-273

Abstract/Order Document

Exploratory Modeling: Search Through Spaces of Computational Experiments - 1994

Steven C. Bankes, James Gillogly, RP-345

Abstract/Order Document

Validation of Exploratory Modeling - 1994

Steven C. Bankes, James Gillogly, RP-298

Abstract/Order Document

Exploratory Modeling for Policy Analysis - 1993

Steve Bankes, RAND RP-211

Abstract/Order Document

Assumption-Based Planning: A Planning Tool for Very Uncertain Times - 1993

James A. Dewar, Carl H. Builder, William M. Hix, Morlie H. Levin, MR-114-A

Abstract/Order Document