RAND Roybal Center for Health Policy Simulation
This site was archived in March 2010.
The mission of the RAND Roybal Center for Health Policy Simulation is to develop better models to understand the consequences of biomedical developments and social forces for health, health spending, and health care delivery.
Funded by the National Institute on Aging in 2004, this Center will build on a large body of research at RAND, including the Future Elderly Model (FEM), a multi-year effort to identify and forecast the consequences of medical breakthroughs over the next 30 years. The FEM has already begun to shape the national discussion about the role medical technology will play in explaining health and health care spending.
Research Areas and Projects
Understanding the relationship between health status and lifetime spending
- The Future Elderly Model
- Rising Medicare Expenditures for the Oldest Medicare Beneficiaries
- The Lifetime Burden of Chronic Disease Among the Elderly
- Functional Status, Health, and Health Care Costs among the Elderly
- Health and Medical Spending of the Near Elderly
- The Consequences of Obesity for Older Americans
Prescription drugs and Medicare Part D
- Welfare Analysis of Medicare Part D
- The Value of Pharmaceutical Innovations for the Elderly: The Case of Antidepressants
- The Economic Impact of Pharmacogenetics
Protecting the vulnerable elderly
- Nursing Home Workforce Dynamics and Quality of Care
- Eligibility for Comprehensive End of Life Services: Developing and Piloting a Method
- Adverse Selection, Population Aging, and the Market for Supplementary Health Insurance
- Tools for Efficient Allocation of Fall-Prevention Resources
- Who Will be Available to Support the Elderly? Welfare-State Policy, Fertility, and Population Age Structure
- Health Impacts of Retirement
RAND Roybal Center for Health Policy Simulation has a variety of policy tools / simulation tools, funded grants, publications, and presentations available.
Prevention and Public Health: The Key to Transforming our Sickcare System — 2008
Testimony to the U.S. Senate Committee on Health, Education, Labor, and Pensions Hearing December 10, 2008.
Thorpe used results from the RAND Future Elderly Model to support reducing Medicare costs through lifestyle interventions.
Pharmacy Benefit Caps and the Chronically Ill — 2007
Health Affairs, 26(5), 2007: p.1333–1344.