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Modeling and Forecasting
All recent, related publications authored by DPRC researchers are listed chronologically. A list of previous publications (1990-1995) is also available.
Some publications are available in their entirety online as Web pages or downloadable PDFs; some have links to ordering information.
To see a comprehensive list of a DPRC researcher's published work, go to the DPRC Staff page; a link to published research is included after every staff biography. A list of related research projects is also available.
1996-Present
Does Parolee Drug Testing Influence Employment and Education Outcomes? Evidence from a Randomized Experiment with Noncompliance — 2008
Journal of Quantitative Criminology, [Epub Nov 30 2007], Vol. 24, No. 1, March 2008, pp. 93-123
Read abstract from Criminology & Criminology Justice
Models Pertaining To How Drug Policy Should Vary Over The Course Of A Drug Epidemic — 2005
Advances in Health Economics and Health Services Research, Vol. 16, 2005, pp. 397-429
Reassessing the Marijuana Gateway Effect — 2002
Economics of Youth Drug Use, Addiction and Gateway Effects — 2001
What Are Dynamic Models and How Can They Be Used? — 2001
In C. Godfrey, L. Wiessing, R. Hartnoll (eds.), Modelling Drug Use: Methods to Quantify and Understand Hidden Processes, EMCDDA Scientific Monograph Series No. 6, pp. 33-50
The Evolution of Drug Initiation: From Social Networks to Public Markets — 2000
In Dockner, Engelbert J., Richard F. Hartl, Mikulas Luptacik, and Gerhard Sorger (eds.), Optimization, Dynamics, and Economic Analysis--Essays in Honor of Gustav Feichtinger, Physica-Verlag, pp. 353-67
Response to National Research Council's Assessment of RAND's Controlling Cocaine Study — 2000
A Dynamic Model of Drug Initiation: Implications for Treatment and Drug Control — 1999
Is Crack Cheaper Than (Powder) Cocaine? — 1997
Mandatory Minimum Drug Sentences: Throwing Away the Key or the Taxpayers' Money? — 1997
Modeling the Domestic Distribution Network for Illicit Drugs — 1997
Cocaine Consumption in the United States: Estimating Past Trends and Future Scenarios — 1996
Enforcement or Treatment? Modeling the Relative Efficacy of Alternatives for Controlling Cocaine — 1996
Snow Job? The War Against International Cocaine Trafficking — 1996
What Does Mathematical Modeling Tell Us About Harm Reduction? — 1996
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