Modeling and Forecasting
All recent, related publications authored by DPRC researchers are listed chronologically. A list of previous publications (1990-1995) is also available.
Some publications are available in their entirety online as Web pages or downloadable PDFs; some have links to ordering information.
To see a comprehensive list of a DPRC researcher's published work, go to the DPRC Staff page; a link to published research is included after every staff biography. A list of related research projects is also available.
1996-Present
Models Pertaining To How Drug Policy Should Vary Over The Course Of A Drug Epidemic — 2005
Caulkins JP
Ordering Information (Advances in Health Economics and Health Services Research)
Reassessing the Marijuana Gateway Effect — 2002
Andrew R. Morral, Daniel F. McCaffrey, and Susan M. Paddock
Ordering Information (Addiction)
Economics of Youth Drug Use, Addiction and Gateway Effects — 2001
Donald Kenkel, Alan D. Mathios, and Rosalie L. Pacula
Ordering Information (Addiction)
What Are Dynamic Models and How Can They Be Used? — 2001
C. Godfrey, S. Parrott, M. Sutton, V. Waby, P. Young, with C. Comiskey, M. Frischer, G. Hay, M. Hickman, J. Jager, J. Kahan, L. Kraus, R. Mollica, M. Postma, R. Simon, C. Taylor, and L. Wiessing
In C. Godfrey, L. Wiessing, R. Hartnoll (eds.), Modelling Drug Use: Methods to Quantify and Understand Hidden Processes, EMCDDA Scientific Monograph Series No. 6, pp. 33-50
Ordering Information
The Evolution of Drug Initiation: From Social Networks to Public Markets — 2000
Jonathan P. Caulkins
In Dockner, Engelbert J., Richard F. Hartl, Mikulas Luptacik, and Gerhard Sorger (eds.), Optimization, Dynamics, and Economic Analysis--Essays in Honor of Gustav Feichtinger, Physica-Verlag, pp. 353-67
Ordering Information
Response to National Research Council's Assessment of RAND's Controlling Cocaine Study — 2000
Jonathan P. Caulkins, with James R. Chiesa and Susan Everingham
A Dynamic Model of Drug Initiation: Implications for Treatment and Drug Control — 1999
Doris A. Behrens, Jonathan P. Caulkins, Gernot Tragler, Josef L. Haunschmied, and Gustav Feichtinger
Ordering Information (Mathematical Biosciences)
Is Crack Cheaper Than (Powder) Cocaine? — 1997
Jonathan P. Caulkins
Ordering Information (Addiction)
Mandatory Minimum Drug Sentences: Throwing Away the Key or the Taxpayers' Money? — 1997
Jonathan P. Caulkins, C. Peter Rydell, William L. Schwabe, and James Chiesa
Online Preface Ordering Information Research Brief
Modeling the Domestic Distribution Network for Illicit Drugs — 1997
Jonathan P. Caulkins
Ordering Information (Management Science)
Cocaine Consumption in the United States: Estimating Past Trends and Future Scenarios — 1996
Susan S. Everingham, C. Peter Rydell, and Jonathan Caulkins
Ordering Information (Socio-Economic Planning Science)
Enforcement or Treatment? Modeling the Relative Efficacy of Alternatives for Controlling Cocaine — 1996
C. Peter Rydell, Jonathan P. Caulkins, and Susan S. Everingham
Ordering Information (Operations Research)
Snow Job? The War Against International Cocaine Trafficking — 1996
Kevin Jack Riley
What Does Mathematical Modeling Tell Us About Harm Reduction? — 1996
Jonathan P. Caulkins
Ordering Information (Drug and Alcohol Review)
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