National Security: Featured Research

Learning the Wrong Lessons from Israel's Intervention in Syria — May 14, 2013

Buildings in Syria damaged by bombingsThe lesson here is not that countries should act for the sake of maintaining credibility but that they should act when they believe it serves their interests and might make a difference, writes Dalia Dassa Kaye.

Drones Are Useful, but Not the Solution or the Problem — May 14, 2013

An MQ-1C Gray Eagle unmanned aircraftThe effectiveness of our attacks, particularly by drones, has already decimated the al Qaeda hierarchy, writes Harold Brown. That achievement, together with the negative effect on Muslim publics of drone attacks, suggests that the rate of their usage could be moderated.

Setting Priorities in the Age of Austerity: British, French, and German Experiences — May 6, 2013

french_armored_car_on_paradeA new study examines the British, French, and German armies' approaches to accommodating significant budget cuts while attempting to sustain their commitment to full spectrum operations.

Thinking Through Options on North Korea — May 3, 2013

nuclear war game mazeObviously it will not always be possible to avoid the use of force and the risk of escalation. But the US and its allies cannot take the possibility of military responses against nuclear regional adversaries off the table without limiting its own strategic options, eroding its influence, and threatening its security.

The Syrian Chemical Weapons Conundrum — May 1, 2013

Marines practicing a chemical, biological, or radiological attackDealing with chemical weapons in Syria is a complicated and dangerous task, but nowhere near the challenge of securing a nuclear arsenal in a country consumed by crisis, writes Brian Michael Jenkins.

Reacting to Boston — Apr 22, 2013

Massachusetts National Guardsmen in BostonBasing public safety decisions on risk analysis allows authorities to devote public resources to those counterterrorism measures that have the potential to do the most good, writes Henry Willis.

A New Book from Brian Michael Jenkins: When Armies Divide — Apr 11, 2013

Cover of Brian Michael Jenkins' "When Armies Divide" bookIn 1961, four French generals launched a coup against the government of President Charles de Gaulle and conceivably might have ended up with a nuclear device. In When Armies Divide, RAND's Brian Michael Jenkins uses this unusual chapter in history to discuss what can happen when nuclear states are threatened by revolts, coups, and civil wars.

A Delicate Deterrence Dance with North Korea — Apr 11, 2013

ROK guards in the DMZHow does Washington signal tenacity to a pugnacious Pyongyang and demonstrate resolve to a jittery Seoul, all without inadvertently triggering an escalatory spiral?

Korea Tensions Different from Previous 'Normal Crises,' RAND Experts Tell Media — Apr 9, 2013

DPRK Kumsusan Memorial PalaceThree RAND Corporation researchers discussed the regional and global implications of the recent flurry of bluster and provocation emanating from North Korea, during a conference call April 9 with reporters.

The Benefits of U.S. Drones in West Africa — Apr 5, 2013

Nigerian troops march toward an Air Force C-130 HerculesThe establishment of a U.S. base in Niger is intended to facilitate intelligence collection and will provide a more complete picture of militant movements in Niger, Mali, and other countries in the Sahel, writes Seth Jones. The United States will share this intelligence with Malian and French forces.

The Risks of an Excess of Caution in Syria — Mar 29, 2013

U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry Kerry and Syrian Opposition Council Chairman Mouaz al-Khatib during Kerry's 2013 Middle East visitSyria is looking more like a collapsed state every day. Nearly a million people have now fled Syria for safety abroad. Meanwhile, the influence of extremist groups, such as the al Nusrah Front, continues to grow as these groups slip into the areas vacated by the Syrian state, writes Christopher Chivvis.

The Risks of an Excess of Caution in Syria — Mar 29, 2013

U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry Kerry and Syrian Opposition Council Chairman Mouaz al-Khatib during Kerry's 2013 Middle East visitSyria is looking more like a collapsed state every day. Nearly a million people have now fled Syria for safety abroad. Meanwhile, the influence of extremist groups, such as the al Nusrah Front, continues to grow as these groups slip into the areas vacated by the Syrian state, writes Christopher Chivvis.

Why Erdogan Wants Peace With the PKK — Mar 27, 2013

Kurdistan Workers' Party soldiers, commonly known as PKK near the Iran/Iraqi Kurdistan borderWith the leader of the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK) now apparently ready to try to peacefully resolve differences with Turkey, the prospects that the uprising will come to an end have improved, writes F. Stephen Larrabee.

Why Erdogan Wants Peace With the PKK — Mar 27, 2013

Kurdistan Workers' Party soldiers, commonly known as PKK near the Iran/Iraqi Kurdistan borderWith the leader of the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK) now apparently ready to try to peacefully resolve differences with Turkey, the prospects that the uprising will come to an end have improved, writes F. Stephen Larrabee.

The Invasion of Iraq: A Balance Sheet — Mar 22, 2013

A U.S. Marine vehicle on patrol outside of Fallujah.The costly removal of Saddam Hussein won no applause, earned no gratitude, established no reliable ally, and produced no lasting strategic benefit, says Brian Michael Jenkins.

The Deeply Mixed Results of the Iraq War — Mar 21, 2013

soldier_saddam_mosqueTen years after the United States and its allies invaded Iraq, it seems appropriate to ask a bottom-line question: Did the U.S. succeed? The U.S. came very close to losing the Iraq war of 2003-2011, writes Ben Connable.

The Deeply Mixed Results of the Iraq War — Mar 21, 2013

soldier_saddam_mosqueTen years after the United States and its allies invaded Iraq, it seems appropriate to ask a bottom-line question: Did the U.S. succeed? The U.S. came very close to losing the Iraq war of 2003-2011, writes Ben Connable.

Grappling with the Sequester: Q&A with Charles Nemfakos — Mar 20, 2013

pentagon-aerial-viewWill any good come out of the Pentagon's sequester-mandated spending cuts? If nothing else, it will drive folks to think the unthinkable, says Charles Nemfakos.

A Lesson from Iraq War: How to Outsource War to Private Contractors — Mar 19, 2013

civilian contractor at Ghulzani Warrior Training CenterBoth to repeat the successes of private military contracting and to avoid the mistakes of contractors in the recent wars, the Department of Defense must consider several points specific to security contractors, writes Molly Dunigan.

A Lesson from Iraq War: How to Outsource War to Private Contractors — Mar 19, 2013

civilian contractor at Ghulzani Warrior Training CenterBoth to repeat the successes of private military contracting and to avoid the mistakes of contractors in the recent wars, the Department of Defense must consider several points specific to security contractors, writes Molly Dunigan.

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