Pardee Center

The RAND Frederick S. Pardee Center for Longer Range Global Policy and the Future Human Condition was established in 2001 through a generous $5 million pledge from RAND alumnus Frederick S. Pardee. The RAND Pardee Center aims to enhance the overall future quality and condition of human life by aggressively disseminating and applying new methods for long-term policy analysis in a wide variety of policy areas where they are needed most.

The Pardee Center organizes its activities around two main themes: (1) advancing the state-of the-art in conducting long-term policy analysis so organizations can implement better long-range policy; and (2) developing and disseminating approaches that will help make proper stewardship for the future be more commonly practiced.

  • Enhancing the Climate Resilience of Africa's Infrastructure

    Working with the World Bank, RAND researchers used robust decision methods to provide the first continent-wide evaluation of the potential effects of climate change on such investments. They also examined the potential impacts of climate change on five specific hydropower and irrigation projects.

  • RDMlab Innovates in Development of Robust Decision Sciences

    A collaboration among RAND, the Pardee RAND Graduate School, Evolving Logic, and network partners, RDMlab promotes the development and use of Robust Decision Making (RDM) methods for policy and decisionmaking.

  • Climate Targets: Values and Uncertainty

    Aug 11, 2015

    Policymakers know that the risks associated with climate change mean they need to cut greenhouse-gas emissions. But uncertainty surrounding the likelihood of different scenarios makes choosing specific policies difficult.

  • Translating Science into Action: Louisiana Coastal Flooding & Colorado Basin Water Supply Examples

    Apr 9, 2015

    As part of Cornell University's Environmental & Water Resources Distinguished Speaker Series, Robert Lempert presented climate decision models to sustainability and engineering faculty and students. The talk explored effective management strategies for water resources in the face of deep uncertainty, contested interests and values, and unclear system boundaries. RDM methods were applied to Louisiana Coastal flooding and Colorado Basin water supply examples, and methodological advantages were highlighted through analytic tools and scenario visualizations.

  • Decisions for the Decade Game: Planning Under Deep Uncertainty

    Mar 25, 2015

    How do you engage decisionmakers in thinking about long-term, hard-to predict risks? RANDNext members will play an interactive game intended to promote discussion about the integration of global policy and real world decisionmaking.

  • Incorporating Benefit-Cost Analysis into Other Decision-Making Frameworks

    Mar 19, 2015

    At the Society for Benefit-Cost Analysis Conference, Rob Lempert showed how some new approaches can help reduce the tension between the benefits of providing useful, scientifically-based information to decision makers and the costs of aggregating uncertainty and differing values into single best-estimates. Benefit cost analysis (BCA) aims to help people make better decisions. But BCA's aim of aggregating all attributes of concern to decision makers into a single, best-estimate metric can conflict with the differing world views and values that may be an inherent characteristics of many climate-related decisions.

  • Future of Coastal Flooding

    Feb 25, 2015

    President Obama's executive order that directs federal agencies to plan and build for higher flood levels as they construct new projects in flood-prone regions will affect hundreds of billions of dollars of future public works projects. In an ideal world, planners would estimate the benefits and costs for each project, taking into account everything from the details of the local landscape to the potential for adaptive responses over time.

  • Developing Robust Strategies for Climate Change and Other Risks: A Water Utility Framework

    Jan 26, 2015

    RAND researchers and collaborators present a comprehensive approach for water utilities to assess climate risks to their systems and evaluate adaptation strategies. The approach, based on Robust Decision Making (RDM) is demonstrated through pilot studies with two water utilities: Colorado Springs Utilities and New York City Department of Environmental Protection.

  • Near-Term Actions to Address Long-Term Climate Risk

    Dec 19, 2014

    Robert Lempert discussed Near-Term Actions to Address Long-Term Climate Risk during the annual AGU meeting. Effective long-term policy making, new capabilities of analytic decision support tools, and cognitive and organizational behaviors were discussed in the context of longer-term climate risks. Lempert’s talk described applications of these approaches for infrastructure, water, and flood risk management planning, as well as studies of how near-term choices about policy architectures can affect long-term greenhouse gas emission reduction pathways.