Pardee Center

The RAND Frederick S. Pardee Center for Longer Range Global Policy and the Future Human Condition was established in 2001 through a generous $5 million pledge from RAND alumnus Frederick S. Pardee. The RAND Pardee Center aims to enhance the overall future quality and condition of human life by aggressively disseminating and applying new methods for long-term policy analysis in a wide variety of policy areas where they are needed most.

The Pardee Center organizes its activities around two main themes: (1) advancing the state-of the-art in conducting long-term policy analysis so organizations can implement better long-range policy; and (2) developing and disseminating approaches that will help make proper stewardship for the future be more commonly practiced.

Recent Events

  • 2016 Decision Making Under Deep Uncertainty Workshop

    Hosted by the World Bank, the Society for Decision Making Under Deep Uncertainty held its annual meeting on November 16-17, 2016. The two-day workshop provided training on decision making methodology, and focused on issues of climate, water, energy, and more. Several RAND experts, including Pardee Center director Robert Lempert, attended the meeting.

  • Better Water Decisions in the Age of Deep Uncertainty

    Nov 14, 2016

    Water utility planning is ripe with uncertainty: Rainfall, economic factors, and regulations with regard to water utilities are constantly changing or unknown. Developing tools for better water decision making was one of the key topics at the 2016 Society for Decision Making Under Deep Uncertainty Workshop.

  • Embracing Uncertainty for Better Decision Making

    Oct 2, 2016

    Experts are expected to provide reliable projections of the future. But some variables are not predictable, no matter how sophisticated the models. Fortunately, new analytical methods like decision making under deep uncertainty help cope with unknowns and ever-changing conditions. When decisionmakers focus on what can be done, rather than what could happen, it opens the door to endless possibilities.

  • Infrastructure Design Must Change with Climate

    Aug 12, 2016

    Until recently, infrastructure engineers could use data on past weather to predict future climate. But this is no longer an option. More and more, engineers must consider the effects of climate change. Failure to do so would threaten public safety.

  • Should Scientists and Engineers Engage in Climate Engineering Research?

    May 12, 2016

    Should scientists and engineers undertake research on so-called climate engineering in the hope that it will improve humanity's ability to manage climate change? Two books from experts answer this question from different points of view.

  • Adaptation Starts Here

    Mar 16, 2016

    Subnational governments—city governments, in particular—are essential to addressing climate change. The Mediterranean City Climate Change Consortium (MC-4) was developed to help cities facing similar challenges work together to adapt and create more livable futures for their communities.

  • Scenarios on Demand to Allow Users to Consider Vulnerabilities of Climate Policies

    Mar 13, 2016

    Researchers are developing an online tool that lets users choose a policy goal then virtually stress-test the policy over thousands of plausible futures to identify the factors that highlight when the policy will meet or miss the goal.

  • Climate and Energy Analysis: Reinvigorating the Scenario Technique

    Feb 4, 2016

    Scenarios are widely used for long-term climate and energy analysis, but scenario developers and users typically capture only a subset of future uncertainties. By adopting three focal points as part of this methodology, researchers can expand uncertainty consideration and gather user-specific insights.

  • Robust Decision-Making Could Be a Valuable Tool For Defense Planning

    Feb 1, 2016

    Robust decision-making (RDM) can provide useful inputs to defense planning—particularly to the air-launched munitions mix challenge. As it continues to be validated, RDM could be integrated more and more into the defense planning process.