Pardee Center

The RAND Frederick S. Pardee Center for Longer Range Global Policy and the Future Human Condition was established in 2001 through a generous $5 million pledge from RAND alumnus Frederick S. Pardee. The RAND Pardee Center aims to enhance the overall future quality and condition of human life by aggressively disseminating and applying new methods for long-term policy analysis in a wide variety of policy areas where they are needed most.

The Pardee Center organizes its activities around two main themes: (1) advancing the state-of the-art in conducting long-term policy analysis so organizations can implement better long-range policy; and (2) developing and disseminating approaches that will help make proper stewardship for the future be more commonly practiced.

  • Robust Decision-Making Could Be a Valuable Tool For Defense Planning

    Robust decision-making (RDM) can provide useful inputs to defense planning—particularly to the air-launched munitions mix challenge. As it continues to be validated, RDM could be integrated more and more into the defense planning process.

  • Robert Lempert at Systems Analysis 2015

    Robert Lempert, director of the Frederick S. Pardee Center for Longer Range Global Policy and the Future Human Condition, presented to scholars from all over the world at the 2015 Systems Analysis conference in Laxenburg, Austria. His talk explores decision science for complex systems: How can systems analysis help address the world's biggest challenges?

  • Climate and Energy Analysis: Reinvigorating the Scenario Technique

    Feb 4, 2016

    Scenarios are widely used for long-term climate and energy analysis, but scenario developers and users typically capture only a subset of future uncertainties. By adopting three focal points as part of this methodology, researchers can expand uncertainty consideration and gather user-specific insights.

  • COP21: Ambition and Momentum

    Dec 17, 2015

    Negotiators in Paris achieved a historic breakthrough by adopting a fundamentally different, and likely more effective, institutional framework to address climate change. It builds on two concepts missing from past attempts to forge a global treaty: voluntary participation and adaptive policymaking.

  • The Paris Climate Talks Are No Silver Bullet

    Nov 30, 2015

    Ongoing multinational negotiations can't provide the engine that will drive a solution to climate change. But they can help guide and structure the swirling, bottom-up process of radical change that is the best hope of preserving Earth's climate.

  • The Effect of Near-Term Policy Choices on Long-Term Greenhouse Gas Transformation Pathways

    Nov 23, 2015

    To successfully limit climate change, greenhouse gas mitigation policies should encourage reductions that will continue for decades. Accordingly, analysis of a new model shows that near-term regulatory architecture choices can affect long-term decarbonization rates.

  • A New Open-Source Framework for Environmental Systems Planning

    Nov 6, 2015

    Many-objective robust decision making (MORDM), also called OpenMORDM, is a framework to support bottom-up environmental systems planning. This study demonstrates the OpenMORDM framework, which uses both software and Web-based data visualization, in a challenging environmental management test case termed the "lake problem."

  • Decision-making Under Deep Uncertainty Helps Address Water Security in Lima

    Oct 5, 2015

    The World Bank used decision-making under deep uncertainty to help water utility company SEDAPAL revise its master plan for drought-ridden Lima, Peru. A study led by RAND's Nidhi Kalra explores implementation of this plan.

  • Managing Water Quality in the Face of Uncertainty

    Sep 9, 2015

    A pilot study for the Environmental Protection Agency's National Water Program determined that the EPA and its partners can better manage future uncertainty by employing iterative risk management processes and adopting watershed implementation plans that are robust and flexible.