Robert J. Lempert — Publications

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Making Good Decisions Without Predictions: Robust Decision Making for Planning Under Deep Uncertainty - 2013

Improving the Contribution of Climate Model Information to Decision Making: The Value and Demands of Robust Decision Frameworks - 2013

The Need for and Use of Socio-Economic Scenarios for Climate Change Analysis: A New Approach Based on Shared Socio-Economic Pathway - 2012

Climate Scenarios that Illuminate Vulnerabilities and Robust Responses - 2012

Recrafting Scenario Practice to Achieve Robust Long-Term Decisions - 2012

How Americans Will Live and Work in 2020: A Workshop Exploring Key Trends and Philanthropic Responses - 2012

Investment Decision Making Under Deep Uncertainty: Application to Climate Change - 2012

Robust Climate Policies Under Uncertainty: A Comparison of Robust Decision-Making and Info-Gap Methods - 2012

Some Thoughts on the Role of Robust Control Theory in Climate-Related Decision Support: An Editorial Comment - 2011

Technology Interactions Among Low-Carbon Energy Technologies: What Can We Learn from a Large Number of Scenarios? - 2011

Governing Geoengineering Research: A Political and Technical Vulnerability Analysis of Potential Near-Term Options - 2011

Managing Climate Risks in Developing Countries with Robust Decision Making - 2011

Identifying and Evaluating Robust Adaptive Policy Responses to Climate Change for Water Management Agencies in the American West - 2010

Thinking Inside the Box: A Participatory, Computer-Assisted Approach to Scenario Discovery - 2010

Shaping Tomorrow Today: Near-Term Steps Towards Long-Term Goals - 2009

Methods for Long-Term Environmental Policy Challenges - 2009

Do We Need Better Predictions to Adapt to a Changing Climate? - 2009

U.S. Pharmaceutical Policy in a Global Marketplace - 2009

Regulating Drug Prices: U.S. Policy Alternatives in a Global Context - 2008

A Toolbox for Policy Planners - 2008

Impacts on U.S. Energy Expenditures and Greenhouse-Gas Emissions of Increasing Renewable-Energy Use - 2008

Comparing Alternative U.S. Counterterrorism Strategies: Can Assumption-Based Planning Help Elevate the Debate? - 2008

Comparing Algorithms for Scenario Discovery - 2008

Evaluating Alternatives for Renewing TRIA in an Uncertain World - 2008

Preparing for an Uncertain Future Climate in the Inland Empire: Identifying Robust Water-Management Strategies - 2008

Identifying and Reducing Climate-Change Vulnerabilities in Water-Management Plans - 2008

Presenting Uncertainty About Climate Change to Water-Resource Managers: A Summary of Workshops with the Inland Empire Utilities Agency - 2008

Planning for Climate Change in the Inland Empire: Southern California - 2008

The Federal Role in Terrorism Insurance: Evaluating Alternatives in an Uncertain World - 2007

A New Analytic Method for Finding Policy-Relevant Scenarios - 2007

Trade-Offs Among Alternative Government Interventions in the Market for Terrorism Insurance: Interim Results - 2007

Managing the Risk of Uncertain Threshold Responses: Comparison of Robust, Optimum, and Precautionary Approaches - 2007

Multiple Equilibria in a Stochastic Implementation of DICE with Abrupt Climate Change - 2006

Despite Deep Scientific Uncertainty, Long-Term Problems Can Be Tackled - 2006

A General, Analytic Method for Generating Robust Strategies and Narrative Scenarios - 2006

Assessment of Environmental Kuznets Curves and Socioeconomic Drivers in IPCC's SRES Scenarios - 2005

High-Performance Government: Structure, Leadership, Incentives - 2005

Shaping the Future - 2005

Characterizing Climate-Change Uncertainties for Decision-Makers - 2004

Shaping the Next One Hundred Years: New Methods for Quantitative, Long-Term Policy Analysis - 2003

Next Generation Environmental Technologies: Benefits and Barriers - 2003

Adaptive Strategies for Climate Change - 2002

Confronting Surprise - 2002

A New Decision Sciences for Complex Systems - 2002

Transition Paths to a New Era of Green Industry: Technological and Policy Implications - 2002

Assessing the Benefits and Costs of a Science Submarine - 2001

Climate-change Strategy Needs to Be Robust - 2001

Computer-assisted Reasoning - 2001

Finding Transatlantic Common Ground on Climate Change? - 2001

The Impacts of Climate Variability on Near-Term Policy Choices and the Value of Information - 2001

Robust Strategies for Abating Climate Change - 2001

The Public Benefit of California's Investments in Energy Efficiency - 2000

Achieving the Texas Higher Education Vision - 2000

Carrots and Sticks for New Technology: Abating Greenhouse Gas Emissions in a Heterogeneous and Uncertain World - 2000

RAND Review: Vol. 23, No. 3, Winter 1999-2000 - 2000

Developing Countries & Global Climate Change: Electric Power Options for Growth - 1999

Technology Forces at Work: Profiles of Environmental Research and Development at DuPont, Intel, Monsanto, and Xerox: Executive Summary - 1999

Technology Forces at Work: Profiles of Environmental Research and Development at DuPont, Intel, Monsanto, and Xerox - 1999

The Class of 2014: Preserving Access to California Higher Education - 1998

New Methods for Robust Science and Technology Planning - 1998

When We Don't Know the Costs or the Benefits: Adaptive Strategies for Abating Climate Change - 1996

The Mediterranean environment : prospects for cooperation to solve the problems of the 1990s - 1995

Performance Measures for the Federal Investment in Environmental and Natural Resources Research and Development - 1995

Technology for a Sustainable Future — Ideas: A Summary of Workshop Discussions - 1995

The Decline of the U.S. Machine-Tool Industry and Prospects for Its Sustainable Recovery: Volume 1 - 1994

The impact of potential abrupt climate changes on near-term policy choices - 1994

Performance Measures for the Federal Investment in Science and Technology: A Draft Template for CENR - 1994

Transition to Sustainable Waste Management: A Simulation Gaming Approach - 1993

Report of a Workshop on Expanding U.S. Air Force Non-Combat Mission Capabilities - 1993

Global warming, let's take this decade to prepare - 1993

U.S. Spaced-Based Remote Sensing: Challenges and Prospects - 1993

Air Force Noncombat Operations: Lessons From the Past, Thoughts for the Future - 1992

Emerging Technology Systems and Arms Control - 1991

Cruise Missile Arms Control - 1989

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