Allies or Rivals? The Future of U.S.-Japan Relations

by John Arquilla, Theodore W. Karasik

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Abstract

This Documented Briefing analyzes the possible pahts that U.S.-Japan economic and security relations might follow after the Cold War. It is designed to stimulate dialogue on the issue of interdependence and its related implications for policy. This presentation should be of interest to public and private groups in both countries as they search for ways to guide bilateral relations. This research project fuses elements of traditional thinking about international relations and game theory to create a fresh analytic framework capable of elaborating the relative importance of and interplay between strategic and economic factors. Particular emphasis is given to the effect s that amending the U.S.-Japan Security Treaty might have upon bilateral economic relations, and to the manner in which movement from primarily laissez-faire to more managed trade policies might bear upon security issues. The RAND Center for U.S._Japan Relations has sponsored this work.

This report is part of the RAND Corporation draft series. The unrestricted draft was a product of the RAND Corporation from 1993 to 2003 that represented preliminary or prepublication versions of other more formal RAND products for distribution to appropriate external audiences. The draft could be considered similar to an academic discussion paper. Although unrestricted drafts had been approved for circulation, they were not usually formally edited or peer reviewed.

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