Cover: Epidemiological Model for Examining Marijuana Use Over the Life Course

Epidemiological Model for Examining Marijuana Use Over the Life Course

Published in: Epidemiology Research International, v. 2012, Article ID 520894, July 2012, p. 1-12

by Susan M. Paddock, Beau Kilmer, Jonathan P. Caulkins, Marika Booth, Rosalie Liccardo Pacula

Read More

Access further information on this document at www.hindawi.com

This article was published outside of RAND. The full text of the article can be found at the link above.

Abstract

Trajectories of drug use are usually studied empirically by following over time persons sampled from either the general population (most often youth and young adults) or from heavy or problematic users (e.g., arrestees or those in treatment). The former, population-based samples, describe early career development, but miss the years of use that generate the greatest social costs. The latter, selected populations, help to summarize the most problematic use, but cannot easily explain how people become problem users nor are they representative of the population as a whole. This paper shows how microsimulation can synthesize both sorts of data within a single analytical framework, while retaining heterogeneous influences that can impact drug use decisions over the life course. The RAND Marijuana Microsimulation Model is constructed for marijuana use, validated, and then used to demonstrate how such models can be used to evaluate alternative policy options aimed at reducing use over the life course.

Research conducted by

This report is part of the RAND Corporation external publication series. Many RAND studies are published in peer-reviewed scholarly journals, as chapters in commercial books, or as documents published by other organizations.

The RAND Corporation is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND's publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors.