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Deterrence Theory and Chinese Behavior
China's recent reforms have led to unprecedented economic growth; if this continues, China will be able to turn its great potential power into actual power. The result could be, in the very long term, the rise of China as a rival to the United States as the world's predominant power; in the nearer term, China could become a significant rival in the East Asian region. In this context, the issue for U.S. policy is how to handle a rising power, a problem that predominant powers have faced many times throughout history. It is the contention of this report that the future Sino-U.S. context will illustrate many of the problems of deterrence theory that have been discussed in recent decades; deterrence theory will be, in general, more difficult to apply than it was in the U.S.-Soviet Cold War context. The key may be to seek nonmilitary means of deterrence, i.e., diplomatic ways to manipulate the tension to China's disadvantage.
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Pages: 104
ISBN/EAN: 0-8330-2853-7
Contents
Preface PDF
Summary PDF
Acknowledgments PDF
Abbreviations PDF
Chapter One:
Introduction PDF
Chapter Two:
The Role of Deterrence in U.S. China Policy PDF
Chapter Three:
The Historical Record PDF
Chapter Four:
Deterrence in the Context of Sino-U.S. Relations PDF
Chapter Five:
Deterrence and Its Discontents PDF
Chapter Six:
Deterring China in the Future PDF
Appendix:
Chinese "Deterrence Attempts: Failures and Successes PDF
Bibliography PDF
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