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Dire Demographics

Population Trends in the Russian Federation

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By: Julie DaVanzo, Clifford A. Grammich

Since the fall of the Soviet Union, the Russian Federation has seen its births plummet and its deaths increase sharply. Mortality increases have been particularly steep for working-age males and are often attributable to alcohol-related causes. Some analysts fear the Russian population could decline by nearly a third between now and 2050. In the short-term, Russia may be better able to stabilize its population numbers by focusing more on curbing mortality than increasing fertility. Past Soviet pronatalist incentives had only negligible long-term effects on the number of births. The types of health problems indicated by high Russian mortality rates point to a greater need for preventive rather than curative care. In sum, the demographic problems Russia faces indicate it may do better to focus on qualitative indicators, such as the health and welfare of its population, than on quantitative indicators, such as the overall size of its population.

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Pages: 120

ISBN/EAN: 0-8330-2930-4

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Contents

Chapter One:
Russian Demography and Its Implications

Chapter Two:
Population Change in Russia

Chapter Three:
Fertility in Russia

Chapter Four:
Causes and Implications of Russian Mortality

Chapter Five:
Demographic History, Age Structure, and Future Policy Issues

Chapter Six:
What Can Be Done to Address Demographic Policy Issues in Russia?

The research described in this report was performed within the Population Matters program under the auspices of RAND's Labor and Population program.

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