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Military Jet Engine Acquisition

Technology Basics and Cost-Estimating Methodology

Cover: MR-1596 | Military Jet Engine Acquisition:  Technology Basics and Cost-Estimating Methodology

By: Obaid Younossi, Mark V. Arena, Richard M. Moore, Mark A. Lorell, Joanna Mason, John C. Graser

As manufacturing processes and materials used in aircraft engine production change and new information on aircraft engine technology becomes available, cost-estimation techniques must be updated. The authors present the results of a RAND research project to develop a new methodology for estimating military jet engine costs. They first discuss the technical parameters that drive the engine development schedule, development costs, and production costs, and then present a quantitative analysis of actual historical data on development schedules and costs. Their principal focus was on adding new observations to the cost-estimating database from earlier RAND studies and updating the parametric relationships for aircraft engine costs and development time. The authors present a series of parametric relationships for forecasting the development cost, development time, and production cost of future military engine programs. Their results indicate that rotor inlet temperature is a significant variable in most of the reported estimating relationships. Full-scale test hours and whether an engine is new or derivative were also found to be significant measures.

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Pages: 176

ISBN/EAN: 0-8330-3282-8

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Contents

Chapter One:
Introduction

Part I: Engine Basics and Performance Parameters

Chapter Two:
Jet Engine Basics, Metrics, and Technological Trends

Chapter Three:
Trends in Technological Innovation

Part II: Data Analysis and Cost-Estimating Techniques

Chapter Four:
An Overview of Cost-Estimating Methods

Chapter Five:
Estimating Parameters and Gathering Data

Chapter Six:
Statistical Analysis

Chapter Seven:
Conclusions

Appendix A:
An Examination of the Time of Arrival Metric

Appendix B:
An Overview of Military Jet Engine History

Appendix C:
Aircraft Turbine Engine Development

Appendix D:
Modern Tactical Jet Engines

The research described in this report was performed under the auspices of RAND's Project AIR FORCE.

The monograph/report was a product of the RAND Corporation from 1993 to 2003. RAND monograph/reports presented major research findings that addressed the challenges facing the public and private sectors. They included executive summaries, technical documentation, and synthesis pieces.

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