RAND » Reports and Bookstore » Monograph Reports » MR-1686

Fault Lines in China’s Economic Terrain

What are the major challenges, fault lines, and potential adversities (these terms are used synonymously), that China's economic development will encounter over the next decade? How severely will China's overall economic performance be affected if these adversities occur separately or in clusters? This book addresses these key questions. China has confronted in the past two decades five of the eight fault lines that the authors consider (unemployment, corruption, water resources, HIV/AIDS, and financial fragility), and, nonetheless, it has sustained high rates of economic growth. Therefore, in assessing the potential effects of these fault lines on China's future economic performance, the authors focus on whether, why, and by how much their intensities may increase — that is, on changes, rather than on the prevailing levels of each fault line. For the other three fault lines examined, which have not previously occurred or recurred — oil price shocks, foreign-direct-investment shrinkage, and serious military conflicts-the authors consider the circumstances under which they might arise and their resulting economic effects.

Download eBook for Free

Format	File Size	Notes
PDF file	0.6 MB	Use Adobe Acrobat Reader version 7.0 or higher for the best experience.

Download Individual Chapters Below
Note: Many electronic documents posted prior to 2003 are available as chapter PDFs or HTML files linked from the Contents.

Purchase Print Copy

Format	List Price	Price
Paperback, 234 Pages	$24.00	$19.20 Special 20% Web Discount

Document Details

Copyright: RAND Corporation
Availability: Available
Print Format: Paperback
Paperback Pages: 234
List Price: $24.00
Paperback Price: $19.20
Paperback ISBN/EAN: 0-8330-3344-1
Document Number: MR-1686-NA/SRF
Year: 2003
Series: Monograph Reports

Summary PDF
Preface

All Prefatory Materials PDF
Chapter One

Potential Adversities Confronting China's Continued Economic Growth PDF
Part I

China's Institutional and Structural Fault Lines
Chapter Two

Massive Unemployment and Rural Poverty PDF
Chapter Three

Economic Effects of Corruption PDF
Part II

Sectoral Fault Lines
Chapter Four

Epidemic Disease: A Wild Card in China's Economic Future? PDF
Chapter Five

Water Resources and Pollution PDF
Chapter Six

GDP Effects of an Energy Price Shock PDF
Part III

Financial Fault Lines
Chapter Seven

China's Fragile Financial System and the State-Owned Enterprises PDF
Chapter Eight

Possible Shrinkage of Foreign Capital Inflows PDF
Part IV

Security Fault Lines
Chapter Nine

Taiwan and Other Potential Conflicts PDF
Chapter Ten

Conclusions: Fault Lines in China's Economic Terrain PDF
Supplemental

Supplementary Materials PDF

The research described in this report was sponsored jointly by the Office of Net Assessment in the Department of Defense and the Smith Richardson Foundation. The research was conducted in RAND's National Defense Research Institute, a federally funded research and development center.

This report is part of the RAND Corporation monograph report series. The monograph/report was a product of the RAND Corporation from 1993 to 2003. RAND monograph/reports presented major research findings that addressed the challenges facing the public and private sectors. They included executive summaries, technical documentation, and synthesis pieces.

Permission is given to duplicate this electronic document for personal use only, as long as it is unaltered and complete. Copies may not be duplicated for commercial purposes. Unauthorized posting of RAND PDFs to a non-RAND Web site is prohibited. RAND PDFs are protected under copyright law. For information on reprint and linking permissions, please visit the RAND Permissions page.

The RAND Corporation is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND's publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors.