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California’s Ozone-Reduction Strategy for Light-Duty Vehicles

Direct Costs, Direct Emission Effects, and Market Responses

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By: Lloyd Dixon, Steven Garber

Economic costs and environmental effects are analyzed for California’s multi-pronged strategy for reducing emissions from passenger cars and light-duty trucks, vehicles that are believed to account for a substantial fraction of ozone-producing emissions across the state. The study analyzes costs, emissions effects, effects on vehicle markets, and the distribution of costs for regulations. These regulations include those concerning new gasoline-powered vehicles only, others affecting both new and existing gasoline-powered vehicles, and also the extremely controversial zero-emission vehicle mandate. The study considers policy choice in the face of extreme uncertainty about the effects of several policy elements, particularly the scrappage program, enhanced vehicle inspection and maintenance, on-board emission diagnostic systems, and the zero-emission vehicle mandate. The zero-emission vehicle mandate poses major economic and environmental risks but there are also major risks to repealing the mandate altogether. The study concludes by suggesting principles for making zero-emission vehicle policy in the face a extreme uncertainty about the development of technology for battery-powered electric vehicles and the future effectiveness of policies to control emissions from gasoline vehicles.

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Paperback Cover Price: $90.00

Discounted Web Price: $81.00

Pages: 499

ISBN/EAN: 0-8330-2392-6

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Prefatory Material and Chapters 1-7

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Chapter 12 and Appendices

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Contents

Part 1

Preface

Figures

Tables

Acknowledgments

Glossary

Chapter One:
Introduction

Chapter Two:
Analytic Approach

Chapter Three:
Internal Combustion Engine Vehicle Emissions

Chapter Four:
Light-Duty Vehicle Regulatory History

Chapter Five:
California's Light-Duty Vehicle Strategy

Chapter Six:
Direct Costs and Benefits of Hardware-Based ICEV Elements

Chapter Seven:
Market-Mediated Effects of ICEV Hardware Elements

Part 2

Chapter Eight:
Direct Costs and Benefits of Non-Hardware Based ICEV Elements

Chapter Nine:
Market-Mediated Effects of ICEV Non-Hardware Elements

Chapter Ten:
Direct Costs and Benefits of the Zero-Emission Vehicle Mandate

Chapter Eleven:
Market-Mediated Effects of the ZEV Mandate 1998 to 2002

Part 3

Chapter Twelve:
Thinking About Policy Options

Appendix

References

ICJ Publications

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