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How Have Deployments During the War on Terrorism Affected Reenlistment?

Cover: How Have Deployments During the War on Terrorism Affected Reenlistment?

By: James Hosek, Francisco Martorell

The military operations in Iraq and Afghanistan have placed considerable strain on service members, particularly those in the Army and Marine Corps. This research responds to widespread concern about the ability of the services to maintain required force levels under these circumstances. The research reviews deployment trends, develops a theoretical model, and analyzes both survey and administrative data. Survey data findings show that deployment increased both work and personal stress and reduced the intention to reenlist as reported at the time of the survey, but it had little effect on subsequent reenlistment. Administrative data showed how the effect of deployment varied by year and differed between first- and second-term reenlistment for each branch of service. The effect of deployment on reenlistment was positive or near zero in most years but became negative for the Army in 2006 and 2007. Analysis traced the negative effect to those soldiers with the highest cumulative months of deployment, whereas soldiers with few months of deployment had a positive effect. Findings for the Marine Corps were similar, but with shorter deployments, fewer Marines accumulated high cumulative months of deployment. The research also considered the roles of deployment pay and reenlistment bonuses in supporting overall reenlistment, which was especially important for the Army, in which the effect of deployment became negative.

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Paperback Cover Price: $41.00

Discounted Web Price: $36.90

Pages: 172

ISBN/EAN: 9780833047335

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Contents

Chapter One:
Introduction

Chapter Two:
Background and Review of Selected Literature

Chapter Three:
Modeling Deployment and Reenlistment

Chapter Four:
Data Sources and Analysis Samples

Chapter Five:
Econometric Model

Chapter Six:
Empirical Results Using Survey Data

Chapter Seven:
Empirical Results Using Administrative Data

Chapter Eight:
The Role of Reenlistment Bonuses in Sustaining Retention

Chapter Nine:
Conclusion

Appendix A:
A Model of Reenlistment Bonus Setting

Appendix B:
relationship Between Bias in Estimated Bonus Effect and Estimated Deployment Effect

Appendix C:
Additional Regression Results

Appendix D:
Comparison with Hansen and Eenger's Navy Pay Elasticity

The research described in this report was prepared for the Office of the Secretary of Defense (OSD). The research was conducted in the RAND National Defense Research Institute, a federally funded research and development center sponsored by the OSD, the Joint Staff, the Unified Combatant Commands, the Department of the Navy, the Marine Corps, the defense agencies, and the defense Intelligence Community.

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