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Abstract

Following the war in Iraq, the United States, along with its allies and friends, faces the need to define a new, long-term strategy for the Persian Gulf region. The United States' continued, indeed permanent, engagement in the region has already been determined by its interests, but many elements must be considered and questions answered, including the following:

  • What are the best strategy and approach to promoting long-term security and stability in the region in a manner consonant with the basic interests of the United States, its allies and partners, and participating regional countries?
  • What means can be found to reduce the long-term burdens imposed on the United States by its involvement in the region in terms of military engagement, risks and expenses, and opportunity costs?
  • Can Iran be drawn productively into security arrangements for the Persian Gulf, or will it decide instead to challenge security in the region?
  • What regional security structure can be developed with the potential to include all regional countries and provide lasting value?

To answer these questions, the author analyzes the future of Iraq, the role of Iran, asymmetric threats (including terrorism), regional reassurance, the Arab-Israeli conflict, regional tensions, and the roles of other external actors. The work recommends criteria, parameters, potential models and partners, arms-control and confidence-building measures, and specific steps in diplomacy and military commitments for a new security structure for the Persian Gulf region that can meet U.S. interests at a reduced cost and gain the support of the American people.

Table of Contents

  • Chapter One

    Introduction

  • Chapter Two

    The Basic Framework

  • Chapter Three

    Background and Context

  • Chapter Four

    The Core Challenges for a New Security Structure

  • Chapter Five

    Elements of Security Reassurance

  • Chapter Six

    The Arab-Israeli Conflict

  • Chapter Seven

    Regional Tensions, Crises, and Conflicts

  • Chapter Eight

    The Roles of Other External Actors

  • Chapter Nine

    Building Blocks for a Regional Security Structure

  • Chapter Ten

    Arms Control and Confidence-Building Measures

  • Chapter Eleven

    Conclusions and Recommendations

  • Appendix

    Documents

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