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National Security: Documents Available Online

For more information on current research projects, please visit the National Security Research Area. The documents below are alphabetized by title.

2009

Air Force Physician and Dentist Multiyear Special Pay: Current Status and Potential Reforms

Edward G. Keating, Marygail K. Brauner, Lionel A. Galway, Judith D. Mele, James J. Burks, Brendan Saloner

Discusses the tendencies of Air Force physicians and dentists to accept Multiyear Special Pay.

Air Force Service Procurement: Approaches for Measurement and Management

Laura H. Baldwin

Testimony presented before the House Armed Services Committee Panel on Defense Acquisition Reform on April 23, 2009.

Antecedents and Implications of the November 2008 Lashkar-e-Taiba (LeT) Attack Upon Several Targets in the Indian Mega-City of Mumbai

C. Christine Fair

Testimony presented before the House Homeland Security Committee, Subcommittee on Transportation Security and Infrastructure Protection on March 11, 2009.

Assessing Capabilities and Risks in Air Force Programming: Framework, Metrics, and Methods

Don Snyder, Patrick Mills, Adam C. Resnick, Brent D. Fulton

A method for capabilities-based programming is developed to assist the programming of a wide range of resources in light of an uncertain future, expressing capabilities and risks of resource allocations in terms of national planning objectives.

Assessing Combat Exposure and Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder in Troops and Estimating the Costs to Society: Implications from the RAND Invisible Wounds of War Study

Terri Tanielian

Testimony presented before the House Veterans' Affairs Committee, Subcommittee on Disability Assistance and Memorial Affairs on March 24, 2009.

Assessing the Cost-Effectiveness of Modernizing the KC-10 to Meet Global Air Traffic Management Mandates

Anthony D. Rosello, Sean Bednarz, Michael Kennedy, Chuck Stelzner, Fred Timson, David T. Orletsky

Without modernization, the U.S. Air Force's KC-10 air refueling fleet will not be in compliance with upcoming worldwide air traffic mandates. An analysis of the cost-effectiveness of the required KC-10 upgrades revealed a net cost avoidance.

Building Partner Capacity to Combat Weapons of Mass Destruction

Jennifer D. P. Moroney, Joe Hogler, Benjamin Bahney, Kim Cragin, David R. Howell, Charlotte Lynch, S. Rebecca Zimmerman

Outlines and then applies a four-step process for developing regional approaches to building partner capacity (BPC) to combat weapons of mass destruction (WMD).

The Capabilities That Medium-Armored Forces Bring to the Full Spectrum of Operations

David E. Johnson, Adam Grissom, Olga Oliker

Assesses the performance of medium-armored forces in 13 past conflicts, to better understand their unique capabilities and inform decisions about the Future Force.

Challenges and Issues with the Further Aging of U.S. Air Force Aircraft: Policy Options for Effective Life-Cycle Management of Resources

Jean R. Gebman

Several challenges and issues relating to the further aging of already-old U.S. Air Force aircraft must be addressed and policy options developed to direct the life-cycle management of resources to maintain such aircraft over the next 20 years.

China's International Behavior: Activism, Opportunism, and Diversification

Evan S. Medeiros

China's international activism is one of the newest and most important trends in global affairs. This monograph analyzes how China defines its international objectives, how it is pursuing them, and what it means for U.S. interests.

Combat Support Execution Planning and Control: An Assessment of Initial Implementations in Air Force Exercises

Kristin F. Lynch, William A. Williams

Two command post exercises in 2004 offered an operational environment in which to observe Air Force combat support execution planning and control activities.

Competition and Innovation Under Complexity

Jeffrey A. Drezner

Explores how increased complexity affects competition and innovation in the context of defense acquisition.

Computer Simulation of General and Flag Officer Management: Model Description and Results

Peter Schirmer

A simulation model is used to assess the complexity and feasibility of managing the new general and flag officer end- and grade-strength accounting rules of the Duncan Hunter National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2009.

Contractor Logistics Support in the U.S. Air Force

Michael Boito, Cynthia R. Cook, John C. Graser

The Air Force would benefit by improving its recordkeeping on contractor logistics support (CLS) through centralization and standardization and by keeping all its other support options open by obtaining technical data rights as early as possible.

Controlling the Cost of C4I Upgrades on Naval Ships

John F. Schank, Christopher G. Pernin, Mark V. Arena, Carter C. Price, Susan K. Woodward

Looking across a set of completed C4I upgrades to U.S. Navy ships, the authors uncovered mixed evidence of cost improvement, a high level of variability in costs, and a trend toward overestimating the installation-labor costs of certain upgrades.

The Cost-Effectiveness of Military Advertising: Evidence from 2002-2004

James N. Dertouzos

Presents the results of an econometric analysis that explored how effective military advertising is in generating active-duty enlistments.

Could Mexico Fail?

Brian Michael Jenkins

Suggests ways the U.S. could address concerns about the growing lawlessness in northern Mexico and its consequences for U.S. national security.

Countering Piracy in the Modern Era: Notes from a RAND Workshop to Discuss the Best Approaches for Dealing with Piracy in the 21st Century

Peter Chalk, Laurence Smallman, Nicholas Burger

The findings of a small group of experts from the U.S. government, allied partner nations, the maritime industry, and academic organizations convened to discuss piracy in the modern era.

Counterinsurgency in Afghanistan

James Dobbins

Testimony presented before the Senate Armed Services Committee on February 26, 2009.

Counterinsurgency in Afghanistan

James Dobbins

Testimony presented before the House Oversight and Government Reform Committee, Subcommittee on National Security and Foreign Affairs on March 26, 2009.

Cross-Cultural Skills for Deployed Air Force Personnel: Defining Cross-Cultural Performance

Chaitra M. Hardison, Carra S. Sims, Farhana Ali, Andres Villamizar, Ben Mundell, Paul Howe

Created a framework of 14 categories of cross-cultural performance, developed a survey to confirm the importance of the categories, and analyzed the results to clarify what cross-cultural training should enable Air Force personnel to do.

Cyberdeterrence and Cyberwar

Martin C. Libicki

In wrestling with how to defend a nation's information infrastructure in what appears to be a new medium of warfare, it is tempting to apply the historic tenets of deterrence and defense -- but doing so is quite misleading.

DDG-51 Engineering Training: How Simulators Can Help

Roland J. Yardley, James G. Kallimani, Laurence Smallman, Clifford A. Grammich

Increased use of training simulators could improve engineering watchstanders' proficiency before Navy destroyers go to sea, saving money and reserving time at sea for refined training.

Dangerous But Not Omnipotent: Exploring the Reach and Limitations of Iranian Power in the Middle East

Frederic Wehrey, David E. Thaler, Nora Bensahel, Kim Cragin, Jerrold D. Green, Dalia Dassa Kaye, Nadia Oweidat, Jennifer Li

Although Iranian power projection in the Middle East is marked by strengths, it also has serious liabilities and limitations. This report surveys the nature of both in four critical areas and offers a new U.S. policy paradigm for Iran.

Data for DoD Manpower Policy Analysis

Jacob Alex Klerman

Describes the data available for U.S. Department of Defense military manpower analyses, points out underused data-matching strategies, and makes recommendations on how (and how not to) to improve and expand DoD's data-generation system.

The Day After... in Jerusalem: A Strategic Planning Exercise on the Path to Achieving Peace in the Middle East

Roger C. Molander, David Aaron, Robert E. Hunter, Martin C. Libicki, Douglas Shontz, Peter A. Wilson

This overview of a series of strategic exercises undertaken by leading experts and former government officials to help U.S. policymakers address the challenges of the Arab-Israeli conflict shows that it should remain a top national security priority.

Defining and Evaluating Reliable Options for Overseas Combat Support Basing

Thomas Lang

Identifies a robust set of facility locations for the Air Force to place combat support basing materiel that will cover a broad range of potential missions (e.g., training, humanitarian, and major combat operations) that may occur around the world.

The Department of Defense Can Improve Its Response to and Management of Anthrax Incidents

Terrence K. Kelly, Terri Tanielian, Bruce W. Don, Melinda Moore, Charles Meade, K. Scott McMahon, John C. Baker, Gary Cecchine, Deanna Weber Prine, Michael A. Wermuth

Assesses the Department of Defense (DoD) response to three potential anthrax-related incidents at DoD facilities in March 2005 and recommends ways that DoD can improve its incident-response capabilities.

The Department of the Navy's Civilian Acquisition Workforce: An Analysis of Recent Trends

Susan M. Gates, Edward G. Keating, Bryan Tysinger, Adria D. Jewell, Lindsay Daugherty, Ralph Masi

Summarizes defense acquisition workforce analyses that RAND has undertaken for the Department of the Navy.

Developing a Process to Build Partner Capacity for Combating Weapons of Mass Destruction

Jennifer D. P. Moroney, Joe Hogler, Benjamin Bahney, Kim Cragin, David R. Howell, Charlotte Lynch, S. Rebecca Zimmerman

Summarizes a project that examines how the United States can better coordinate its approach to enhance partners' border security, detection, and interdiction capacity to combat the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction.

Does Imported Oil Threaten U.S. National Security?

Keith Crane, Andreas Goldthau, Michael Toman, Thomas Light, Stuart E. Johnson, Alireza Nader, Angel Rabasa, Harun Dogo

U.S. reliance on oil risks the economic costs of disruption in global oil supplies. The United States would reduce the national security costs of importing oil by supporting well-functioning oil markets and imposing an oil excise tax.

Does the United States Need a New Police Force for Stability Operations?

Terrence K. Kelly, Seth G. Jones, James E. Barnett, Keith Crane, Robert C. Davis, Carl Jensen

Considers the creation of a high-end police force for use in stability operations, examining its ideal size, how responsive it needs to be, where in the government it might be located, its needed capabilities, its proper staffing, and its cost.

The Effect of Knowledge Management Systems on Organizational Performance: Do Soldier and Unit Counterinsurgency Knowledge and Performance Improve Following "Push" or "Adaptive-Push" Training?

S. Jamie Gayton

Reports the results of two studies to determine how best to increase soldier knowledge and unit performance using a network-centric, knowledge repository designed to increase Stryker Brigade soldier knowledge and unit performance.

Enhancing Fires and Maneuver Capability Through Greater Air-Ground Joint Interdependence

Jody Jacobs, David E. Johnson, Katherine Comanor, Lewis Jamison, Leland Joe, David Vaughan

Proposes a new warfighting concept that capitalizes on greater air and ground joint interdependence and demonstrates its potential to increase effectiveness during major combat.

Enhancing Interoperability Among Enlisted Medical Personnel in the U.S. Military: A Case Study of Military Surgical Technologists

Harry J. Thie, Sheila Nataraj Kirby, Adam C. Resnick, Thomas Manacapilli, Daniel Gershwin, Andrew Baxter, Roland J. Yardley

Air Force, Army, and Navy training programs for enlisted medical personnel are being consolidated to increase interoperability. A RAND methodology defines standards of practice across services and evaluates options for obtaining qualified personnel.

Enhancing Interoperability Among Enlisted Medical Personnel: A Case Study of Military Surgical Technologists

Harry J. Thie, Sheila Nataraj Kirby, Adam C. Resnick, Thomas Manacapilli, Daniel Gershwin, Andrew Baxter, Roland J. Yardley

A methodology is outlined for defining a common standard of practice that can be applied to the surgical technologist specialty -- or any other medical specialty -- with the goal of consolidating training for enlisted military personnel across services.

The Evolving Terrorist Threat to Southeast Asia: A Net Assessment

Peter Chalk, Angel Rabasa, William Rosenau, Leanne Piggott

Building on prior RAND research, this study examined the historical roots of militancy in the Philippines, Thailand, and Indonesia; the development of extremist ideological frameworks; and national and international government response efforts.

An Examination of the Relationship Between Usage and Operating-and-Support Costs of U.S. Air Force Aircraft

Eric J. Unger

Examining current U.S. Air Force budgeting approaches, this research estimates the relationship between multiple Air Force systems' expenditures, flying hours, and fleet sizes, suggesting a more sophisticated way to think about Air Force costs.

Expanding Access to Mental Health Counselors Under TRICARE

Lisa S. Meredith, Terri Tanielian, Michael D. Greenberg, Ana Suarez, Elizabeth Eiseman

Evaluates a one-year trial in which two administrative requirements governing the provision of mental health care under TRICARE (the health care system for military personnel) were lifted, focusing on whether this increased access to such care.

Explaining Recent Army and Navy Minority Recruiting Trends

Beth J. Asch, Paul Heaton, Bogdan Savych

Identifies factors that explain recruiting trends among blacks and Hispanics from 2000 to 2007, including the responsiveness of these groups to various recruiting resources as well as other factors, such as the effect of the Iraq war.

Fighter Drawdown Dynamics: Effects on Aircrew Inventories

William W. Taylor, James H. Bigelow, John A. Ausink

To satisfy increasing demands for fighter pilots without overwhelming the training pipeline, the Air Force must reduce fighter pilot production and leverage other assets to fill positions that require fighter pilot skills.

Film Piracy and Its Connection to Organized Crime and Terrorism

Gregory F. Treverton, Carl Matthies, Karla J. Cunningham, Jeremiah Goulka, Greg Ridgeway, Anny Wong

A detailed investigation into the connections between intellectual-property piracy, organized crime, and terrorism, including case studies of criminal and terrorist groups and recommendations for reducing the demand for and supply of pirated goods.

Film Piracy, Organized Crime, and Terrorism

Gregory F. Treverton, Carl Matthies, Karla J. Cunningham, Jeremiah Goulka, Greg Ridgeway, Anny Wong

The involvement of organized crime and terrorist groups worldwide in counterfeiting products to finance their activities, with case studies of film piracy as an illustrative example.

Finding Needles in a Haystack: A Resource Allocation Methodology to Design Strategies to Detect Terrorist Weapon Development

David R. Howell

Presents a methodology to design strategies for detecting terrorist weapon development and shows how it might be used to detect development of improvised explosive devices and radiological dispersal devices.

Foundation for Integrating Employee Health Activities for Active Duty Personnel in the Department of Defense

Gary Cecchine, Elizabeth M. Sloss, Christopher Nelson, Gail Fisher, Preethi R. Sama, Asha Pathak, David M. Adamson

Describes current Department of Defense (DoD) safety and occupational health programs and health information systems, and employee health programs outside of DoD as a foundation for considering a more integrated DoD employee health program.

Foundations of Effective Influence Operations: A Framework for Enhancing Army Capabilities

Eric V. Larson, Richard E. Darilek, Daniel Gibran, Brian Nichiporuk, Amy Richardson, Lowell H. Schwartz, Cathryn Quantic Thurston

Aims to assist the U.S. Army in understanding "influence operations," capabilities that may allow the United States to effectively influence the attitudes and behavior of particular foreign audiences while minimizing or avoiding combat.

A Framework to Assess Programs for Building Partnerships

Jennifer D. P. Moroney, Jefferson P. Marquis, Cathryn Quantic Thurston, Gregory F. Treverton

Lays out a framework for assessing Department of Defense security cooperation activities, based on themes from a 2008 RAND workshop.

From Strategy to Implementation: The Future of the U.S.-Pakistan Relationship

C. Christine Fair

Testimony presented before the House Foreign Affairs Committee on May 5, 2009.

Gauging Future Demand for Veterans' Health Care: Does the VA Have the Forecasting Tools It Needs?

Katherine M. Harris

Testimony presented before the House Veterans' Affairs Committee on April 29, 2009.

The Geopolitical Consequences of the World Economic Recession -- A Caution

Robert D. Blackwill

Considers the geopolitical ramifications of the 2009 global economic downturn and argues against the idea that the recession will lead to lasting structural alterations in the international system.

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