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National Security: Documents Available Online

For more information on current research projects, please visit the National Security Research Area. The documents below are alphabetized by title.

2010

Army Deployments to OIF and OEF

Timothy M. Bonds, Dave Baiocchi, Laurie L. McDonald

Assess the demands placed upon the Army by the continuing deployments of soldiers to operations in Iraq and Afghanistan.

Between Slogans and Solutions: A Frame-Based Assessment Methodology for Public Diplomacy

Michael Egner

Examines an assessment methodology treating public diplomacy not as a series of discrete programs, but as a coordinated system of producing USG-preferred frames emphasizing or de-emphasizing specific elements of current or future U.S. policies.

Global Combat Support Basing: Robust Prepositioning Strategies for Air Force War Reserve Materiel

Ronald G. McGarvey, Robert S. Tripp, Rachel Rue, Thomas Lang, Jerry M. Sollinger, Whitney A. Conner, Louis Luangkesorn

Alternative approaches to storing combat support materiel might provide better support to deploying forces in an expeditionary environment that features frequent force projections, of varying sizes and of unknown durations, to wide-ranging locations.

The Impact of U.S. Military Drawdown in Iraq on Displaced and Other Vulnerable Populations: Analysis and Recommendations

Olga Oliker, Audra K. Grant, Dalia Dassa Kaye

Assesses the risks and implications of U.S. drawdown and withdrawal from Iraq for vulnerable populations in Iraq and in neighboring states, and makes recommendations for mitigating anticipated problems.

Mullahs, Guards, and Bonyads: An Exploration of Iranian Leadership Dynamics

David E. Thaler, Alireza Nader, Shahram Chubin, Jerrold D. Green, Charlotte Lynch, Frederic Wehrey

The authors describe Iran's strategic culture; investigate the Iranian political system's informal networks, formal institutions, and personalities; assess the impact of elite behavior on Iranian policy; and summarize key trends.

Reconstructing Haiti

James Dobbins

Testimony presented before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee on January 28, 2010.

Security in Iraq: A Framework for Analyzing Emerging Threats as U.S. Forces Leave

David C. Gompert, Terrence K. Kelly, Jessica Watkins

U.S. withdrawal from Iraq could affect Iraq's internal security and stability, which could, in turn, affect U.S. strategic interests and the safety of U.S. troops and civilians in Iraq. The framework provided here can help minimize negative effects.

Security in Iraq: Emerging Threats as U.S. Forces Withdraw

David C. Gompert, Terrence K. Kelly, Jessica Watkins

U.S. withdrawal from Iraq could affect Iraq's internal security and stability, which could, in turn, affect U.S. strategic interests and the safety of U.S. troops and civilians in Iraq. The framework described here can help minimize negative effects.

Security, At What Cost?: Quantifying people's trade-offs across liberty, privacy and security

Neil Robinson, Dimitris Potoglou, Chong Woo Kim, Peter Burge, Richard Warnes

This study was aimed at understanding practical privacy, liberty and security trade-offs individuals make to better inform public policy about preferences in this domain and to inform the debate about the balance between security and civil liberties.

Troubled Partnership: U.S.-Turkish Relations in an Era of Global Geopolitical Change

F. Stephen Larrabee

U.S.-Turkish relations, long a vital element of U.S. policy, have undergone serious strains. The advent of a new U.S. administration presents an important opportunity to revitalize this critical security partnership.

2009

The Acquisition Cost-Estimating Workforce: Census and Characteristics

Georges Vernez, Hugh G. Massey

Reports the results of a census of the Air Force's acquisition cost-estimating workforce, describes its background and competencies, and assesses its operational needs.

Air Force Officer Specialty Structure: Reviewing the Fundamentals

Raymond E. Conley, Albert A. Robbert

Focusing primarily on the officer structure, provides a brief primer on the specialty-classification system, summarizes major changes in progress or planned, and suggests additional changes based on interviews and comparative analyses.

Air Force Physician and Dentist Multiyear Special Pay: Current Status and Potential Reforms

Edward G. Keating, Marygail K. Brauner, Lionel A. Galway, Judith D. Mele, James J. Burks, Brendan Saloner

Discusses the tendencies of Air Force physicians and dentists to accept Multiyear Special Pay.

Air Force Service Procurement: Approaches for Measurement and Management

Laura H. Baldwin

Testimony presented before the House Armed Services Committee Panel on Defense Acquisition Reform on April 23, 2009.

Analysis of the Air Force Logistics Enterprise: Evaluation of Global Repair Network Options for Supporting the F-16 and KC-135

Ronald G. McGarvey, Manuel Carrillo, Douglas C. Cato, Jr., John G. Drew, Thomas Lang, Kristin F. Lynch, Amy L. Maletic, Hugh G. Massey, James M. Masters, Raymond A. Pyles, Ricardo Sanchez, Jerry M. Sollinger, Brent Thomas, Robert S. Tripp, Ben D. Van Roo

Develops an approach for rebalancing aircraft maintenance capabilities between mission generation units and a network of centralized repair facilities, illustrated by an application to the F-16 and KC-135 weapon systems.

Antecedents and Implications of the November 2008 Lashkar-e-Taiba (LeT) Attack Upon Several Targets in the Indian Mega-City of Mumbai

C. Christine Fair

Testimony presented before the House Homeland Security Committee, Subcommittee on Transportation Security and Infrastructure Protection on March 11, 2009.

Assessing Capabilities and Risks in Air Force Programming: Framework, Metrics, and Methods

Don Snyder, Patrick Mills, Adam C. Resnick, Brent D. Fulton

A method for capabilities-based programming is developed to assist the programming of a wide range of resources in light of an uncertain future, expressing capabilities and risks of resource allocations in terms of national planning objectives.

Assessing Combat Exposure and Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder in Troops and Estimating the Costs to Society: Implications from the RAND Invisible Wounds of War Study

Terri Tanielian

Testimony presented before the House Veterans' Affairs Committee, Subcommittee on Disability Assistance and Memorial Affairs on March 24, 2009.

Assessing the Cost-Effectiveness of Modernizing the KC-10 to Meet Global Air Traffic Management Mandates

Anthony D. Rosello, Sean Bednarz, Michael Kennedy, Chuck Stelzner, Fred Timson, David T. Orletsky

Without modernization, the U.S. Air Force's KC-10 air refueling fleet will not be in compliance with upcoming worldwide air traffic mandates. An analysis of the cost-effectiveness of the required KC-10 upgrades revealed a net cost avoidance.

Building Partner Capacity to Combat Weapons of Mass Destruction

Jennifer D. P. Moroney, Joe Hogler, Benjamin Bahney, Kim Cragin, David R. Howell, Charlotte Lynch, S. Rebecca Zimmerman

Outlines and then applies a four-step process for developing regional approaches to building partner capacity (BPC) to combat weapons of mass destruction (WMD).

The Capabilities That Medium-Armored Forces Bring to the Full Spectrum of Operations

David E. Johnson, Adam Grissom, Olga Oliker

Assesses the performance of medium-armored forces in 13 past conflicts, to better understand their unique capabilities and inform decisions about the Future Force.

Challenges and Issues with the Further Aging of U.S. Air Force Aircraft: Policy Options for Effective Life-Cycle Management of Resources

Jean R. Gebman

Several challenges and issues relating to the further aging of already-old U.S. Air Force aircraft must be addressed and policy options developed to direct the life-cycle management of resources to maintain such aircraft over the next 20 years.

China's International Behavior: Activism, Opportunism, and Diversification

Evan S. Medeiros

China's international activism is one of the newest and most important trends in global affairs. This monograph analyzes how China defines its international objectives, how it is pursuing them, and what it means for U.S. interests.

Combat Support Execution Planning and Control: An Assessment of Initial Implementations in Air Force Exercises

Kristin F. Lynch, William A. Williams

Two command post exercises in 2004 offered an operational environment in which to observe Air Force combat support execution planning and control activities.

A Compendium of Sexual Assault Research

Margaret C. Harrell, Laura Werber Castaneda, Marisa Adelson, Sarah Gaillot, Charlotte Lynch, Amanda Pomeroy

Provides an overview of recent research on sexual assault and summarizes more than 450 individual studies of the topic.

Competition and Innovation Under Complexity

Jeffrey A. Drezner

Explores how increased complexity affects competition and innovation in the context of defense acquisition.

Computer Simulation of General and Flag Officer Management: Model Description and Results

Peter Schirmer

A simulation model is used to assess the complexity and feasibility of managing the new general and flag officer end- and grade-strength accounting rules of the Duncan Hunter National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2009.

Consolidated Afloat Networks and Enterprise Services (CANES): Manpower, Personnel, and Training Implications

Harry J. Thie, Margaret C. Harrell, Aine Seitz McCarthy, Joseph Jenkins

Assesses the manpower, personnel, and training implications associated with the introduction of the Consolidated Afloat Networks and Enterprise Services (CANES) -- a common computing environment -- to U.S. Navy ships.

Contractor Logistics Support in the U.S. Air Force

Michael Boito, Cynthia R. Cook, John C. Graser

The Air Force would benefit by improving its recordkeeping on contractor logistics support (CLS) through centralization and standardization and by keeping all its other support options open by obtaining technical data rights as early as possible.

Controlling the Cost of C4I Upgrades on Naval Ships

John F. Schank, Christopher G. Pernin, Mark V. Arena, Carter C. Price, Susan K. Woodward

Looking across a set of completed C4I upgrades to U.S. Navy ships, the authors uncovered mixed evidence of cost improvement, a high level of variability in costs, and a trend toward overestimating the installation-labor costs of certain upgrades.

The Cost-Effectiveness of Military Advertising: Evidence from 2002-2004

James N. Dertouzos

Presents the results of an econometric analysis that explored how effective military advertising is in generating active-duty enlistments.

Could Mexico Fail?

Brian Michael Jenkins

Suggests ways the U.S. could address concerns about the growing lawlessness in northern Mexico and its consequences for U.S. national security.

Countering Piracy in the Modern Era: Notes from a RAND Workshop to Discuss the Best Approaches for Dealing with Piracy in the 21st Century

Peter Chalk, Laurence Smallman, Nicholas Burger

The findings of a small group of experts from the U.S. government, allied partner nations, the maritime industry, and academic organizations convened to discuss piracy in the modern era.

Counterinsurgency in Afghanistan

James Dobbins

Testimony presented before the Senate Armed Services Committee on February 26, 2009.

Counterinsurgency in Afghanistan

James Dobbins

Testimony presented before the House Oversight and Government Reform Committee, Subcommittee on National Security and Foreign Affairs on March 26, 2009.

Cross-Cultural Skills for Deployed Air Force Personnel: Defining Cross-Cultural Performance

Chaitra M. Hardison, Carra S. Sims, Farhana Ali, Andres Villamizar, Benjamin F. Mundell, Paul Howe

Created a framework of 14 categories of cross-cultural performance, developed a survey to confirm the importance of the categories, and analyzed the results to clarify what cross-cultural training should enable Air Force personnel to do.

Cyberdeterrence and Cyberwar

Martin C. Libicki

In wrestling with how to defend a nation's information infrastructure in what appears to be a new medium of warfare, it is tempting to apply the historic tenets of deterrence and defense -- but doing so is quite misleading.

DDG-51 Engineering Training: How Simulators Can Help

Roland J. Yardley, James G. Kallimani, Laurence Smallman, Clifford A. Grammich

Increased use of training simulators could improve engineering watchstanders' proficiency before Navy destroyers go to sea, saving money and reserving time at sea for refined training.

Dangerous But Not Omnipotent: Exploring the Reach and Limitations of Iranian Power in the Middle East

Frederic Wehrey, David E. Thaler, Nora Bensahel, Kim Cragin, Jerrold D. Green, Dalia Dassa Kaye, Nadia Oweidat, Jennifer Li

Although Iranian power projection in the Middle East is marked by strengths, it also has serious liabilities and limitations. This report surveys the nature of both in four critical areas and offers a new U.S. policy paradigm for Iran.

Data for DoD Manpower Policy Analysis

Jacob Alex Klerman

Describes the data available for U.S. Department of Defense military manpower analyses, points out underused data-matching strategies, and makes recommendations on how (and how not to) to improve and expand DoD's data-generation system.

The Day After... in Jerusalem: A Strategic Planning Exercise on the Path to Achieving Peace in the Middle East

Roger C. Molander, David Aaron, Robert E. Hunter, Martin C. Libicki, Douglas Shontz, Peter A. Wilson

This overview of a series of strategic exercises undertaken by leading experts and former government officials to help U.S. policymakers address the challenges of the Arab-Israeli conflict shows that it should remain a top national security priority.

Defining and Evaluating Reliable Options for Overseas Combat Support Basing

Thomas Lang

Identifies a robust set of facility locations for the Air Force to place combat support basing materiel that will cover a broad range of potential missions (e.g., training, humanitarian, and major combat operations) that may occur around the world.

A Delicate Balance: Portfolio Analysis and Management for Intelligence Information Dissemination Programs

Eric Landree, Richard Silberglitt, Brian G. Chow, Lance Sherry, Michael S. Tseng

An application of RAND's PortMan portfolio analysis and Delphi methods for the National Security Agency (NSA) that enables allocation of research and development (R&D) and operations and maintenance (O&M) resources according to value, risk, and cost.

The Department of Defense Can Improve Its Response to and Management of Anthrax Incidents

Terrence K. Kelly, Terri Tanielian, Bruce W. Don, Melinda Moore, Charles Meade, K. Scott McMahon, John C. Baker, Gary Cecchine, Deanna Weber Prine, Michael A. Wermuth

Assesses the Department of Defense (DoD) response to three potential anthrax-related incidents at DoD facilities in March 2005 and recommends ways that DoD can improve its incident-response capabilities.

The Department of the Navy's Civilian Acquisition Workforce: An Analysis of Recent Trends

Susan M. Gates, Edward G. Keating, Bryan Tysinger, Adria D. Jewell, Lindsay Daugherty, Ralph Masi

Summarizes defense acquisition workforce analyses that RAND has undertaken for the Department of the Navy.

Determining When Competition Is a Reasonable Strategy for the Production Phase of Defense Acquisition

Mark V. Arena, John Birkler

Identifies the benefits and drawbacks of competition in defense acquisitions and uses RAND's required cost reduction methodology to show how DoD can determine when the introduction of competition during production is a reasonable strategy.

Developing Headquarters Guidance for Army Installation Sustainability Plans in 2007

Beth E. Lachman, Ellen M. Pint, Gary Cecchine, Kimberly Colloton

Examines the experiences of Army installations with sustainability planning, and recommends ways to help foster Armywide development and implementation of installation sustainability plans, which address mission, community, and environmental issues.

Developing a Process to Build Partner Capacity for Combating Weapons of Mass Destruction

Jennifer D. P. Moroney, Joe Hogler, Benjamin Bahney, Kim Cragin, David R. Howell, Charlotte Lynch, S. Rebecca Zimmerman

Summarizes a project that examines how the United States can better coordinate its approach to enhance partners' border security, detection, and interdiction capacity to combat the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction.

Does Imported Oil Threaten U.S. National Security?

Keith Crane, Andreas Goldthau, Michael Toman, Thomas Light, Stuart E. Johnson, Alireza Nader, Angel Rabasa, Harun Dogo

U.S. reliance on oil risks the economic costs of disruption in global oil supplies. The United States would reduce the national security costs of importing oil by supporting well-functioning oil markets and imposing an oil excise tax.

Does the United States Need a New Police Force for Stability Operations?

Terrence K. Kelly, Seth G. Jones, James E. Barnett, Keith Crane, Robert C. Davis, Carl Jensen

Considers the creation of a high-end police force for use in stability operations, examining its ideal size, how responsive it needs to be, where in the government it might be located, its needed capabilities, its proper staffing, and its cost.

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