The Potential Criminal Adversaries of Nuclear Programs

A Portrait

by Brian Michael Jenkins

Download

Download Free Electronic Document

FormatFile SizeNotes
PDF file 0.4 MB

Use Adobe Acrobat Reader version 7.0 or higher for the best experience.

Purchase

Purchase Print Copy

 FormatList Price Price
Add to Cart Paperback11 pages $20.00 $16.00 20% Web Discount

Abstract

Text of a speech describing perpetrators of potential criminal acts against nuclear programs in terms of their possible motivations, actions, methods, resources, and capabilities. Though assessment of crime in the nuclear domain is necessarily speculative, it is possible to say that a broad range of threats and adversaries must be anticipated. Ideologically motivated criminals would include political terrorists, anti-nuclear extremists, and other fanatics. Economically motivated types would include those attempting theft for ransom, sale (no known nuclear black market exists, but one is possible), or extortion. Personally motivated individuals might act out of specific grievances or mental instability. Possible criminal actions range from hoax bomb threats to theft of nuclear material for use in some sort of nuclear dispersal or explosive device. Physical resources (men and weapons) pose less of a problem for adversaries than special human resources (technical skills, willingness to accept great risk, inside information). If it follows the pattern of sophisticated nonnuclear theft, nuclear theft is likely to involve the collusion of insiders, from security guards to management.

This report is part of the RAND Corporation paper series. The paper was a product of the RAND Corporation from 1948 to 2003 that captured speeches, memorials, and derivative research, usually prepared on authors' own time and meant to be the scholarly or scientific contribution of individual authors to their professional fields. Papers were less formal than reports and did not require rigorous peer review.

Permission is given to duplicate this electronic document for personal use only, as long as it is unaltered and complete. Copies may not be duplicated for commercial purposes. Unauthorized posting of RAND PDFs to a non-RAND Web site is prohibited. RAND PDFs are protected under copyright law. For information on reprint and linking permissions, please visit the RAND Permissions page.

The RAND Corporation is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND's publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors.