Cover: Deterring Regional Aggressors in the Post-Cold War Era

Deterring Regional Aggressors in the Post-Cold War Era

by Brian Nichiporuk, John Arquilla, Dean A. Wilkening, Ken Watman

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Abstract

This research brief describes work documented in U.S. Regional Deterrence Strategy (MR-490-A/AF).

Excerpt: Now that the Soviet threat has faded, U.S. deterrent strategy will focus on dissuading regional powers from attacking U.S. interests. These strategies must recognize the motivations and vulnerabilities of such aggressors. In a recent RAND report, U.S. Regional Deterrence Strategies, Kenneth Watman and Dean Wilkening examined the prospects for military deterrence in the post-Cold War era. Working from historical case studies and analyses of aggressor behavior, they assessed how difficult it would be to deter regional aggressors, how credible a deterrent the United States could mount, and what inferences should be drawn for U.S. deterrent strategy. Their findings, detailed in the remainder of this brief, may be summarized as follows:

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This report is part of the RAND Corporation research brief series. RAND research briefs present policy-oriented summaries of individual published, peer-reviewed documents or of a body of published work.

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