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A review of the information necessary to produce an operational fallout model. Each facet of the problem is discussed, the attendant difficulties pointed out, and the possible compromises suggested. A comparison of current fallout models is attempted so that strengths and weaknesses of each model can be assessed. Finally, a suggested program for the development of a flexible computer model is made. Such a model could provide a method for examining the variation in prediction as a function of the variation of the input.

This report is part of the RAND Corporation research memorandum series. The Research Memorandum was a product of the RAND Corporation from 1948 to 1973 that represented working papers meant to report current results of RAND research to appropriate audiences.

The RAND Corporation is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND's publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors.