Acknowledgments

Useful ideas, presumably like victories, will find a hundred fathers.[1] It is my hope that many people, more than the few I can extol with my gratitude below, will feel some paternity to the ideas developed in this dissertation. While I, alone, am the responsible single parent for any remaining inadequacies of the analysis and discussion, I would like to offer heartfelt thanks to the whole RAND village that helped raise this child.

Considerable acknowledgment and appreciation is devoted specifically to the godfathers of this work, my distinguished and helpful dissertation committee. Charles Wolf, Jr. Dean of the RAND Graduate School and committee chairman, was inspirational in his enthusiasm and enlightening in his insightfulness. Steve Bankes, Senior Computer Scientist who has been cogitating on these issues for a long time, shared valuable eurekas regarding both content and presentation. Dan Relles, Senior Statistician with a wealth of experience analyzing large and complex data sets, provided critical guidance to ensure that the statistics were accurate and honest. Several people arranged indispensable financial support that allowed me to concentrate on this research. My initial thanks are to Bob Anderson who was the initial moral and financial investor in this project. For supplemental support, I am similarly indebted to Chris Bowie, Dean Wilkening and John Tedstrom. Tremendous thanks is also extended to Bryan Gabbard who organized a funding consortium with essential backing from Kevin O'Connell and Paul Davis. The institutional sponsors included the Markle Foundation, Project AIR FORCE, the National Defense Research Institute, RAND's Center for Information Revolution and Analysis and RAND's Department for Defense Technology and Policy.

Additionally, numerous RAND colleagues offered much appreciated comments and critiques on various aspects of this dissertation throughout all of the stages toward its completion. Specifically, I would like to express gratitude to David Ronfeldt, Norm Shapiro, Carl Builder, Tora Bikson, Steve Garber, Lionel Galway, Sandra Berry and again to Bob Anderson. I must also thank Dan Jones individually, for he sat through almost every seminar and briefing associated with this dissertation twice (both the final dry run and the real thing), in addition to reading and reacting to almost every paper that this project produced. Regular policy sessions with him and John Anderson proved to be particularly fruitful. Laurie Rennie continues to be very helpful in myriad ways and I continue to be very thankful to her. Beyond RAND's corridors designed to maximize the probability of a chance encounter, I am exceptionally grateful to Bob O'Neill opening up to me the hallowed spires and great intellectual resources of Oxford for the final rewrite; to Larry Press for the "dictator's dilemma" appellation among other concrete and conceptual contributions; to Harry Rowen for his thoughtful feedback, and to Frank Fukuyama's telecom discussion group with whom I was able to use these new communication capabilities to test out and refine propositions relative to their use.

Above all, the most important father to this study is my own father who was here for the beginning but couldn't be here to see it completed. This work is dedicated to him, to whom I am eternally grateful. Especially through the hard times, I thank my mother and sister, Jeannine, for providing and for needing comfort.

Sasha wasn't around when this study began, but she made me a father in the process. I'm glad that she is here now and there is nothing in my life, related to this dissertation or not, for which I am more grateful. I would like to be able to thank my family also for having made this effort easier, but to do so would not be honest. Truthfully, they made it harder. Many of the long work hours would have been much more joyfully spent with my ebullient daughter and my loving wife, Irishka. Nevertheless, they were and are my primary source of motivation, to strive to make at least a small contribution toward democracy and peace in this, their world.

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[1] The well known aphorism, "As always, victory finds a hundred fathers but defeat is an orphan," is attributed to the diary of Count Galeazzo Ciano.

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