Armed Conflict

RAND researchers examine military and national security issues across a broad spectrum — from political dissent and military training to tactical operations and reconstruction efforts — and take a long-term, global perspective. Terrorism, types of warfare, and international intervention are among the many topics RAND explores.

Research conducted by: RAND Arroyo Center; RAND National Security Research Division; RAND Project AIR FORCE

All Items (1345)

News Release

Conflict with al Qaeda Will Continue Into Its Third Decade, Although Tactics May Change — Feb 16, 2012

While al Qaeda's capacity for large-scale attacks has been drastically reduced and the organization seriously weakened, the United States can expect to continue its battle with the terrorist group for many years to come.

Report

Conflict with al Qaeda Will Continue Into Its Third Decade, Although Tactics May Change — Feb 16, 2012

While al Qaeda's capacity for large-scale attacks has been drastically reduced and the organization seriously weakened, the United States can expect to continue its battle with the terrorist group for many years to come.

Report

Considerations for the Civilian Expeditionary Workforce: Preparing to Operate Amidst Private Security Contractors — Feb 14, 2012

The U.S. Department of Defense Civilian Expeditionary Workforce (CEW) is deployed to support theater operations. This paper builds on prior RAND research to examine how private security contractors may interact with and affect CEW operations.

Commentary

The NDAA Makes It Harder to Fight Terrorism — Feb 1, 2012

Much of the debate over this bill has focused on the political issue of executive authority versus rule of law. In doing so it has overlooked the indirect and insidious effects the new law may have on the United States' largely successful counterterrorist campaign, writes Brian Michael Jenkins.

Commentary

US Control of Contractors in Iraq Is Vital — Feb 1, 2012

With U.S. troops out of Iraq, the U.S. presence there will fall to 5,000 private security contractors....The experience with private security contractors during the war was fraught with challenges that pose risks now, writes Molly Dunigan.

Commentary

Is Regime Change in Iran the Only Solution? — Jan 26, 2012

The United States should not pursue sanctions with the intent of changing the regime, but to contain it in order to give Iranians a chance to effect change themselves, writes Alireza Nader.

Report

Israeli Mistakes Against Hybrid Adversaries Serve as Cautionary Tale for U.S. Military — Jan 20, 2012

A review of recent Israeli military conflicts indicates the United States may be ill-prepared for "hybrid" warfare against state-sponsored adversaries who have a modicum of training and small force numbers, but possess advanced weapons and enough expertise to challenge the U.S. military.

News Release

Israeli Mistakes Against Hybrid Adversaries Serve as Cautionary Tale for U.S. Military — Jan 20, 2012

A review of recent Israeli military conflicts indicates the United States may be ill-prepared for "hybrid" warfare against state-sponsored adversaries who have a modicum of training and small force numbers, but possess advanced weapons and enough expertise to challenge the U.S. military.

Periodical

Three Pots of Tea: Peace in Afghanistan Depends on Its Leaders, Neighbors, and Security Forces — Jan 13, 2012

There are three key ingredients for peace in Afghanistan. Afghan leaders must negotiate a peace. Afghan neighbors must respect the peace. And Afghan soldiers and police must keep the peace.

Commentary

Negotiating Peace in Afghanistan Without Repeating Vietnam — Jan 13, 2012

The Vietnam negotiations arose from a U.S. initiative, in response to domestic political imperatives and over repeated objections from the Saigon regime. By contrast, the incipient Afghan process has its roots in that society, not ours, writes James Dobbins.

Commentary

Do Israelis Really Want to Bomb Iran? — Jan 12, 2012

Much has been made over differences between the U.S. and Israeli threat perceptions of Iran, but in fact internal Israeli divisions suggest that the gap may not be as great as some suggest, writes Dalia Dassa Kaye.

Report

Assessing Freedom of Movement for Counterinsurgency Campaigns — Jan 12, 2012

This report examines how a military staff might assess freedom of movement as a strategic and tactical indicator in counterinsurgency, and specifically in Afghanistan.

Commentary

Iran's Self-Destructive Gamble — Jan 6, 2012

For all its bluster, the Iranian regime is more vulnerable than at any time in its 32-year history. Internally, Iran is constrained by deep political divisions, civil strife and a woeful economy, write Alireza Nader and James Dobbins.

Journal Article

Qualitative Comparative Analysis of 30 Insurgencies, 1978-2008 — Jan 1, 2012

Useful recommendations for US engagement in and support for COIN operations.

Journal Article

Cyber Policy: Institutional Struggle in a Transformed World — Jan 1, 2012

When it comes to cyber security, the world today is not the future that U.S. policy promised when cyber security first appeared on the national agenda well over a decade ago.

Report

RAND Project AIR FORCE Annual Report 2011 — Dec 22, 2011

This annual report describes selected RAND Project AIR FORCE research during 2011 in the areas of strategy and doctrine; force modernization and employment; manpower, personnel, and training; and resource management.

Commentary

North Korea: Uncertain and Dangerous Times Ahead — Dec 21, 2011

With his father's support over the last year, Kim Jong-Un has tried to rapidly reshape the North Korean leadership structure, giving him many new subordinates who are untried and lacking experience. Some will clearly make mistakes, writes Bruce Bennett.

Commentary

The Year of the Arab Spring — Dec 20, 2011

The Arab Spring demonstrated that leaderless revolutions are difficult to repress or co-opt. Unfortunately, it is also true that leaderless revolts find it difficult to make transition to authority, writes Charles Ries.

Research Brief

Building Partner Country Capacity for Stability Operations — Dec 16, 2011

Helps to develop an integrated strategy for building partner capacity for stability operations through an analysis of key strategic elements within the context of BPC and stability operations guidance as well as ongoing security cooperation programs.

Research Brief

What Should Be Stocked in War Reserve? A New Method for Allocating Resources — Dec 15, 2011

Describes the methodology used to develop resource allocation and forward positioning recommendations for the sustainment stock portion of Army pre-positioned stocks, given a specific scenario and budget.

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