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     <title>RAND Research Topic: Arms Proliferation and Control</title>
     <link rel="self" href="http://www.rand.org/topics/arms-proliferation-and-control.xml"/>
     <updated>2012-05-24T14:56:16Z</updated>
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     <rights>Copyright (c) 2012, The RAND Corporation</rights>
     <author>
       <name>RAND Corporation</name>
     </author>
     <id>http://www.rand.org/topics/arms-proliferation-and-control.html</id>
	 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">How to Defuse Iran&apos;s Nuclear Threat: Bolster Diplomacy, Israeli Security, and the Iranian Citizenry</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/publications/randreview/issues/2012/spring/iran.html</id>
   <published>May 11, 2012</published>
   <updated>May 11, 2012</updated>
   <summary type="html">This &lt;em&gt;RAND Review&lt;/em&gt; cover story recommends alternatives to military action that are more likely to dissuade Iran from producing, testing, and deploying nuclear weapons, while also promoting a more democratic and responsible Iranian regime.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/publications/randreview/issues/2012/spring/iran.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">The Nature of the Chinese-Iranian Partnership and the Challenges It Poses for the U.S.</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/occasional_papers/OP351.html</id>
   <published>May 2, 2012</published>
   <updated>May 2, 2012</updated>
   <summary type="html">The partnership between China and Iran presents challenges to U.S. interests, including dissuading Iran from developing a nuclear weapons capability. An analysis of the factors driving Chinese-Iranian cooperation offers  policy options for influencing this partnership to meet U.S. objectives.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/occasional_papers/OP351.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Book by Noted Expert Proposes a Renaissance of Thought on Nuclear Deterrence for Today&apos;s Strategic Environment</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/monographs/MG1103.html</id>
   <published>Apr 17, 2012</published>
   <updated>Apr 17, 2012</updated>
   <summary type="html">A new book by the late French scholar Th&amp;eacute;r&amp;egrave;se Delpech provides a critical review and update of nuclear deterrence theory, focusing a critical eye on nuclear issues during the Cold War, examining the lessons of past nuclear crises, and outlining ways in which these lessons apply to major nuclear powers and nuclear pretenders today.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/monographs/MG1103.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Book by Noted Expert Proposes a Renaissance of Thought on Nuclear Deterrence for Today&apos;s Strategic Environment</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/news/press/2012/04/17.html</id>
   <published>Apr 17, 2012</published>
   <updated>Apr 17, 2012</updated>
   <summary type="html">A new book by the late French scholar Th&amp;eacute;r&amp;egrave;se Delpech provides a critical review and update of nuclear deterrence theory, focusing a critical eye on nuclear issues during the Cold War, examining the lessons of past nuclear crises, and outlining ways in which these lessons apply to major nuclear powers and nuclear pretenders today.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/news/press/2012/04/17.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Iran&apos;s Self-Destructive Gamble</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/commentary/2012/01/06/IHT.html</id>
   <published>Jan 6, 2012</published>
   <updated>Jan 6, 2012</updated>
   <summary type="html">For all its bluster, the Iranian regime is more vulnerable than at any time in its 32-year history. Internally, Iran is constrained by deep political divisions, civil strife and a woeful economy, write Alireza Nader and James Dobbins.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/commentary/2012/01/06/IHT.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Growing Rivalry Between Israel and Iran Poses Danger of Military Conflict</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/monographs/MG1143.html</id>
   <published>Jan 4, 2012</published>
   <updated>Jan 4, 2012</updated>
   <summary type="html">The United States should engage in activities that increase understanding about how a deterrence relationship between Israel and Iran may evolve, and encourage direct communication between Israelis and Iranians through informal diplomatic channels.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/monographs/MG1143.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Growing Rivalry Between Israel and Iran Poses Danger of Military Conflict</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/news/press/2012/01/05.html</id>
   <published>Jan 4, 2012</published>
   <updated>Jan 4, 2012</updated>
   <summary type="html">The United States should engage in activities that increase understanding about how a deterrence relationship between Israel and Iran may evolve, and encourage direct communication between Israelis and Iranians through informal diplomatic channels.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/news/press/2012/01/05.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Dissuading Iran from the Bomb and Avoiding War</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/commentary/2011/12/02/PSE.html</id>
   <published>Dec 2, 2011</published>
   <updated>Dec 2, 2011</updated>
   <summary type="html">By refusing to face more squarely the probability that Iran will eventually acquire a nuclear weapons capability, the American and Israeli governments actually reduce their ability to dissuade Iran from crossing that threshold, writes James Dobbins.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/commentary/2011/12/02/PSE.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">U.S. Should Reexamine Policy Options for Dealing with an Iran on the Nuclear Threshold</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/monographs/MG1154.html</id>
   <published>Nov 28, 2011</published>
   <updated>Nov 28, 2011</updated>
   <summary type="html">An attack on Iranian nuclear facilities by the United States or Israel would make it more, not less difficult to contain Iran&apos;s nuclear ambitions. The sympathy aroused for Iran would make containment of Iranian influence much more difficult for Israel, for the U.S., and for the Arab regimes currently allied with Washington.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/monographs/MG1154.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">U.S. Should Reexamine Policy Options for Dealing with an Iran on the Nuclear Threshold</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/news/press/2011/11/28.html</id>
   <published>Nov 28, 2011</published>
   <updated>Nov 28, 2011</updated>
   <summary type="html">An attack on Iranian nuclear facilities by the United States or Israel would make it more, not less difficult to contain Iran&apos;s nuclear ambitions. The sympathy aroused for Iran would make containment of Iranian influence much more difficult for Israel, for the U.S., and for the Arab regimes currently allied with Washington.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/news/press/2011/11/28.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">An Attack Would Only Strengthen Iran&apos;s Influence</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/commentary/2011/11/16/USNEWS.html</id>
   <published>Nov 16, 2011</published>
   <updated>Nov 16, 2011</updated>
   <summary type="html">Reaction to a strike against Iran among neighboring populations would be almost uniformly hostile. The sympathy thereby aroused for Iran would make containment of Iranian influence much more difficult for Israel, for the U.S., and for the Arab regimes currently allied with Washington, writes James Dobbins.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/commentary/2011/11/16/USNEWS.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Assessing the Effectiveness of the International Counterproliferation Program</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/technical_reports/TR981.html</id>
   <published>Sep 12, 2011</published>
   <updated>Sep 12, 2011</updated>
   <summary type="html">To effectively confront the threat of the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction, the United States relies on the will and capacity of international partners for assistance. It requires international cooperation, including security cooperation programs to enhance partner capacity. Assessing the impact of these efforts is inherently difficult. This report demonstrates how one assessment framework can be applied to these programs.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/technical_reports/TR981.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Early Observations on Possible Defenses by the Emerging Threat Agent Project</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/occasional_papers/OP290.html</id>
   <published>Jan 19, 2011</published>
   <updated>Jan 19, 2011</updated>
   <summary type="html">Adversaries could acquire emerging chemical and biological (CB) agents years before U.S. defense planners recognize those agents, and many more years before the United States establishes a comprehensive defense against them. Gaps in defenses against chemical and biological weapon agents can pose a serious risk to U.S. military operations. This paper summarizes early expert observations about the threat and possible responses.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/occasional_papers/OP290.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">This May Be a Key Year, but Alas Not a Decisive One</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/commentary/2010/08/01/EW.html</id>
   <published>Jul 31, 2010</published>
   <updated>Jul 31, 2010</updated>
   <summary type="html">As observers laud the new START treaty for bringing back a framework that will make substantial U.S. and Russian nuclear reductions possible, they must recognise that lowering numbers is not the same as stripping nuclear weapons of their values, writes Olga Oliker.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/commentary/2010/08/01/EW.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Local Communities in Afghanistan Can Play Crucial Role in Improving Security</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/monographs/MG1002.html</id>
   <published>Jul 25, 2010</published>
   <updated>Jul 25, 2010</updated>
   <summary type="html">The Afghan government and NATO can improve security in Afghanistan by leveraging traditional policing institutions in rural villages and mobilizing the population against insurgents. However, action needs to happen quickly to take advantage of a growing amount of local resistance against the Taliban across Afghanistan.
&lt;/p&gt;</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/monographs/MG1002.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Simple Models to Explore Deterrence and More General Influence in the War with al-Qaeda</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/occasional_papers/OP296.html</id>
   <published>Jul 16, 2010</published>
   <updated>Jul 16, 2010</updated>
   <summary type="html">&lt;p&gt;Deterring terrorism is best approached as part of a broad effort to influence all elements of a terrorist system, and simple, conceptual models of decisionmaking can help in understanding how to affect others&apos; behavior. The paper lays out a theory of how to use influence to affect elements of a terrorist system, touching on root causes, individual motivation, public support, and likely factors in the decisionmaking of terrorist organizations.&lt;/p&gt;</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/occasional_papers/OP296.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Building Security in the Persian Gulf</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/monographs/MG944.html</id>
   <published>Jun 8, 2010</published>
   <updated>Jun 8, 2010</updated>
   <summary type="html">&lt;p&gt;The U.S. must determine how best to promote long-term security and stability in the Persian Gulf region while seeking to reduce the risks and costs imposed by its role as a permanent regional power&amp;mdash;particularly vis-&amp;agrave;-vis Iraq&apos;s future, the role of Iran, asymmetric threats, regional tensions, and the roles of other external actors.&lt;/p&gt;</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/monographs/MG944.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Uncertainties in the North Korean Nuclear Threat</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/documented_briefings/DB589.html</id>
   <published>May 24, 2010</published>
   <updated>May 24, 2010</updated>
   <summary type="html">North Korea has denied the United States information about its nuclear weapon program, resulting in a high degree of uncertainty about the number and character of its nuclear weapons, how they might be used, and what impact they might have. </summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/documented_briefings/DB589.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">How Russia Can and Can&apos;t Help Obama</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/commentary/2009/08/26/FP.html</id>
   <published>Aug 25, 2009</published>
   <updated>Aug 25, 2009</updated>
   <summary type="html">&lt;p&gt;In hindsight, KGB analysts and Soviet officials were extraordinarily prescient about the perils of Islamist terrorism and the fallout from the Afghan jihad. But could Russia, for all its faults and foibles, be a more valuable counterterrorism partner today, asks Brian Michael Jenkins.&lt;/p&gt;</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/commentary/2009/08/26/FP.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Dangerous But Not Omnipotent: Exploring the Reach and Limitations of Iranian Power in the Middle East</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/monographs/MG781.html</id>
   <published>May 18, 2009</published>
   <updated>May 18, 2009</updated>
   <summary type="html">&lt;p&gt;Iran&apos;s rise as a regional power presents a key foreign policy and security challenge to the United States, but its reach may be more limited than Western conventional wisdom suggests. U.S. strategy should work to exploit existing barriers to Iran&apos;s harmful activities, while simultaneously seeking areas of engagement.&lt;/p&gt;</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/monographs/MG781.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
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