Ballistic Missiles

Ballistic missiles are short-, medium-, and long-range rocket-propelled vehicles that deliver nuclear or conventional weapons. RAND's analyses help policymakers understand the potential uses of ballistic missiles for warfare and terrorism, the likelihood of their use by combatants, possible defense strategies, and emerging threats to the global security environment.

Research conducted by: RAND Project AIR FORCE; RAND National Security Research Division; RAND Arroyo Center

Reports (22)

Crisis Stability and Long-Range Strike: A Comparative Analysis of Fighters, Bombers, and Missiles — Jun 19, 2013

In an international crisis, the United States must balance its threats with restraint while limiting its vulnerability. A RAND study sought to identify which long-range strike assets offer capabilities most conducive to stabilizing such crises.

Expendable Missiles vs. Reusable Platform Costs and Historical Data — Oct 3, 2012

This report presents an analysis of historical use of air-to-ground attacks to assess the economic wisdom of relying primarily on expendable weapons, such as cruise missiles.

Facing the Missile Challenge: U.S. Strategy and the Future of the INF Treaty — Sep 27, 2012

Report assesses whether the Intermediate Nuclear Forces Treaty continues to serve America's national interests, or whether adherence unduly constrains the U.S. ability to effectively respond to emerging security threats.

Characterizing the North Korean Nuclear Missile Threat — Sep 27, 2012

Questions the current common view of the North Korean missile program and seeks to better characterize the North Korean missile threat by comparing the available data on the North Korea missile program against several possible hypotheses.

Book by Noted Expert Proposes a Renaissance of Thought on Nuclear Deterrence for Today's Strategic Environment — Apr 17, 2012

A new book by the late French scholar Thérèse Delpech provides a critical review and update of nuclear deterrence theory, focusing a critical eye on nuclear issues during the Cold War, examining the lessons of past nuclear crises, and outlining ways in which these lessons apply to major nuclear powers and nuclear pretenders today.

Strategy in the Missile Age — Oct 8, 2007

Classic work from 1959 that discusses the origins of air power, its cornerstone position in the evolution of Cold War era nuclear strategy, and its treatment of preventive and preemptive attacks, deterrence, and the economics of strategy.

Strategic Futures: Evolving Missions for Traditional Strategic Delivery Vehicles — Jan 1, 1995

Addresses the post-Cold War use of traditional U.S. strategic nuclear forces (nuclear-armed long-range bombers, ICBMs, and submarine-launched ballistic missiles) from three perspectives: top-down, bottom-up, and policy.

Calculating the Utility of Attacks Against Ballistic Missile Transporter-Erector-Launchers — Jan 1, 1995

Calculating the utility of attacks against ballistic missile transporter-erector-launchers (TELs) associated with the proliferation of theater ballistic missiles (TBMs) can play a role in sharply reducing the prospective threat size.

When the Weak Attack the Strong: Failures of Deterrence — Jan 1, 1991

One potential justification for a thin area missile defense is the increasing proliferation of ballistic missiles and weapons of mass destruction. However, it has been argued that states possessing such weapons would not attack much stronger states s...

The Impact of Missile Proliferation on U.S. Power Projection Capabilities — Jan 1, 1990

Addresses the proliferation of ballistic missiles with conventional warheads, including chemical warheads.

U.S. export control policy and the Missile Technology Control Regime — Jan 1, 1990

The proliferation of ballistic missiles poses a worldwide threat. The Missile Technology Control Regime (MTCR) was created in 1987 to help control the spread of delivery system technology by means of parallel export restrictions among signatory membe...

The Geometry of a Satellite-Ballistic Missile Engagement — Jan 1, 1988

This Note describes in mathematical terms the dynamic geometry between a constellation of satellites deployed for ballistic missile defense (BMD) and the missiles the satellites are engaging.

Limitations on tactical missile defenses: negotiated and otherwise — Jan 1, 1988

The launching of the U.S. Strategic Defense Initiative raises defense strategy issues surrounding the capabilities of antitactical ballistic missiles (ATBMs) and the U.S.-Soviet antiballistic missile treaty of 1972. This paper explores potential poli...

The Promise of Passive Defenses — Jan 1, 1987

This paper reviews the capabilities of Soviet tactical ballistic missiles (TBMs) and considers passive defense measures such as hardening, redundancy, dispersal, and mobility, that NATO might use against them.

The Ballistic Missile Decisions — Jan 1, 1967

An outline of decisions concerning ballistic missiles from the reaction to the German use of guided missiles in the closing months of World War II in Europe through the enunciation of a new set of national strategic principles during the U.S. ...

Cost Sensitivity Analysis — Jan 1, 1965

A discussion of the techniques of cost sensitivity analysis, illustrated by a hypothetical investigation of a system designed to protect the United States against submarine-launched ballistic missiles.

A Preliminary Treatment of Mobile SLBM Defense: Game Theoretic Analysis — Jan 1, 1965

A game analysis of the deployment of a defense system against submarine-launched ballistic missiles composed of mobile defense units capable of destroying a nearby submarine and its missiles at the time of launch.

Optimizing a prelaunch checkout. — Jan 1, 1960

A consideration of the problem of making design decisions for time-limited checkouts of ballistic missiles. The paper develops (1) a quantitative criteria for the value of including individual checks in the checkout, (2) an expression for the require...

A Parametric Study of the Performance of Air-Launched Ballistic Missiles — Jan 1, 1960

An attempt to estimate the effect of three launch variables (namely, velocity, path angle, and altitude) on the performance of air-launched ballistic missiles.

Infrared Techniques Applied to the Detection and Interception of Intercontinental Ballistic Missiles — Jan 1, 1955

A study of the defensive application of infrared-optical techniques for detecting an intercontinental ballistic missile during its take-off, mid-course flight, and re-entry.

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