Counterterrorism

Terrorism has been a long-standing challenge for the international community. With its significant body of work on terrorism, RAND has an impressive record of advising the public on individual preparedness, first responders on crisis management, and policymakers on counterterrorism strategies at home and abroad.

Research conducted by: Center for Terrorism Risk Management Policy; RAND National Security Research Division; RAND Justice, Infrastructure, and Environment; RAND Project AIR FORCE; RAND Arroyo Center; RAND Europe

All Items (231)

Commentary

Drones Are Useful, but Not the Solution or the Problem — May 14, 2013

An MQ-1C Gray Eagle unmanned aircraft

The effectiveness of our attacks, particularly by drones, has already decimated the al Qaeda hierarchy, writes Harold Brown. That achievement, together with the negative effect on Muslim publics of drone attacks, suggests that the rate of their usage could be moderated.

Report

A Computational Model of Public Support for Insurgency and Terrorism: A Prototype for More-General Social-Science Modeling — May 1, 2013

Details a prototype computational model that seeks to explain, as a function of contributing factors, the extent of public support for insurgency and its use of terrorism. The model is believed to be reusable and suitable for composition.

Commentary

Tsarnaev Brothers' Impact on U.S.-Russian Counterterrorism Cooperation — Apr 21, 2013

President Barack Obama meets with Prime Minister Vladimir Putin at his dacha outside Moscow, Russia, July 7, 2009.

Unfortunately, since 9/11, the ups and downs in U.S.-Russian counterterrorism cooperation have mirrored the unsteady relationship between the two countries, writes Andrew S. Weiss.

Commentary

Boston Marathon Bombings Highlight Need to Measure Investment in Homeland Security — Apr 18, 2013

A cloud of smoke envelopes the street after a bomb explodes at the Boston Marathon

In recent years, especially following the economic downturn, states, counties, and cities have looked for ways to reduce costs and maintain basic policing services, leading many to question what the investment in counterterrorism and homeland security has achieved for their jurisdiction.

Commentary

The Day After: How Will the Boston Marathon Bombing Change the Way America Fights Terrorism? — Apr 18, 2013

A crew member from Station Boston conducts security zones in the Boston Harbor

The risk of overreaching in the name of homeland security is great. But the best and most likely outcome of this latest attack would be a measured security response built around Americans engaging anew in their own security, writes Brian Michael Jenkins.

Commentary

Forget What You Think You Know — Apr 18, 2013

Boston Marathon bombings

What's the difference if they ascribe this atrocity to a neo-Nazi, radical Islamist, or separatist anti-government ideology? Whatever their motive, they're cowardly murderers who need to be brought to justice, writes Andrew Liepman.

Commentary

The Benefits of U.S. Drones in West Africa — Apr 5, 2013

Nigerian troops march toward an Air Force C-130 Hercules

The establishment of a U.S. base in Niger is intended to facilitate intelligence collection and will provide a more complete picture of militant movements in Niger, Mali, and other countries in the Sahel, writes Seth Jones. The United States will share this intelligence with Malian and French forces.

Commentary

What Went Wrong in Afghanistan? Allowing a Sanctuary in Pakistan — Mar 1, 2013

Ten years after the United States helped overthrow the Taliban regime, it is remarkable that successive U.S. administrations have refused to target the Taliban safe haven in Baluchistan, writes Seth Jones.

Commentary

Europe and African Defense — Feb 28, 2013

A successful partnership within Europe, as well as between Europe and the US, to overcome extremism and terrorism in North and North Central Africa could provide allies with a sense of common purpose and a model of unified effort, writes Harold Brown.

Commentary

Is Asia's Forgotten Revolt About to Explode? — Feb 25, 2013

This is why teachers are so often the targets of attack. In the rebels’ view, schools aren’t neutral places for children to receive an education. They are seen as government-run indoctrination centers, propagating an exclusionary history and an alien language, writes Jonah Blank.

Commentary

Changing World Climate Requires a Dynamic Foreign Policy — Feb 14, 2013

As Secretary of State Kerry and former senator Chuck Hagel outline their thinking on the nation's strategy, let us hope that they both hold firm to the strategy that has served us well in the past and have the courage to explore a very different set of political and military ways to accomplish it, write Lynn Davis and Andrew Hoehn.

Report

U.S. Muslims Are Powerful Force in Online Battle Against al Qaeda — Feb 4, 2013

Al Qaeda has long used the internet to attract recruits but with minimal success in the U.S., however, as most American Muslims hold no sympathy for al Qaeda and are actually an effective counterforce to online jihadist efforts.

Commentary

What Does the Amenas Attack Mean for U.S. Policy in Africa? — Jan 31, 2013

Coinciding with continuing, contentious hearings on the U.S. response to last September's terrorist attack in Benghazi, the attack on the Amenas natural gas facility in Algeria has elevated a more general debate about the war on terrorism and U.S. policy in Africa, writes Brian Michael Jenkins.

Report

What Works Best When Building Partner Capacity and Under What Circumstances? — Jan 28, 2013

The United States has a long history of helping other nations develop and improve their military and other security forces. An analysis of 29 case studies helps identify how the U.S. Department of Defense can increase the effectiveness of these initiatives as it faces budget cuts that will affect the funding available for them.

Commentary

Foreign Intervention in Mali Is Libya in Reverse — Jan 24, 2013

France is in Mali not just to prop up a failing state in French Africa, but because Mali was becoming a magnet for jihadis from around the world and Paris rightly feared the country could become the next Afghanistan—only much closer to Europe, writes Christopher Chivvis.

Commentary

Hostage Taking Exposes Terror Threat in Africa — Jan 17, 2013

There is a danger in viewing Mali through the prism of counter-terrorism, since the rebel element there is tangled up in movements and groups with a wide variety of interests and motives, ranging from sincere religious conviction to local political rivalries to base economic opportunism, writes Michael Shurkin.

Commentary

The French Intervention in Mali Is Necessary, but Risky — Jan 17, 2013

No solution is likely to offer more than a short-term reprise if it is not accompanied by real progress toward resolving Mali's political crisis and strengthening the Malian state and Malian democracy, write Stephanie Pezard and Michael Shurkin.

Commentary

France Needs More Than Force in Mali — Jan 16, 2013

France should coordinate military action with efforts to engage with local factions to use as partners and proxies, write Stephanie Pezard and Michael Shurkin. This is, in effect, how France conquered and secured northern Mali in the first place a century ago.

Journal Article

Considering Al-Qa'ida's Innovation Doctrine: From Strategic Texts to "Innovation in Practice" — Jan 1, 2013

Understanding how terrorist groups innovate and adapt is key for anticipating future shifts in terrorist threats.

Commentary

New 'Rule Book' to Set Parameters for Targeted Killings — Dec 31, 2012

A constrictive rule book against direct-action counterterrorism techniques could be in tension with operational realities. But it would go some way toward establishing the legal and ethical framework under which such difficult decisions are made, writes Patrick Johnston.

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