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Decisionmaking

Commentary

How Should Water Professionals Invest in Resilience?

Water professionals can think about building resilience as a process of embracing and managing future uncertainty. Rather than trying to predict which problem to plan for, researchers help planners consider a wide range of potential scenarios.

Jul 12, 2017
Commentary

Navigating the Uncertain Path to Decarbonization

Deep decarbonization can reduce the risk of climate change, and it offers opportunities to reimagine energy, transportation, and infrastructure. But it could also fail in many ways. Diverse, independent actors need a shared understanding of its complexity and deep uncertainty to design a solution to this challenge.

Jul 11, 2017
Commentary

America and the World Are at a Crossroads

Populism is on the march across the globe. Many of the certainties of even the recent past seem much less certain now—including the idea of the United States maintaining a leadership role in the world.

Jul 3, 2017
Report

Report

Enhancing Next-Generation Diplomacy Through Best Practices in Lessons Learned

To help the Department of State mature its enterprisewide lessons-learned capabilities, this report explores best practices across fields of organizational theory and within both public and private organizations.

Jun 21, 2017
Report

Report

A New Methodology for Conducting Product Support Business Case Analysis (BCA): With Illustrations from the F-22 Product Support BCA

This document explains how to apply guidance on project evaluation to product support business case analyses in a way that allows senior Department of Defense decisionmakers to use net present value to compare courses of action.

Jun 13, 2017
Content

Alexander and Elizabeth Kendall: Taking a Stand Against Misinformation

Alexander and Elizabeth Kendall joined the RAND Policy Circle because they wanted to make a difference, and saw their support of RAND as an investment in the search for facts over factions.

Jun 8, 2017
Brochure

Brochure

Innovating for Answers: Social and Economic Policy Research at RAND

This publication highlights recent RAND social and economic policy research projects that have produced important new policies, framed issues in new ways, balanced multiple priorities and difficult trade-offs, and prompted meaningful change.

May 31, 2017
Commentary

Decision-Making Under Uncertain Climate Change: A Response, and an Invitation, to Bret Stephens

It is difficult to determine what actions balance society's goals where there is deep uncertainty about the consequences. The decisionmaking under uncertainty methodology provides tools to acknowledge uncertainty, avoid overconfidence, promote deliberation, and help craft consensus on sensible approaches to climate change.

May 9, 2017
Q&A

How RAND Is Responding to Truth Decay

RAND's Michael Rich and Jennifer Kavanagh explain what “truth decay” is and discuss how ongoing RAND research could help counter it.

May 5, 2017
Report

Robust Stormwater Management in the Pittsburgh Region

The city of Pittsburgh and its surrounding region face significant—and potentially growing—stormwater management challenges. Analysis can help better understand the system's vulnerabilities and identify solutions.

Apr 24, 2017
Report

The Risks of Bias and Errors in Artificial Intelligence

Machine learning algorithms and artificial intelligence (AI) influence many aspects of life today. These agents are not exempt from errors or bias because they are designed, built, and taught by humans. While AI has great promise, using it introduces a new level of risk and complexity in policy.

Apr 5, 2017
Report

A General Agent-Based Model of Social Learning

This report describes a general agent-based model (ABM) for studying social learning, and uses that general ABM to explore the relationship between micro-influence and macro-dynamics for broad classes of problems.

Mar 31, 2017
Report

Report

Issues with Access to Acquisition Data and Information in the Department of Defense: Doing Data Right in Weapon System Acquisition

This report examines Department of Defense acquisition data and the information systems where it resides and offers insights into improving the management, availability, and usefulness of this information.

Mar 27, 2017
Journal Article

Testing the Scenario Hypothesis: An Experimental Comparison of Scenarios and Forecasts for Decision Support in a Complex Decision Environment

Decision support tools are known to influence and facilitate decisionmaking through the thoughtful construction of the decision environment. However, little research has empirically evaluated the effects of using scenarios and forecasts.

Mar 16, 2017
Report

Evaluation of the Jinan City Water Ecological Development Implementation Plan and Recommendations for Improvement

RAND evaluated potential effects of uncertain projections of demand and climate change on the ability of the Jinan Municipal Water Resources Bureau to meet its long-term water resources goals for Shandong Province's capital city.

Mar 9, 2017
Brochure

RAND Year in Review 2016

RAND President and CEO Michael Rich offers a year-end assessment of RAND's impact, highlighting ways in which the organization's findings and recommendations are helping to improve the health, security, and prosperity of individuals and communities throughout the world. This Year in Review reflects on RAND's achievements in 2016.

Jan 19, 2017
Commentary

In a 'Post-Truth' World, Evidence and Experts Matter More Than Ever

In 2016, a so-called “post-truth” world emerged, where objective truths seem to carry less weight than opinions that appeal to personal beliefs. But experts and truth still matter.

Dec 16, 2016
Report

Urban Responses to Climate Change

More than 80 percent of the U.S. population lives in urban areas. Thus, cities lie at the epicenter of America's response to climate change. Analysis can inform how cities choose strategies and allocate resources.

Dec 7, 2016
Commentary

Rebuilding America's Infrastructure in the Trump Era

Policymakers generally agree on the need to rebuild America's infrastructure. But the country is far behind in this area. Why? Transportation projects take time and money. And it's hard to predict how a project will affect its surroundings.

Nov 14, 2016
Project

Understanding How Organisations Ensure Fair Decision Making

The UK General Medical Council asked RAND Europe to investigate the methods used by organisations to implement and support fair decision making in a regulatory context, with a focus on psychology, the judiciary and policing.

Sep 30, 2016

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RAND Topic:
Decisionmaking

Topic Synonyms:
DA;
Decision Analysis;
Decision Making