2012-05-24T14:56:35Z Copyright (c) 2012, The RAND Corporation RAND Corporation http://www.rand.org/topics/forecasting-methodology.html http://www.rand.org/randeurope/research/futures-analysis.html Oct 4, 2010 Oct 4, 2010

By drawing on RAND's tradition of considering the future through new lenses, RAND Europe's Futures Analysis and Long-Term Planning group offers innovative, tailored approaches based on qualitative and quantitative methodologies, including scenario thinking, modeling and forecasting, gaming, road-mapping and Delphi.

http://www.rand.org/pubs/external_publications/EP20120085.html Feb 1, 2012 Feb 1, 2012

Freight transport is a rapidly expanding and changing economic sector.

http://www.rand.org/pubs/technical_reports/TR768.html May 11, 2011 May 11, 2011

Extends the "actionable hot spot" methodology, first developed by RAND to identify likely areas for improvised explosive device emplacement, to other problem areas where policymakers are faced with spatial, temporal, and quantity constraints when deploying scarce resources. Case studies describe its application to public health, countering piracy, and fighting neighborhood crime.

http://www.rand.org/pubs/technical_reports/TR808.html Feb 3, 2011 Feb 3, 2011

Since 2004, the U.S. Air Force has provided personnel for "joint sourcing solution" assignments in Iraq and Afghanistan. As a result, certain Air Force career fields are experiencing greater-than-expected deployment strains. Air Force personnel and deployment data were used to populate a RAND-developed model to assess the supply of and demand for Air Force personnel and various types of capabilities to fill joint assignments.

http://www.rand.org/pubs/occasional_papers/OP298.html May 21, 2010 May 21, 2010

<p>The National Intelligence Council's 2008 report <em>Global Trends 2025: A Transformed World</em> projects what the world will look like in 2025 based on recent trends. This paper asks: How should U.S. policy adapt <em>now</em> to account for these trends and the future that will result from them? The author explores such issues as climate change, defense, international relations, and the structure of the federal government.</p>

http://www.rand.org/labor/roybalhp.html Mar 26, 2010 Mar 26, 2010

The RAND Roybal Center for Health Policy Simulation developed better models to understand the consequences of biomedical developments and social forces for health, health spending, and health care delivery, particularly for the elderly.

http://www.rand.org/pubs/monographs/MG927.html Dec 19, 2009 Dec 19, 2009

<p>Israel can make natural gas usage a bigger part of its energy portfolio without jeopardizing its security, but even more importantly, the nation needs to make conservation measures a priority in its future energy plans.</p>

http://www.rand.org/pubs/technical_reports/TR776.html Dec 7, 2009 Dec 7, 2009

<p>This report reviews technology trends underlying the future Internet Society 2020. It assesses possible future socio-economic impacts, and changing business models. The study makes recommendations for a new overarching EU ICT strategy.</p>

http://www.rand.org/pubs/external_publications/EP20090336.html Mar 30, 2009 Mar 30, 2009

<p>Many scientists have called for a substantial new investment in climate modeling to increase the accuracy, precision, and reliability of climate predictions. Such investments are often justified by asserting that failure to improve predictions will prevent society from adapting successfully to changing climate.</p>

http://www.rand.org/pubs/external_publications/EP20091016.html Dec 31, 2008 Dec 31, 2008

<p>This paper uses CPS data to examine changes in single women's labor supply elasticities in recent decades. Specifically, the authors investigate trends in how single women's hours of work and labor force participation rates responded to both wages and income over the years 1979-2003. Results from the base specification suggest that over the observation period, hours wage elasticities decreased by 82%, participation wage elasticities by 36%, and participation income elasticities by 57%. These results imply that changes in tax policy had a much larger effect on the labor supply and labor force participation behavior of women in this subpopulation in the early 1980s than in recent years.</p>

http://www.rand.org/pubs/monographs/MG611.html Jun 5, 2008 Jun 5, 2008

<p>RAND developed a methodology to help understand and explain the differences between U.S. Air National Guard and active component aircraft maintenance productivity. This research focuses on maintenance options for supporting associate units, where the goal of the associate unit is to produce trained pilots in the most efficient manner possible.</p>

http://www.rand.org/pubs/monograph_reports/MR1734.html Oct 25, 2007 Oct 25, 2007

<p>The nation may be able to reduce losses from disasters such as wildfires and floods if more research focused on how to protect people, buildings and infrastructure. </p>

http://www.rand.org/pubs/monographs/MG539.html Aug 19, 2007 Aug 19, 2007

<p>Given manpower reductions in the active duty Air Force and availability of highly trained Air National Guard (ANG) personnel, some missions could be transferred from the active component to the ANG without significant cost to the total force. Portions of missions such as Predator operations and support, air mobility command and control, Commander of Air Force forces staffing, and base-level intermediate maintenance could benefit from ANG assignment.</p>

http://www.rand.org/pubs/rgs_dissertations/RGSD221.html Aug 19, 2007 Aug 19, 2007

Explores issues of development of social safety nets in countries in transition and looks at whether reducing social security expenditures to stimulate economic growth policy is an effective way to combat poverty in such countries.

http://www.rand.org/pubs/research_briefs/RB219.html May 22, 2007 May 22, 2007

This research brief describes a new tool for forecasting the maintenance workloads of aging Air Force fleets.

http://www.rand.org/pubs/monographs/MG519.html May 20, 2007 May 20, 2007

<p>Aging U.S. Air Force fleets have deterioration problems, resulting in increased maintenance workloads. Programmed depot maintenance (PDM) is significant, requiring 2,000 to 50,000 labor hours and material. RAND developed the PDM Capacity Assessment Tool (PDMCAT), applied it to the KC-135 PDM process, with three alternative forecasts of future workload and two fleet-size scenarios, to inform aircraft availability and resource allocation decisions.</p>

http://www.rand.org/pubs/external_publications/EP20071122.html Dec 31, 2006 Dec 31, 2006

<p>A substantial amount of research is presently being carried out to understand the complexities involved in modelling the choice of departure time and mode of travel.</p>

http://www.rand.org/pubs/monographs/MG488.html Nov 22, 2006 Nov 22, 2006

<p>This monograph describes some of the research that has been conducted on the military combat support system. It identifies the elements of sense and respond combat support and shows what is necessary to implement the concept. The monograph points out the need for both predictive tools and responsive systems working together. It also describes elements of one of the key enabler of sense and response combat support, combat support command and control.</p>

http://www.rand.org/pubs/research_briefs/RB9186.html Jun 22, 2006 Jun 22, 2006

This research brief describes an analytical approach developed by RAND to manage scientific uncertainty, which involves the use of computer programs to frame strategies that will work well across a wide range of plausible futures.

http://www.rand.org/pubs/monographs/MG219.html Aug 25, 2005 Aug 25, 2005

<p>Predicting the force needs of the Army is difficult in today's uncertain world. Alternative futures analysis offers a spectrum of different "future worlds" to help force developers meet the challenges of the next 20 years.</p>