Foreign Relations

RAND's international affairs research comprises a range of cross-cutting issues, including global economies and trade, space and maritime security, diplomacy, global health and education, nation building, and regional security and stability. RAND also analyzes the policies and effectiveness of international organizations such as the UN, NATO, European Union, and ASEAN.

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How Does the Conflict in Afghanistan Compare to Counterinsurgencies of the Past 30 Years?

An analysis of 30 insurgencies worldwide between 1978 and 2008 determined what factors were ultimately correlated with success or defeat. Comparing Afghanistan in early 2011 against this scorecard results in an uncertain outcome for the conflict there, but the findings may help provide additional guidance as operations continue.

Commentary (694)

What Bangladesh — and US Retailers — Must Do to Prevent Man-Made Tragedies — May 16, 2013

Garments factory in Bangladesh

Perhaps most tragic of all are the disasters that are wholly preventable: the deaths, maimings, and crushed livelihoods that result from human callousness or indifference, writes Jonah Blank.

Learning the Wrong Lessons from Israel's Intervention in Syria — May 14, 2013

Buildings in Syria damaged by bombings

The lesson here is not that countries should act for the sake of maintaining credibility but that they should act when they believe it serves their interests and might make a difference, writes Dalia Dassa Kaye.

Libya Needs U.S. Help for Security — May 13, 2013

Libyans poured into the streets of Benghazi to celebrate the revolution

By adopting a laissez-faire policy toward security in Libya after the war, the United States and its allies who helped the Libyan rebels topple Gadhafi share in the responsibility for the country’s current predicament, writes Christopher Chivvis.

The Value of Uncertainty: Assessing Global Societal Trends — May 9, 2013

Vasco de Gama Bridge, Lisbon

When planning for the future, we should understand that the capacity to predict the future is rather limited and poor. Rather, an ability to anticipate plausible trends and their potential consequences is more realistic, writes Stijn Hoorens.

How to Avert a Sea Catastrophe with China — May 8, 2013

5878590078_c3f4ca398b_b

The United States should propose and pursue an East Asian maritime partnership, inviting to join all states that share its interest in assured access and passage, writes David Gompert.

Enhancing Security Cooperation at the Korea-U.S. Summit — May 7, 2013

ROK Navy sailors wave U.S. and ROK flags to welcome Los Angeles-class submarine USS Cheyenne to Busan

The U.S.-South Korean Extended Deterrence Policy Committee was setup to deter North Korean threats. The upcoming summit should ratify the progress of this effort, reassuring both the Korean and U.S. people that these threats are being managed.

Thinking Through Options on North Korea — May 3, 2013

nuclear war game maze

Obviously it will not always be possible to avoid the use of force and the risk of escalation. But the US and its allies cannot take the possibility of military responses against nuclear regional adversaries off the table without limiting its own strategic options, eroding its influence, and threatening its security.

The Syrian Chemical Weapons Conundrum — May 1, 2013

Marines practicing a chemical, biological, or radiological attack

Dealing with chemical weapons in Syria is a complicated and dangerous task, but nowhere near the challenge of securing a nuclear arsenal in a country consumed by crisis, writes Brian Michael Jenkins.

A Truly Great Leap Forward — Apr 30, 2013

Dong Hua Men night market in Beijing

Charles Wolf Jr. reviews How China Became Capitalist by Ronald Coase and Ning Wang: The authors interpret China's rise in terms that are distinctly different from what has been accepted as conventional wisdom, which holds that China's dramatic rise has resulted from astute guidance by its Communist Party leadership.

Why Iran Is Trying to Save the Syrian Regime — Apr 24, 2013

Door with poster of Ahmadinejad, Assad, and Nasrallah

Tehran views Syria as a strategic gateway to the Arab world, a bulwark against American and Israeli power, and, perhaps most importantly, a crucial link to Lebanese Hezbollah, writes Alireza Nader.

Labor and Opposition in Iran — Apr 22, 2013

Tehran bus workers meeting

The economic pains caused by the Iranian regime's mismanagement, corruption, and international sanctions have dealt serious blows to worker wages, benefits, and job security — enough reason for Iranian laborers to organize and oppose the regime.

Obama-Park Summit a Critical Opportunity for the US-Korea Alliance — Apr 17, 2013

Secretary Kerry Meets With South Korean President Park Geun-hye

To preserve and protect the peace and freedom that has seen Asia develop into a third engine of the global economy, the United States and South Korea should take steps to deepen their security cooperation in three areas: bilateral alliance management, defense force modernization, and improved regional diplomatic coordination.

When Armies Divide: Securing Nuclear Arsenals During Internal Upheavals — Apr 12, 2013

An army truck MZKT 79221 under missile Topol-M

With an army divided, any type of foreign intervention would be complex and fraught with extraordinary risk—success would be a long shot. But the loss of a nuclear weapon or fissile material would change the world.

A Russia-China Alliance Brewing? — Apr 12, 2013

a handshake

Three major areas appear to have been the focus of Xi Jinping and Vladimir Putin's recent summit: managing expectations about the relationship; expanding bilateral trade in energy and arms; and cooperation on international security affairs.

A Delicate Deterrence Dance with North Korea — Apr 11, 2013

ROK guards in the DMZ

How does Washington signal tenacity to a pugnacious Pyongyang and demonstrate resolve to a jittery Seoul, all without inadvertently triggering an escalatory spiral?

Why It's No Longer the Chummy 1990s for Turkey, Israel — Apr 8, 2013

Secretary of State John Kerry shakes hands with Turkish Foreign Minister Ahmet Davutoglu in Istanbul, Turkey, April 7, 2013

President Obama and Secretary of State John Kerry are working hard to repair relations between Turkey and Israel and deserve credit for their efforts. But much has changed for both countries since they cooperated in the 1990s, and progress toward rapprochement will likely be slow.

Why China’s Suntech Might Not Be Alone in Heading Toward Bankruptcy — Mar 29, 2013

An array of solar panels

As solar power remains more expensive than conventional sources of electricity in most parts of the world, demand for photovoltaic solar panels still primarily depends on government subsidies, says Keith Crane.

The Risks of an Excess of Caution in Syria — Mar 29, 2013

U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry Kerry and Syrian Opposition Council Chairman Mouaz al-Khatib during Kerry's 2013 Middle East visit

Syria is looking more like a collapsed state every day. Nearly a million people have now fled Syria for safety abroad. Meanwhile, the influence of extremist groups, such as the al Nusrah Front, continues to grow as these groups slip into the areas vacated by the Syrian state, writes Christopher Chivvis.

America's Delicate Dance in the Pacific — Mar 28, 2013

A Japanese Coast Guard patrol vessel passes by Uotsuri, the largest island in the Senkaku/Diaoyu chain

Even if Japan and China ease the tensions in their dispute over the Senkaku/Diaoyus islands, the United States should gird itself for further uncomfortable contingencies in the coming years, writes David Shlapak.

Why Erdogan Wants Peace With the PKK — Mar 27, 2013

Kurdistan Workers' Party soldiers, commonly known as PKK near the Iran/Iraqi Kurdistan border

With the leader of the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK) now apparently ready to try to peacefully resolve differences with Turkey, the prospects that the uprising will come to an end have improved, writes F. Stephen Larrabee.

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