Intelligence Community

The intelligence community comprises the many agencies and organizations responsible for intelligence gathering, analysis, and other activities that affect foreign policy and national security. RAND conducts research, develops tools, and provides recommendations to U.S. and allied decisionmakers to support their efforts at gathering and interpreting high-quality information.

Research conducted by: RAND Arroyo Center; RAND National Security Research Division; RAND Project AIR FORCE

All Items (167)

Commentary

The Day After: How Will the Boston Marathon Bombing Change the Way America Fights Terrorism? — Apr 18, 2013

A crew member from Station Boston conducts security zones in the Boston Harbor

The risk of overreaching in the name of homeland security is great. But the best and most likely outcome of this latest attack would be a measured security response built around Americans engaging anew in their own security, writes Brian Michael Jenkins.

Commentary

Learning Curve — Mar 13, 2013

U.S. Army sergeant throws a smoke grenade to mask his team's movements during a joint operation with the Iraqi police

The post-Vietnam “never again” attitude led to a severe atrophy of the U.S. military's counterinsurgency skills and it is quite possible that the U.S. military will go through a similar phase of unlearning over the next several years, writes James Dobbins.

Commentary

New 'Rule Book' to Set Parameters for Targeted Killings — Dec 31, 2012

A constrictive rule book against direct-action counterterrorism techniques could be in tension with operational realities. But it would go some way toward establishing the legal and ethical framework under which such difficult decisions are made, writes Patrick Johnston.

Blog

Admiral Blair: Middle East Most Serious Threat to U.S. — Nov 21, 2012

Admiral Dennis Blair, former National Intelligence director, discusses how the government gathers and uses intelligence on issues including Iran, cyber warfare, and the Arab Spring. Blair spoke with Reuters Editor-at-Large Sir Harold Evans during the RAND's Politics Aside event.

Commentary

Latest Alleged Homegrown 'Terrorists' Fit the Mold — Nov 20, 2012

For many U.S.-born terror recruits, the prospect of blowing things up is a solution to an unsatisfactory life. Terrorism does not attract the well-adjusted, writes Brian Michael Jenkins.

Report

Benghazi and Beyond: What Went Wrong on Sept. 11, 2012 and How to Prevent it from Happening Again — Nov 15, 2012

Among security considerations for diplomatic missions abroad is the amount and type of support provided by the host government, the method for acquiring knowledge of what is happening outside the embassy in the surrounding neighborhoods, and the actual structure of the buildings and layout of the diplomatic compound.

Commentary

The Insight of Twitter — Oct 31, 2012

Exploring how people use social media has provided useful insight into public opinion. This insight may be particularly valuable in countries where freedom of expression may be limited, for whom social media may serve as an important outlet, writes Douglas Yeung.

Report

Occupational Burnout and Retention of Air Force Distributed Common Ground System (DCGS) Intelligence Personnel — Oct 30, 2012

Explores occupational burnout and retention of Air Force intelligence analysts working in the Distributed Common Ground System.

Research Brief

Can Social Media Help Analyze Public Opinion? A Case Study of Iranian Public Opinion After the 2009 Election — Oct 4, 2012

Describes a methodology for analyzing public opinion and mood in closed societies, focusing on a case study that analyzed Iranian public opinion and mood as expressed over Twitter in the nine months following Iran's 2009 presidential election.

Commentary

Do Targeted Killings Work? — Sep 24, 2012

When terrorists are afraid to poke their heads above ground, it becomes exceedingly difficult for them to communicate, coordinate, and conduct attacks—especially sophisticated ones like 9/11, writes Patrick B. Johnston.

Report

Evaluation of the implementation of the Europol Council Decision and of Europol’s activities — Jul 25, 2012

This report sets out findings from a wide-ranging evaluation of Europol -- the European Police Office. It examines Europol's capabilities, legal basis and activities, highlighting potential areas for reform in the forthcoming Europol Regulation.

Report

Military Intelligence Fusion for Complex Operations: A New Paradigm — Jul 23, 2012

This paper proposes a paradigm shift in how military intelligence is fused. The concept, behavioral intelligence analysis, provides a more complete picture of the complex counterinsurgency environment.

Report

RAND NSRD Annual Report 2011-2012 — Jun 8, 2012

Surveys the work of the RAND National Security Research Division from the spring of 2011 through the winter of 2012.

Periodical

Prolific Profanities Seemed to Predict Prominent Protests — May 11, 2012

Twitter and other social media reportedly played a big role in the protests following the 2009 Iranian presidential election. Analysis of word usage in millions of tweets about the election and its aftermath reveals that spikes in the use of swear words could forecast the outbreak of large-scale protests.

News Release

New Counterinsurgency Assessment Methods Are Needed to Better Inform Policymakers — May 3, 2012

The U.S. Department of Defense will receive more detailed, transparent and credible assessments of its counterinsurgency campaigns by replacing its top-down approach with a bottom-up method driven by contextual, narrative reporting provided by commanders on the ground.

Report

New Counterinsurgency Assessment Methods Are Needed to Better Inform Policymakers — May 3, 2012

The U.S. Department of Defense will receive more detailed, transparent, and credible assessments of its counterinsurgency campaigns by replacing its top-down approach with a bottom-up method driven by contextual, narrative reporting provided by commanders on the ground.

Research Brief

Improving Counterinsurgency Campaign Assessment: The Importance of Transparency in the Fog of War — Apr 13, 2012

Current processes used by the U.S. military do not provide accurate assessments of counterinsurgency campaigns. A new process that adds transparency and context to assessments would make them more credible and useful at all levels of decisionmaking.

Report

Making Strategic Analysis Matter — Mar 9, 2012

These proceedings present the topics and findings discussed at a workshop convened to examine how consumers of intelligence might be better served by analysis whose focus is longer term or more strategic than most of today's intelligence products.

Report

The Future of Air Force Motion Imagery Exploitation: Lessons from the Commercial World — Mar 6, 2012

Commercial television production practices inspire an approach to managing exploitation of the Air Force's rapidly growing motion imagery collections.

Report

Reducing Attrition in Selected Air Force Training Pipelines — Feb 2, 2012

The Air Force has a continuing interest in reducing high attrition and training-block failure (washback) rates, as both increase training and recruiting costs. This report describes research into these issues for nine career fields.

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