International Trade

International trade—business conducted across national borders—drives GDP and directly and indirectly affects global alliances, globalization, and the economic health of nations. RAND research has examined international trade in contexts as diverse as arms trafficking, the drug trade, international nuclear commerce, trade unions, the U.S.-China trade deficit, and economic investment in the Ukraine.

Research conducted by: RAND National Security Research Division; RAND Project AIR FORCE; RAND Drug Policy Research Center; RAND Justice, Infrastructure, and Environment; International Programs

All Items (59)

Commentary

What Bangladesh — and US Retailers — Must Do to Prevent Man-Made Tragedies — May 16, 2013

Garments factory in Bangladesh

Perhaps most tragic of all are the disasters that are wholly preventable: the deaths, maimings, and crushed livelihoods that result from human callousness or indifference, writes Jonah Blank.

Commentary

A Russia-China Alliance Brewing? — Apr 12, 2013

a handshake

Three major areas appear to have been the focus of Xi Jinping and Vladimir Putin's recent summit: managing expectations about the relationship; expanding bilateral trade in energy and arms; and cooperation on international security affairs.

Commentary

Why China’s Suntech Might Not Be Alone in Heading Toward Bankruptcy — Mar 29, 2013

An array of solar panels

As solar power remains more expensive than conventional sources of electricity in most parts of the world, demand for photovoltaic solar panels still primarily depends on government subsidies, says Keith Crane.

Report

China Is the Controlling Producer of Materials Critical to U.S. Manufacturing — Feb 12, 2013

China is the controlling producer of 11 raw and semi-finished critical materials and has instituted export restrictions that create pressure to move manufacturing to China. Action is needed to mitigate the impact of such market distortions on the global manufacturing sector.

Commentary

U.S. 'Soft Power' Abroad Is Losing Its Punch — Jan 31, 2013

America's fiscal predicament and the seeming inability of its political system to resolve these matters may be taking a toll on the instruments of U.S. “soft power” and on the country's ability to shape international developments in ways that serve American interests, writes C. Richard Neu.

Commentary

Iran: A Rough Year in 2013 — Jan 2, 2013

The Islamic Republic faces the potential of stronger economic sanctions and even a military strike because of its intransigence in complying with U.N. resolutions on its nuclear program. It also must deal with twin domestic challenges—deepening malaise among the young and increasing tensions among the political elite, writes Alireza Nader.

Commentary

Confronting a Rising China Begins at Home — Oct 17, 2012

As long as the United States holds tight to its values and solves its problems at home, it will be able to manage the rise of China, write Andrew Scobell and Andrew J. Nathan.

Commentary

Will Iran Close the Strait of Hormuz? — Oct 2, 2012

Just by threatening to close the Strait, Iran increases pressure on the U.S. to restrain Israel from attacking Iran. Other key players—including major oil importers such as China, Japan, and India—would be reluctant to support military action because of heavy dependence on Persian Gulf oil, writes Alireza Nader.

Commentary

Beijing Unflustered by Cool Ties With Seoul — Aug 14, 2012

In light of deeply-rooted policy differences, so clearly on display in China’s treatment of South Korea over the past two years, no amount of tweaking around the margins of policy, inspired by internet polling, is likely to lead to dramatic improvements in the bilateral relationship, writes Scott Warren Harold.

Report

U.S. Air Force Engagement with Turkey on Energy Security Looks Promising — Jun 19, 2012

Turkey aspires to become a key transit state for moving both natural gas and oil from the Caspian region and from the broader Middle East via pipelines crossing its territory. U.S.-Turkish cooperation on energy security issues offers a promising yet modest opportunity to strengthen the bilateral relationship.

Report

What Can Be Done to Increase Asia's Sea-Lane Security? — Jun 19, 2012

The sea lanes that supply Asia's energy needs are already vulnerable to geopolitical concerns and the threat of piracy. One approach to protecting them would be employ multiple U.S. military and government elements; a second would be to promote the capabilities of and cooperation among nations in the region.

News Release

U.S. Military's Role with Petroleum Is to Assure Security — Jun 19, 2012

Energy purchases made by the U.S. Department of Defense do not influence world oil prices, making cutting fuel use the only effective choice to reduce what the Pentagon spends on petroleum fuels.

Commentary

Questions After the First U.S. Bank Takeover by a Chinese State-Controlled Company — May 15, 2012

In considering foreign application to acquire U.S. companies, the United States needs to consider both risks as well as benefits in both defense and economic dimensions, write Charles Wolf, Jr., Brian Chow, Gregory Jones, and Scott Harold.

Report

The United States, Japan, and Free Trade: Moving in the Same Direction? — Apr 23, 2012

Assesses the factors contributing to the decisions by the United States and Japan to join the Trans-Pacific Partnership, and the meaning of those decisions for bilateral cooperation on trade expansion.

Journal Article

Strategic Value of African Tribal Art: Auction Sales Trends as Cultural Intelligence — Apr 1, 2012

This paper explores the potential of the art market for open-source intelligence assessments of cultural security.

Report

China's Expanding Role in Global Mergers and Acquisitions Markets — Nov 22, 2011

To improve understanding of China's investment patterns, the authors analyze recent and proposed Chinese investment in companies in the United States, Europe, Asia, and the rest of the world.

Commentary

Europe's Ukrainian Test — Jun 30, 2011

The EU should conclude the Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Agreement (DCFTA) with Ukraine only if the Yanukovych administration demonstrates clear commitment to European values, write F. Stephen Larrabee and Taras Kuzio.

Commentary

How Might bin Laden's Demise Affect Business? — May 25, 2011

Given how markets are responding thus far, Osama Bin Laden's death is likely to have a modestly positive and buoyant effect on equity markets, writes Charles Wolf, Jr.

Report

Ready for Takeoff: China's Advancing Aerospace Industry — Mar 25, 2011

China's aerospace industry has advanced at an impressive rate over the past decade, partly due to the increasing participation of its aerospace industry in the global commercial aerospace market and the supply chains of the world's leading aerospace firms.

Report

Linkages in World Financial Markets — Mar 18, 2011

Assessing the full consequences of the global financial crisis that began in the summer of 2007 will require years, but it is possible now to examine how short-term linkages in different financial markets have changed since the onset of the crisis.

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