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     <title>RAND Research Topic: Iran</title>
     <link rel="self" href="http://www.rand.org/topics/iran.xml"/>
     <updated>2012-05-25T23:06:34Z</updated>
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     <rights>Copyright (c) 2012, The RAND Corporation</rights>
     <author>
       <name>RAND Corporation</name>
     </author>
     <id>http://www.rand.org/topics/iran.html</id>
	 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Policy Choices for United States to Dissuade Iran from Developing Nuclear Weapons</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/monographs/MG1087.html</id>
   <published>Jun 7, 2011</published>
   <updated>Jun 7, 2011</updated>
   <summary type="html">Dissuading Iran from developing nuclear weapons faces major obstacles, but it&apos;s too soon to give up trying as it may still be possible to influence the outcome of Iran&apos;s internal political debate.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/monographs/MG1087.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Defusing Iran&apos;s Nuclear Threat</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/events/2012/06/19.html</id>
   <published>Jun 19, 2012</published>
   <updated>Jun 19, 2012</updated>
   <summary type="html">The prospect of a nuclear-armed Iran has stoked tensions around the world. Alireza Nader, a senior international policy analyst and Iran expert at RAND, will discuss Iran&apos;s internal political dynamics and U.S. economic, political, and military options in preventing a nuclear-armed Iran.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/events/2012/06/19.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Iran&apos;s Buying Time&amp;mdash;and That&apos;s Fine</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/commentary/2012/05/22/FP.html</id>
   <published>May 22, 2012</published>
   <updated>May 22, 2012</updated>
   <summary type="html">Khamenei faces a critical choice in the months ahead: make a compromise to lessen tensions with the United States and the international community, or maintain a status quo that may set in motion the demise of his regime, writes Alireza Nader.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/commentary/2012/05/22/FP.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">RAND Review: Vol. 36, No. 1, Spring 2012</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/corporate_pubs/CP22-2012-04.html</id>
   <published>May 11, 2012</published>
   <updated>May 11, 2012</updated>
   <summary type="html">Stories discuss Iran&apos;s nuclear threat, social security for Mexico&apos;s aging population, programs to help veterans and their families, the costs of crime and the value of police officers, psychological operations in Afghanistan, the U.S. health insurance mandate, legal representation in murder cases, marijuana legalization, U.S. competitiveness in educational achievement, and Louisiana&apos;s plan for a sustainable coast.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/corporate_pubs/CP22-2012-04.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">How to Defuse Iran&apos;s Nuclear Threat: Bolster Diplomacy, Israeli Security, and the Iranian Citizenry</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/publications/randreview/issues/2012/spring/iran.html</id>
   <published>May 11, 2012</published>
   <updated>May 11, 2012</updated>
   <summary type="html">This &lt;em&gt;RAND Review&lt;/em&gt; cover story recommends alternatives to military action that are more likely to dissuade Iran from producing, testing, and deploying nuclear weapons, while also promoting a more democratic and responsible Iranian regime.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/publications/randreview/issues/2012/spring/iran.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Prolific Profanities Seemed to Predict Prominent Protests</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/publications/randreview/issues/2012/spring/tweets.html</id>
   <published>May 11, 2012</published>
   <updated>May 11, 2012</updated>
   <summary type="html">Twitter and other social media reportedly played a big role in the protests following the 2009 Iranian presidential election. Analysis of word usage in millions of tweets about the election and its aftermath reveals that spikes in the use of swear words could forecast the outbreak of large-scale protests.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/publications/randreview/issues/2012/spring/tweets.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">The Nature of the Chinese-Iranian Partnership and the Challenges It Poses for the U.S.</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/occasional_papers/OP351.html</id>
   <published>May 2, 2012</published>
   <updated>May 2, 2012</updated>
   <summary type="html">The partnership between China and Iran presents challenges to U.S. interests, including dissuading Iran from developing a nuclear weapons capability. An analysis of the factors driving Chinese-Iranian cooperation offers  policy options for influencing this partnership to meet U.S. objectives.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/occasional_papers/OP351.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Iran&apos;s Calculations in New Diplomatic Talks</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/commentary/2012/04/17/USIP.html</id>
   <published>Apr 17, 2012</published>
   <updated>Apr 17, 2012</updated>
   <summary type="html">Beset by economic problems, political divisions, and domestic discontent, Iranian leaders may compromise&amp;mdash;or appear to make compromises&amp;mdash;to cushion the regime from the mounting internal and external pressures, writes Alireza Nader.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/commentary/2012/04/17/USIP.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Book by Noted Expert Proposes a Renaissance of Thought on Nuclear Deterrence for Today&apos;s Strategic Environment</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/monographs/MG1103.html</id>
   <published>Apr 17, 2012</published>
   <updated>Apr 17, 2012</updated>
   <summary type="html">A new book by the late French scholar Th&amp;eacute;r&amp;egrave;se Delpech provides a critical review and update of nuclear deterrence theory, focusing a critical eye on nuclear issues during the Cold War, examining the lessons of past nuclear crises, and outlining ways in which these lessons apply to major nuclear powers and nuclear pretenders today.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/monographs/MG1103.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Book by Noted Expert Proposes a Renaissance of Thought on Nuclear Deterrence for Today&apos;s Strategic Environment</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/news/press/2012/04/17.html</id>
   <published>Apr 17, 2012</published>
   <updated>Apr 17, 2012</updated>
   <summary type="html">A new book by the late French scholar Th&amp;eacute;r&amp;egrave;se Delpech provides a critical review and update of nuclear deterrence theory, focusing a critical eye on nuclear issues during the Cold War, examining the lessons of past nuclear crises, and outlining ways in which these lessons apply to major nuclear powers and nuclear pretenders today.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/news/press/2012/04/17.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Will Khamenei Compromise?</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/commentary/2012/04/02/ALMON.html</id>
   <published>Apr 2, 2012</published>
   <updated>Apr 2, 2012</updated>
   <summary type="html">For Khamenei, increasing US and Israeli concerns regarding the nuclear program may enhance its value as a deterrent and point of leverage in Iran&apos;s conflict with the US, making the nuclear program a major tool to be used against the US, rather than a prize to be bargained away, writes Alireza Nader.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/commentary/2012/04/02/ALMON.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">U.S. and Israel Need to Agree on Strike Against Iran</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/commentary/2012/03/05/USNEWS.html</id>
   <published>Mar 5, 2012</published>
   <updated>Mar 5, 2012</updated>
   <summary type="html">Essential to any Israeli government decision to bomb Iran is confidence that whatever advice Washington might provide before the attack, the U.S. administration will feel bound to help Israel cope with the consequences of its action, writes James Dobbins.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/commentary/2012/03/05/USNEWS.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Khamenei: The Nuclear Decision-maker</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/commentary/2012/02/23/PBS.html</id>
   <published>Feb 23, 2012</published>
   <updated>Feb 23, 2012</updated>
   <summary type="html">Many Iranians are increasingly concerned that the supreme leader is taking Iran down a dangerous path and is unwilling to turn back, whatever the pressures, writes Alireza Nader.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/commentary/2012/02/23/PBS.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Israel&apos;s Risky Option on Iran</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/commentary/2012/02/21/LAT.html</id>
   <published>Feb 21, 2012</published>
   <updated>Feb 21, 2012</updated>
   <summary type="html">While a nuclear-armed Iran that hasn&apos;t been attacked is dangerous, one that has been attacked may be much more likely to brandish its capabilities, to make sure it does not face an attack again, writes Dalia Dassa Kaye.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/commentary/2012/02/21/LAT.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Al Qaeda in Iran</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/commentary/2012/01/29/FA.html</id>
   <published>Jan 29, 2012</published>
   <updated>Jan 29, 2012</updated>
   <summary type="html">Iran is in many ways a safer territory from which al Qaeda can operate. The United States has targeted al Qaeda in Iraq, Pakistan, Yemen, and other countries, but it has limited operational reach in Iran, writes Seth G. Jones.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/commentary/2012/01/29/FA.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Is Regime Change in Iran the Only Solution?</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/commentary/2012/01/26/FP.html</id>
   <published>Jan 26, 2012</published>
   <updated>Jan 26, 2012</updated>
   <summary type="html">The United States should not pursue sanctions with the intent of changing the regime, but to contain it in order to give Iranians a chance to effect change themselves, writes Alireza Nader.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/commentary/2012/01/26/FP.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Tracking Public Sentiment in Iran After the Contested 2009 Election with Twitter </title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/technical_reports/TR1161.html</id>
   <published>Jan 17, 2012</published>
   <updated>Jan 17, 2012</updated>
   <summary type="html">Social media was used in the 2009 protests to organize and communicate under government censorship. An analysis of more than 2.5 million tweets discussing the Iran election holds promise for such policy uses as assessing public opinion and forecasting events such as large-scale protests.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/technical_reports/TR1161.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Do Israelis Really Want to Bomb Iran?</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/commentary/2012/01/12/FP.html</id>
   <published>Jan 12, 2012</published>
   <updated>Jan 12, 2012</updated>
   <summary type="html">Much has been made over differences between the U.S. and Israeli threat perceptions of Iran, but in fact internal Israeli divisions suggest that the gap may not be as great as some suggest, writes Dalia Dassa Kaye.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/commentary/2012/01/12/FP.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Iran&apos;s Self-Destructive Gamble</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/commentary/2012/01/06/IHT.html</id>
   <published>Jan 6, 2012</published>
   <updated>Jan 6, 2012</updated>
   <summary type="html">For all its bluster, the Iranian regime is more vulnerable than at any time in its 32-year history. Internally, Iran is constrained by deep political divisions, civil strife and a woeful economy, write Alireza Nader and James Dobbins.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/commentary/2012/01/06/IHT.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Growing Rivalry Between Israel and Iran Poses Danger of Military Conflict</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/monographs/MG1143.html</id>
   <published>Jan 5, 2012</published>
   <updated>Jan 5, 2012</updated>
   <summary type="html">The United States should engage in activities that increase understanding about how a deterrence relationship between Israel and Iran may evolve, and encourage direct communication between Israelis and Iranians through informal diplomatic channels.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/monographs/MG1143.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
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