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Low-intensity Conflict

Report

Lessons from Russia's Operations in Ukraine

Russia's annexation of Crimea was a decisive use of military force toward political ends. But Russia benefited from favorable circumstances that make this hard to replicate. Moscow likely considers its campaign in Eastern Ukraine a strategic success but an unsuccessful operation.

May 9, 2017
Report

The Potential for Russian Hybrid Warfare in the Baltics

Russia would likely have trouble using nonviolent tactics to destabilize the Baltics. Covert violent action is also unlikely to succeed on its own. Thus, the Baltics' main vulnerability is Russia's local superiority in conventional forces.

Feb 23, 2017
News Release

News Release

Russia, China and Iran Use Measures Short of War to Further Strategic Ends Against the U.S.

The United States will have to address the problems of foreign intervention and threats short of war if it is to prevent further erosion of its global influence by its competitors.

May 31, 2016
Report

Russia, China, and Iran Use Measures Short of War to Further Strategic Ends Against the U.S.

The United States will have to address the problems of foreign intervention and threats short of war if it is to prevent further erosion of its global influence by its competitors. Policymakers and the military services should consider ways to better identify, forestall, and counteract the use of measures short of war against U.S. and allied interests.

May 31, 2016
Report

What Are the Advantages and Risks of Special Warfare?

Special warfare provides policymakers with an additional option that can help secure U.S. interests and manage risks. It can stabilize a friendly state or destabilize a hostile regime by operating through and with local state or non-state partners, rather than through unilateral U.S. action.

Feb 23, 2016
Report

A Counterinsurgency Win in Afghanistan?

The 2015 counterinsurgency (COIN) effort in Afghanistan ranks among the low end of historical COIN winners. The Afghan government and security forces are capable of maintaining the current stalemate with the Taliban. This is the first step on the most promising path to peace: a negotiated settlement.

Feb 4, 2016
Report

The Costs of the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict: Executive Summary: (Arabic translation)

An Arabic translation of a study‘s executive summary estimating the net costs and benefits if the long-standing conflict between Israelis and Palestinians follows its current trajectory over the next ten years, relative to five other trajectories.

Nov 23, 2015
Report

Report

The Costs of the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict: Executive Summary: (Hebrew translation)

A Hebrew translation of an executive summary of a study estimating the net costs and benefits if the long-standing conflict between Israelis and Palestinians follows its current trajectory over the next ten years, relative to five other trajectories.

Nov 23, 2015
Journal Article

Journal Article

Conditional Cash Transfers, Civil Conflict and Insurgent Influence: Experimental Evidence from the Philippines

This study estimates the effect of conditional cash transfers on civil conflict in the Philippines by exploiting an experiment that randomly assigned eligibility for a CCT program at the village level.

Nov 18, 2015
Report

The Costs of the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict

What are the net costs and benefits to Israelis and Palestinians if the current impasse endures over the next ten years, relative to several alternative trajectories that the conflict could take?

Sep 8, 2015
Essay

The Price of Peace

Groundbreaking analysis by a team of RAND economists and policy experts reveals how much Israelis and Palestinians stand to lose from the enduring conflict, and how much they could gain in peace.

Jun 24, 2015
Multimedia

RAND Experts Discuss the Costs of the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict Study

RAND experts discuss their recent study, The Costs of the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict. Media relations director Jeffrey Hiday moderated the call.

Jun 18, 2015
Report

The Costs of the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict: Executive Summary

For much of the past century, the conflict between Israelis and Palestinians has been a defining feature of the Middle East. Depending on its trajectory, what are the conflict's net costs and benefits to both parties over the next ten years?

Jun 18, 2015
Multimedia

Press Conference at the Wilson Center: Calculating the Costs of the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict

At the U.S. launch of The Costs of Israeli-Palestinian Conflict Study held at the Wilson Center on June 15, 2015, RAND senior researchers Charles P. Ries and C. Ross Anthony discussed the economic and non-economic factors surrounding the conflict and the long-term implications for Israel, the West Bank and Gaza, and the international community.

Jun 15, 2015
Commentary

War or Peace? Putting a Price on the Israeli-Palestinian Impasse

Today, more than 90 percent of Israelis and Palestinians were born after 1948 and have known nothing other than some version of the impasse. Both sides could be better off with a stable two-state solution. Prolonging the impasse for another generation would have real costs.

Jun 9, 2015
Project

A Two-State Solution to the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict Provides the Best Economic Outcomes

The Israeli economy stands to gain more than $120 billion over the next decade in a two-state solution, a possible resolution of the long-standing conflict between Israelis and Palestinians. Palestinians would gain $50 billion, with average per-capita income rising by about 36 percent.

Jun 8, 2015
Multimedia

Press Conference at the Jerusalem Press Club: The Costs of the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict

Senior members of the RAND Corporation discuss the release of The Costs of the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict at the Jerusalem Press Club.

Jun 8, 2015
News Release

News Release

Israelis Stand to Gain $120 Billion, Palestinians $50 Billion in Two-State Solution Over Next Decade

The Israeli economy stands to gain more than $120 billion over the next decade in a two-state solution, a possible resolution of the long-standing conflict between Israelis and Palestinians in which the Palestinians gain independence and relations between the Israelis and their neighbors normalize. Palestinians would gain $50 billion, with average per-capita income rising by about 36 percent.

Jun 8, 2015
Tool

Calculating the Costs of the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict

With this interactive calculator, explore how modifying key assumptions from the RAND Costs of the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict study affects direct costs, opportunity costs, and total change in GDP.

Jun 8, 2015
Report

Report

Special Warfare: The Missing Middle in U.S. Coercive Options

RAND authors analyze the options for using special warfare to fill the gap in coercive strategies between the costly commitment of conventional forces and the limits of precision-strike campaigns, including its characteristics, advantages, and risks.

Jan 27, 2015

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RAND Topic:
Low-intensity Conflict