Military Strategy

Research conducted by: RAND Arroyo Center; RAND Project AIR FORCE; RAND National Security Research Division; RAND Europe

All Items (326)

Commentary

How to Arm Syria's Rebels — May 22, 2013

8212023620_61d0d88cf7_o

What is required in Syria now is a program like the one the United States established in the mid-1990s to train and equip the armed forces of the Bosnian Federation, writes Angel Rabasa.

Commentary

Chemical Weapons in Syria: What Could the U.S. Do About Them? — May 21, 2013

U.S. Army Soldiers put their gas masks on for a simulated chemical attack during a training mission near Camp Ramadi, Iraq

The combined lessons of the attack and disarmament of Iraq's chemical weapons in the First Gulf War suggest that chemical weapons are hard to find and destroy, writes James Quinlivan. Lots can survive even a sustained attack.

Report

How Would a Nuclear-Armed Tehran Behave? — May 17, 2013

Satellite Image of Bushehr Light Water Reactor

Iran may feel more confident and gain a sense of prestige from a nuclear capability, but other factors, such as the regional geopolitical environment and Iran’s political, military, and economic capabilities, will have a greater bearing on Iranian calculations.

Report

Brandishing Cyberattack Capabilities — May 13, 2013

This report explores whether and when U.S. cyberattack capabilities can be demonstrated, then goes on to examine difficulties and drawbacks of doing so. Such brandishing is no panacea and could even backfire if misinterpreted.

Commentary

Enhancing Security Cooperation at the Korea-U.S. Summit — May 7, 2013

ROK Navy sailors wave U.S. and ROK flags to welcome Los Angeles-class submarine USS Cheyenne to Busan

The U.S.-South Korean Extended Deterrence Policy Committee was setup to deter North Korean threats. The upcoming summit should ratify the progress of this effort, reassuring both the Korean and U.S. people that these threats are being managed.

Commentary

Thinking Through Options on North Korea — May 3, 2013

nuclear war game maze

Obviously it will not always be possible to avoid the use of force and the risk of escalation. But the US and its allies cannot take the possibility of military responses against nuclear regional adversaries off the table without limiting its own strategic options, eroding its influence, and threatening its security.

Commentary

The Syrian Chemical Weapons Conundrum — May 1, 2013

Marines practicing a chemical, biological, or radiological attack

Dealing with chemical weapons in Syria is a complicated and dangerous task, but nowhere near the challenge of securing a nuclear arsenal in a country consumed by crisis, writes Brian Michael Jenkins.

Report

The Strategic Benefits, Risks, and Costs of U.S. Military Presence Overseas — Apr 29, 2013

world map showing U.S. overseas bases

While the DoD is under pressure to reduce costs, meaningful savings from overseas posture changes would require choosing from a small set of options, each presenting benefit trade-offs. U.S. military presence contributes to assurance of allies, deterrence, contingency responsiveness, and security cooperation.

Research Brief

U.S. Overseas Military Posture: Relative Costs and Strategic Benefits — Apr 29, 2013

In an environment of fiscal constraints and shifting strategic needs, policymakers should carefully weigh the strategic capability effects, relative costs, and risks associated with potential changes to U.S. overseas military posture.

Commentary

A Delicate Deterrence Dance with North Korea — Apr 11, 2013

ROK guards in the DMZ

How does Washington signal tenacity to a pugnacious Pyongyang and demonstrate resolve to a jittery Seoul, all without inadvertently triggering an escalatory spiral?

Research Brief

Creating "Purpose-Driven" Forces: Enhancing the Contributions of U.S. Army National Guard Special Forces — Apr 10, 2013

U.S. Army Special Operations Command wants to enhance the contributions of Army National Guard Special Forces and move toward making them a purpose-driven force, that is, organized and employed to take advantage of their particular experience.

Commentary

Special Ops Global Whack-a-Mole — Apr 8, 2013

A new model for our nation's special forces could follow the approach used in Colombia and the Philippines, where special forces planned ongoing campaigns that use numerous advisory, civil affairs, and informational activities to address those governments' weaknesses in providing security and ending conflicts.

Blog

RAND Contributes to Foreign Policy Survey on the Future of Global Conflict — Mar 18, 2013

For its recent feature “The Future of War,” Foreign Policy magazine surveyed 71 leading authorities on today’s global conflicts – including many current and former analysts from the RAND Corporation – and used their responses to rank future security threats.

Commentary

Unlearning the Lessons of Iraq — Mar 14, 2013

U.S. soldier provides pens to Iraqi boy

Trepidation about boots-on-the-ground engagement has unnecessarily forestalled even small-scale efforts to repair Libya's fractured security environment....Meanwhile, in Syria, the over-learned lessons of Iraq are taking an even more serious toll, writes Christopher Chivvis.

Commentary

Learning Curve — Mar 13, 2013

U.S. Army sergeant throws a smoke grenade to mask his team's movements during a joint operation with the Iraqi police

The post-Vietnam “never again” attitude led to a severe atrophy of the U.S. military's counterinsurgency skills and it is quite possible that the U.S. military will go through a similar phase of unlearning over the next several years, writes James Dobbins.

Commentary

China's Defense Spending Mystery — Mar 12, 2013

Senior members of the People's Liberation Army met the U.S. Pacific Command aircrews when they delivered relief supplies to the earthquake-stricken Sichuan province in May 2008.

China's decision to expand defense spending also carries clues about the Party's need to keep the military happy, the new leadership's confidence and new President Xi Jinping's ability to put his own stamp on policy from the start, writes Scott Harold.

Commentary

Changing World Climate Requires a Dynamic Foreign Policy — Feb 14, 2013

As Secretary of State Kerry and former senator Chuck Hagel outline their thinking on the nation's strategy, let us hope that they both hold firm to the strategy that has served us well in the past and have the courage to explore a very different set of political and military ways to accomplish it, write Lynn Davis and Andrew Hoehn.

Commentary

Khamenei's Mounting Pressures — Feb 11, 2013

Khamenei's mounting pressures may compel him to be more flexible on the nuclear program, writes Alireza Nader. Otherwise, he will face greater sanctions, more internal political opposition, and, possibly, the wrath of his own people.

Commentary

Profile: Revolutionary Guards Chief Gen. Jafari — Jan 21, 2013

Jafari now commands one of the most feared militaries in the Middle East, which is also far better equipped than Iran’s conventional army, navy and air force, writes Alireza Nader. He has an estimated 150,000 troops under his control.

Commentary

The French Intervention in Mali Is Necessary, but Risky — Jan 17, 2013

No solution is likely to offer more than a short-term reprise if it is not accompanied by real progress toward resolving Mali's political crisis and strengthening the Malian state and Malian democracy, write Stephanie Pezard and Michael Shurkin.

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