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Modeling and Simulation

Researchers frequently require a quantitative understanding of the likely consequences of different actions before they can advise decisionmakers and design effective policies. RAND develops and uses statistical, econometric, and other exploratory models and simulations to analyze the potential outcomes of different policies in a range of areas such as transportation usage, health care, patient safety, and military campaigns.

Report

Report

Quantifying Cost and Schedule Uncertainty for Major Defense Acquisition Programs (MDAPs)

To help the Air Force better anticipate cost and schedule challenges and manage programs, this study developed a methodology to evaluate the likelihood of cost growth and schedule slip for major defense acquisition projects (MDAPs).

Jul 17, 2017
Commentary

Finding the Common Ground: Building a Brexit Around Trade and Single Market Access

The priority for the UK government during Brexit negotiations should be access to the single market and free trade deals with countries outside the EU. This would build on the common ground felt by the majority of Britons about what they feel are the most valuable aspects of the UK's future relationship with Europe.

Jul 14, 2017
Commentary

Brexit: So Tell Me What You Want, What You Really Really Want

The 'In/Out' referendum question encouraged the view that Brexit was a binary choice. But how did people understand these two options and their implications? The results of stated preference discrete choice experiments hold the answer.

Jul 14, 2017
News Release

News Release

British Public Reject “No Deal” on Brexit

The British people disagree with the claim that “no deal for Britain is better than a bad deal for Britain” when it comes to negotiations for leaving the EU. They want a deal on Brexit and are willing to compromise to get one.

Jul 14, 2017
Project

What Sort of Brexit Do the British People Want?

The British public place the greatest value on the ability to make trade deals and retaining access to the Single Market for trade of goods and services after Brexit, more so than restricted freedom of movement, increased sovereignty and reduced EU contribution. These findings, and others, were the result ...

Jul 14, 2017
Report

Report

What sort of Brexit do the British people want? A proof-of-concept study using stated preference discrete choice experiments: Technical addendum

A proof-of-concept study using stated preference discrete choice experiments to quantify the British people's preferences for their relationship with the European Union after Brexit.

Jul 13, 2017
Journal Article

British Public Rejects “No Deal” on Brexit

The British people disagree with the claim that “no deal for Britain is better than a bad deal for Britain” when it comes to negotiations for leaving the European Union. They want a deal on Brexit and are willing to compromise to get one.

Jul 13, 2017
Journal Article

Journal Article

Predictions Put Into Practice: A Quasi-Experimental Evaluation of Chicago's Predictive Policing Pilot

In order to better understand the effects of an individual-focused predictive policing program in the field, this study analyzes a pilot program implemented in Chicago in 2013 aimed at reducing gun violence.

Jul 6, 2017
Journal Article

Journal Article

A Framework for Synthetic Control Methods With High-Dimensional, Micro-Level Data: Evaluating a Neighborhood-Specific Crime Intervention

Our study illustrates the advantages of using high-dimensional, micro-level data in the context of synthetic control methods.

Jun 30, 2017
Project

Understanding European Consumers’ Preferences for New Cars

To enhance understanding of consumer preferences for different car type choices for personal travel use, including hybrid, plug-in hybrid, battery electric, and fuel cell vehicles, RAND Europe researchers are working with GfK and the University of Hertfordshire to conduct stated preference discrete choice experiments.

Jun 21, 2017
Project

Quantifying Travellers’ Willingness to Pay for a Tolled Tunnel in Central Copenhagen

Stated choice experiments will help researchers quantify the willingness of car and van travellers to pay to use a proposed new tunnel to cross to and from Amager in central Copenhagen. The results from this study will infom the Danish Road Directorate's proposed new infrastructure.

Jun 16, 2017
Multimedia

Gaming Solutions to Global Problems

In this Call with the Experts, RAND senior international research analyst, David Shlapak, talks about how serious games can help find solutions to global problems.

Jun 8, 2017
Report

Report

Serious Analytical Gaming: The 360° Game for Multidimensional Analysis of Complex Problems

This report is intended to help decisionmakers who would like to design and run a 360° Game, which can be used in multidimensional analysis of complex problems and allows participants to investigate a problem from a variety of perspectives.

May 30, 2017
News Release

News Release

News Release for RAND Report on U.S. Child Welfare Reforms

The report on the U.S. child welfare system described in RAND's May 23, 2017 news release has been withdrawn pending further review.

May 23, 2017
Tool

Tool

Propensity Scores for Multiple Treatments: A Tutorial on the MNPS Command for Stata Users

This tutorial explains the syntax and features related to the implementation of the MNPS commands in the Stata TWANG series.

May 5, 2017
Commentary

Let's (Not) Play Games with Dodd-Frank

Dodd-Frank, the 2010 financial reform law, is now itself the target of reform. Those involved with the overhaul could draw inspiration from an unlikely source: video games. A simulation game could help predict the effects of changes to regulations—and avoid high-stakes missteps.

May 4, 2017
Journal Article

Journal Article

Introduction to Medical Care Statistical Workshops for Health Services Research: Practical, State-of-the-Art Reviews

This is the introduction to a new series of statistical workshops that are practical and state of the art.

May 4, 2017
Tool

Tool

User's Guide for the Total Force Blue-Line (TFBL) Model

This user's guide contains detailed instructions for running the Total Force Blue-Line model, including steps to follow, the inputs to use, how the inputs can be generated, and a list of steps for generating red-line/blue-line charts.

Apr 21, 2017
Multimedia

The Serious Role of Gaming at RAND

RAND uses gaming techniques to develop insights into a host of 21st century challenges. In this Events @ RAND podcast, David Shlapak, codirector of the RAND Center for Gaming, discusses the strengths, weaknesses, and limitations of using gaming in research.

Mar 23, 2017
Journal Article

Journal Article

Evaluating Surrogate Marker Information Using Censored Data

Given the long follow-up periods that are often required for treatment or intervention studies, the potential to use surrogate markers to decrease the required follow-up time is a very attractive goal. However, previous studies have shown that using inadequate markers or making inappropriate assumptions about the relationship between the primary outcome and surrogate marker can lead to inaccurate conclusions regarding the treatment effect.

Mar 14, 2017

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RAND Topic:
Modeling and Simulation

Topic Synonyms:
Mathematical Modeling;
Modelling

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